Marlins vs Braves Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – October 5, 2022

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On Wednesday, the Miami Marlins (68-93) are hosting the Atlanta Braves (100-60), at 4:10 PM ET, in the final game of a three-game set. The Marlins will give the start to Elieser Hernandez (3-6), and the Braves will counter with Jackson Stephens (3-3).

With the Braves (+104) visiting, the Marlins (-122) are a solid favorite on the moneyline. The total for the Marlins-Braves game is set at 7.5.

Marlins vs. Braves Odds

Run Line

Miami Marlins (-1.5)

Moneyline

Marlins (-122)

Total

7.5 Runs (Over: -101, Under: -119)

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When, Where, at What Time is Marlins vs. Braves

  • Game Day: Wednesday, October 5, 2022
  • Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
  • TV Channel: BSSO,BSFL
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Stadium: LoanDepot park

Marlins Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Garrett Cooper 10 Day Injury List Finger
Steven Okert 15 Day Injury List Tricep
Trevor Rogers 15 Day Injury List Back
Jorge Soler 60 Day Injury List Back
Jordan Holloway 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Jazz Chisholm 60 Day Injury List Back
Paul Campbell 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Cody Poteet 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Max Meyer 60 Day Injury List Arm
Anthony Bender 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Sean Guenther 60 Day Injury List Arm
Daniel Castano 7 Day Injury List Head

Braves Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Ozzie Albies 10 Day Injury List Finger
Chadwick Tromp 10 Day Injury List Quadricep
Kirby Yates 15 Day Injury List Elbow
Spencer Strider 15 Day Injury List Oblique
Adam Duvall 60 Day Injury List Wrist
Darren O’Day 60 Day Injury List Calf
Manny Piña 60 Day Injury List Wrist
Luke Jackson 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Huascar Ynoa 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Max Fried Day-to-day Illness

Last Time Out: Marlins and Braves

The Braves defeated the Marlins 2-1 yesterday, with Jake Odorizzi getting the win (5.00 IP, 1 R, 2 H, 7 K) and Ronald Acuna Jr. leading the way offensively (going 1-for-2 with an RBI). Braxton Garrett (4.00 IP, 2 R, 6 H, 7 K) took the loss for the Marlins.

Betting Trends

Marlins Betting Records and Team Stats

The Marlins have been favorites in 66 games this season and won 35 (53%) of those contests. This season, Miami has won 29 of its 53 games, or 54.7%, when favored by at least -122 on the moneyline. The implied probability of a win from the Marlins, based on the moneyline, is 55%. Miami and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 71 of their 165 opportunities. The Marlins are 80-85-0 ATS in their 165 games with a spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Miguel Rojas 143 .234 (109) .281 (125) .321 (127) 1.2% (123) 12.1% (9) 5.1% (118)
Jon Berti 101 .234 (-) .316 (-) .327 (-) 1.0% (-) 22.3% (-) 10.0% (-)
Joey Wendle 101 .262 (-) .300 (-) .363 (-) 0.8% (-) 13.5% (-) 4.1% (-)
Bryan De La Cruz 114 .250 (-) .292 (-) .432 (-) 3.7% (-) 25.2% (-) 5.4% (-)
Jesús Sánchez 97 .214 (-) .278 (-) .405 (-) 3.8% (-) 26.9% (-) 7.4% (-)

Braves Betting Records and Team Stats

The Braves have been chosen as underdogs in 33 games this year and have walked away with the win 12 times (36.4%) in those games. Atlanta has a mark of 5-14 in contests where bookmakers favor them by +104 or worse on the moneyline. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Braves have a 49% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest. Contests with Atlanta have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 81 of 164 chances this season. In 164 games with a line this season, the Braves have a mark of 83-81-0 against the spread.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Austin Riley 159 .273 (34) .349 (33) .528 (8) 5.5% (8) 24.2% (98) 8.2% (71)
Matt Olson 161 .239 (98) .324 (66) .471 (27) 4.8% (21) 24.4% (101) 10.8% (25)
Dansby Swanson 161 .277 (31) .329 (60) .448 (48) 3.6% (51) 26.2% (115) 7.1% (90)
Michael Harris 115 .297 (-) .339 (-) .514 (-) 4.3% (-) 24.3% (-) 4.8% (-)
Ronald Acuña Jr. 121 .266 (50) .352 (29) .413 (77) 2.8% (76) 23.7% (93) 10.0% (37)

Marlins vs. Braves Picks and Predictions

Our pick for this matchup is the Braves to win (+104 on the moneyline), while we project the scoring will go over the total (7.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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