Marlins vs Braves Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – May 4, 2023

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At LoanDepot park on Thursday, the Atlanta Braves (21-10) take on the Miami Marlins (16-15), with first pitch at 4:10 PM ET. The Marlins will give the start to Jesus Luzardo (2-1), and the Braves will counter with Dylan Dodd (1-1).

The moneyline odds for the game between the Marlins (-113) and Braves (-104) suggest a close contest. The game has an over/under set at 8.5 runs.

Marlins vs. Braves Odds

Run Line

Miami Marlins (-1.5)

Moneyline

Marlins (-113)

Total

8.5 Runs (Over: -112, Under: -109)

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When, Where, at What Time is Marlins vs. Braves

  • Game Day: Thursday, May 4, 2023
  • Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
  • TV Channel: MLBN
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Stadium: LoanDepot park

Marlins Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Garrett Cooper 10-Day Injured List Illness
Avisaíl García 10-Day Injured List Back
Joey Wendle 10-Day Injured List Oblique
Trevor Rogers 15-Day Injured List Bicep
JT Chargois 15-Day Injured List Back
Johnny Cueto 15-Day Injured List Bicep
Max Meyer 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Tommy Nance 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Nic Enright 60-Day Injured List Illness
Anthony Bender 60-Day Injured List Elbow

Braves Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Orlando Arcia 10-Day Injured List Wrist
Lucas Luetge 15-Day Injured List Bicep
Raisel Iglesias 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
Kolby Allard 60-Day Injured List Oblique
Tyler Matzek 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Huascar Ynoa 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Travis d’Arnaud 7-Day Injured List Concussion
Michael Harris Day-to-day Knee
Kyle Wright Day-to-day Shoulder

Last Time Out: Marlins and Braves

Collin McHugh (3.0 IP, 0 R, 3 H, 1 K) picked up a win in the Braves’ 14-6 victory over the Marlins yesterday. Marcell Ozuna led the way offensively, going 3-for-5 with two home runs and five RBI. Braxton Garrett (4.1 IP, 11 R, 14 H, 3 K) was handed the loss for the Marlins.

Betting Trends

Marlins Betting Records and Team Stats

This season, the Marlins have been favored 11 times and won six, or 54.5%, of those games. Miami has a record of 5-3 when favored by -113 or more by sportsbooks this season. Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 53.1% chance to win. Games involving Miami have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 13 of 31 chances this season. The Marlins are 13-18-0 ATS in their 31 games with a spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Luis Arraez 28 .432 (1) .505 (1) .547 (26) 0.9% (153) 4.6% (1) 13% (39)
Jon Berti 30 .241 (107) .309 (125) .356 (130) 2.1% (120) 18.6% (61) 9.3% (89)
Jorge Soler 31 .202 (166) .291 (150) .423 (86) 4.3% (44) 25.9% (127) 9.5% (85)
Jazz Chisholm 31 .239 (110) .295 (143) .407 (98) 4.1% (52) 36.1% (176) 6.6% (136)
Yuli Gurriel 27 .310 (-) .355 (-) .466 (-) 3.2% (-) 11.3% (-) 4.8% (-)

Braves Betting Records and Team Stats

The Braves have been victorious in three of the four contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season. Atlanta has not lost in three games this year when given odds of -104 or worse on the moneyline. The Braves have an implied victory probability of 51% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup. Atlanta and their opponents have hit the over in 18 of their 31 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The Braves have an against the spread record of 16-15-0 in 31 games with a line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Ronald Acuña Jr. 31 .355 (3) .448 (3) .595 (9) 4.2% (50) 14.8% (27) 13.4% (31)
Ozzie Albies 31 .275 (56) .323 (102) .567 (16) 7% (6) 14.7% (26) 6.2% (143)
Sean Murphy 30 .289 (41) .439 (5) .633 (3) 7% (6) 22.8% (105) 17.5% (8)
Matt Olson 31 .246 (101) .369 (47) .517 (31) 5.7% (22) 34.8% (173) 15.6% (15)
Austin Riley 31 .239 (110) .331 (87) .427 (80) 4.4% (42) 27.2% (136) 11.8% (51)

Marlins vs. Braves Picks and Predictions

Our prediction for this matchup is the Braves to win (-104 on the moneyline), while we project the scoring will go under the total (8.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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