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Two teams on losing skids — the Seattle Mariners (three in a row) and the Houston Astros (three in a row) — meet on Monday at 9:40 PM ET, at T-Mobile Park. On the hill for the Mariners will be Luis Castillo (14-7), matched up against the Astros’ Justin Verlander (11-8).
At home, the Mariners are favored to win on the moneyline (-125) over the Astros (+105). The game has an over/under of 7.5 runs.
Mariners vs. Astros Odds
Run Line
Seattle Mariners (-1.5)
Moneyline
Mariners (-125)
Total
7.5 Runs (Over: -104, Under: -117)
When, Where, at What Time is Mariners vs. Astros
- Game Day: Monday, September 25, 2023
- Game Time: 9:40 PM ET
- TV Channel: RSNW
- Location: Seattle, Washington
- Stadium: T-Mobile Park
Mariners Injury Report
| Name | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Tom Murphy | 10-Day Injured List | Thumb |
| Marco Gonzales | 60-Day Injured List | Forearm |
| Penn Murfee | 60-Day Injured List | Elbow |
| Emerson Hancock | 60-Day Injured List | Shoulder |
| Easton McGee | 60-Day Injured List | Forearm |
| Robbie Ray | 60-Day Injured List | Elbow |
| Evan White | 60-Day Injured List | Hip |
Astros Injury Report
| Name | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Garcia | 60-Day Injured List | Elbow |
| Lance McCullers Jr. | 60-Day Injured List | Forearm |
| Michael Brantley | Day-to-day | Soreness |
Last Time Out: Mariners and Astros
The Mariners’ matchup yesterday versus the Rangers resulted in a 9-8 loss. Teoscar Hernandez went 2-for-4 with a home run and two RBI in the defeat, while Bryan Woo threw 3 1/3 innings, giving up six earned runs on five hits while striking out six en route to taking the loss.
The Astros suffered a 6-5 loss to the Royals yesterday. Yordan Alvarez (2-for-4 with a home run and an RBI) led the way offensively, while Hunter Brown took the loss on the mound after going three innings, giving up six earned runs on six hits while striking out four.
Betting Trends
Mariners Betting Records and Team Stats
This season, the Mariners have been favored 106 times and won 62, or 58.5%, of those games. Seattle has a record of 51-34 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -125 on the moneyline. Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mariners have a 55.6% chance to win. Seattle’s games have gone over the total in 79 of their 155 chances. The Mariners have an ATS record of 73-82-0 in 155 games with a spread this season.
| Name | GP | AVG (Rank) | OBP (Rank) | SLG (Rank) | HR% (Rank) | K% (Rank) | BB% (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodriguez | 148 | .284 (16) | .343 (47) | .497 (21) | 4.5% (28) | 24.1% (102) | 6.6% (100) |
| J.P. Crawford | 138 | .266 (58) | .378 (11) | .432 (79) | 2.8% (97) | 19.6% (57) | 14.5% (8) |
| Cal Raleigh | 138 | .235 (116) | .311 (114) | .471 (43) | 5.5% (15) | 27.9% (121) | 9.8% (50) |
| Teoscar Hernández | 154 | .264 (63) | .313 (107) | .449 (66) | 4% (43) | 30.4% (130) | 5.8% (115) |
| Ty France | 151 | .252 (91) | .339 (51) | .362 (127) | 1.6% (124) | 17.9% (40) | 6.4% (105) |
Astros Betting Records and Team Stats
The Astros have won in 26, or 65%, of the 40 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year. This season, Houston has come away with a win 15 times in 26 chances when named as an underdog of at least +105 or longer on the moneyline. The Astros have an implied victory probability of 48.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup. Houston’s games have gone over the total in 82 of their 156 opportunities. The Astros have posted a record of 76-80-0 against the spread this season.
| Name | GP | AVG (Rank) | OBP (Rank) | SLG (Rank) | HR% (Rank) | K% (Rank) | BB% (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Tucker | 151 | .281 (21) | .367 (14) | .509 (17) | 4.4% (30) | 13.6% (9) | 12% (20) |
| Alex Bregman | 155 | .261 (74) | .364 (19) | .437 (74) | 3.4% (73) | 12.1% (7) | 12.9% (15) |
| Yordan Alvarez | 108 | .292 (-) | .409 (-) | .579 (-) | 6.2% (-) | 18.5% (-) | 14% (-) |
| Jose Altuve | 84 | .311 (-) | .397 (-) | .536 (-) | 4.4% (-) | 16.7% (-) | 11.5% (-) |
| Jeremy Pena | 143 | .264 (63) | .325 (81) | .385 (116) | 1.6% (124) | 20.6% (64) | 6.8% (96) |
Mariners vs. Astros Picks and Predictions
Our pick for this matchup is the Mariners to win (-125 on the moneyline), while we predict the scoring will go over the total (7.5 runs).