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A series opener between the Boston Red Sox (13-13) and Cleveland Guardians (12-13) is on deck Friday at 7:10 PM ET, at Fenway Park. The Guardians will give the start to Shane Bieber (1-1), and the Red Sox will turn to Nick Pivetta (1-1).
Despite playing on the road, the Guardians are still a decent moneyline favorite (-140) over the Red Sox (+121). The contest has an over/under set at 8.5.
Guardians vs. Red Sox Odds
Run Line
Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)
Moneyline
Guardians (-140)
Total
8.5 Runs (Over: -117, Under: -104)
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When, Where, at What Time is Guardians vs. Red Sox
- Game Day: Friday, April 28, 2023
- Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
- TV Channel: NESN
- Location: Boston, Massachusetts
- Stadium: Fenway Park
Guardians Injury Report
| Name | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Civale | 15-Day Injured List | Oblique |
| Sam Hentges | 15-Day Injured List | Shoulder |
| Triston McKenzie | 60-Day Injured List | Shouder |
| Cody Morris | 60-Day Injured List | Shoulder |
| Caleb Baragar | Minors | Elbow |
Red Sox Injury Report
| Name | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Duvall | 10-Day Injured List | Wrist |
| Yu Chang | 10-Day Injured List | Wrist |
| Chris Martin | 15-Day Injured List | Shoulder |
| James Paxton | 15-Day Injured List | Hamstring |
| Joely Rodriguez | 15-Day Injured List | Oblique |
| Zack Kelly | 60-Day Injured List | Elbow |
| Wyatt Mills | 60-Day Injured List | Elbow |
| Adalberto Mondesi | 60-Day Injured List | Hamstring |
| Trevor Story | 60-Day Injured List | Elbow |
Last Time Out: Guardians and Red Sox
The Guardians were vicotrious 4-1 over the Rockies Friday in their last game. Josh Naylor finished 2-for-4 with a home run and two RBI to lead them offensively while Tanner Bibee was earned the victory after throwing 5 2/3 innings, giving up one earned run on six hits while striking out eight.
The Red Sox were beaten by the Orioles 6-2 Friday. Masataka Yoshida went 1-for-4 with a home run and an RBI, and Tanner Houck was handed the loss, pitching five innings, giving up three earned runs on seven hits while striking out two.
Betting Trends
Guardians Betting Records and Team Stats
The Guardians have been favorites in 18 games this season and won eight (44.4%) of those contests. Cleveland is 5-6 this season when entering a game favored by -140 or more on the moneyline. The Guardians have a 58.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline. Cleveland’s games have gone over the total in 11 of their 25 chances. The Guardians are 8-17-0 ATS in their 25 games with a spread this season.
| Name | GP | AVG (Rank) | OBP (Rank) | SLG (Rank) | HR% (Rank) | K% (Rank) | BB% (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| José Ramírez | 25 | .271 (63) | .385 (26) | .479 (51) | 2.7% (96) | 10.7% (11) | 17.0% (9) |
| Steven Kwan | 25 | .258 (79) | .368 (52) | .309 (165) | 0.0% (163) | 10.4% (8) | 15.7% (17) |
| Andrés Giménez | 24 | .253 (94) | .343 (78) | .356 (130) | 1.0% (155) | 18.4% (53) | 8.2% (105) |
| Josh Bell | 25 | .211 (158) | .321 (102) | .367 (123) | 1.9% (130) | 22.9% (98) | 14.3% (27) |
| Myles Straw | 25 | .263 (70) | .344 (77) | .300 (168) | 0.0% (163) | 16.7% (41) | 10.0% (80) |
Red Sox Betting Records and Team Stats
The Red Sox have been chosen as underdogs in 13 games this year and have walked away with the win five times (38.5%) in those games. This season, Boston has come away with a win three times in six chances when named as an underdog of at least +121 or worse on the moneyline. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 45.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest. Contests with Boston have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 18 of 26 chances this season. In 26 games with a line this season, the Red Sox have a mark of 15-11-0 against the spread.
| Name | GP | AVG (Rank) | OBP (Rank) | SLG (Rank) | HR% (Rank) | K% (Rank) | BB% (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers | 26 | .238 (112) | .295 (136) | .574 (11) | 8.2% (5) | 20.0% (71) | 7.3% (120) |
| Alex Verdugo | 26 | .311 (19) | .377 (35) | .466 (58) | 2.6% (99) | 13.2% (18) | 7.9% (110) |
| Masataka Yoshida | 26 | .276 (53) | .371 (46) | .461 (60) | 4.5% (44) | 11.2% (12) | 11.2% (61) |
| Justin Turner | 26 | .274 (60) | .381 (29) | .389 (107) | 1.8% (136) | 11.5% (14) | 11.5% (58) |
| Kiké Hernández | 26 | .234 (116) | .311 (115) | .394 (104) | 2.8% (89) | 24.5% (114) | 9.4% (90) |
Guardians vs. Red Sox Picks and Predictions
Our top pick for Guardians vs. Red Sox sees the Red Sox (+121 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. As for the over/under, we recommend betting on the over on 8.5 runs.
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