Guardians vs Red Sox Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – April 28, 2023

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A series opener between the Boston Red Sox (13-13) and Cleveland Guardians (12-13) is on deck Friday at 7:10 PM ET, at Fenway Park. The Guardians will give the start to Shane Bieber (1-1), and the Red Sox will turn to Nick Pivetta (1-1).

Despite playing on the road, the Guardians are still a decent moneyline favorite (-140) over the Red Sox (+121). The contest has an over/under set at 8.5.

Guardians vs. Red Sox Odds

Run Line

Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)

Moneyline

Guardians (-140)

Total

8.5 Runs (Over: -117, Under: -104)

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When, Where, at What Time is Guardians vs. Red Sox

  • Game Day: Friday, April 28, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • TV Channel: NESN
  • Location: Boston, Massachusetts
  • Stadium: Fenway Park

Guardians Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Aaron Civale 15-Day Injured List Oblique
Sam Hentges 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
Triston McKenzie 60-Day Injured List Shouder
Cody Morris 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Caleb Baragar Minors Elbow

Red Sox Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Adam Duvall 10-Day Injured List Wrist
Yu Chang 10-Day Injured List Wrist
Chris Martin 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
James Paxton 15-Day Injured List Hamstring
Joely Rodriguez 15-Day Injured List Oblique
Zack Kelly 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Wyatt Mills 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Adalberto Mondesi 60-Day Injured List Hamstring
Trevor Story 60-Day Injured List Elbow

Last Time Out: Guardians and Red Sox

The Guardians were vicotrious 4-1 over the Rockies Friday in their last game. Josh Naylor finished 2-for-4 with a home run and two RBI to lead them offensively while Tanner Bibee was earned the victory after throwing 5 2/3 innings, giving up one earned run on six hits while striking out eight.

The Red Sox were beaten by the Orioles 6-2 Friday. Masataka Yoshida went 1-for-4 with a home run and an RBI, and Tanner Houck was handed the loss, pitching five innings, giving up three earned runs on seven hits while striking out two.

Betting Trends

Guardians Betting Records and Team Stats

The Guardians have been favorites in 18 games this season and won eight (44.4%) of those contests. Cleveland is 5-6 this season when entering a game favored by -140 or more on the moneyline. The Guardians have a 58.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline. Cleveland’s games have gone over the total in 11 of their 25 chances. The Guardians are 8-17-0 ATS in their 25 games with a spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
José Ramírez 25 .271 (63) .385 (26) .479 (51) 2.7% (96) 10.7% (11) 17.0% (9)
Steven Kwan 25 .258 (79) .368 (52) .309 (165) 0.0% (163) 10.4% (8) 15.7% (17)
Andrés Giménez 24 .253 (94) .343 (78) .356 (130) 1.0% (155) 18.4% (53) 8.2% (105)
Josh Bell 25 .211 (158) .321 (102) .367 (123) 1.9% (130) 22.9% (98) 14.3% (27)
Myles Straw 25 .263 (70) .344 (77) .300 (168) 0.0% (163) 16.7% (41) 10.0% (80)

Red Sox Betting Records and Team Stats

The Red Sox have been chosen as underdogs in 13 games this year and have walked away with the win five times (38.5%) in those games. This season, Boston has come away with a win three times in six chances when named as an underdog of at least +121 or worse on the moneyline. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 45.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest. Contests with Boston have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 18 of 26 chances this season. In 26 games with a line this season, the Red Sox have a mark of 15-11-0 against the spread.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Rafael Devers 26 .238 (112) .295 (136) .574 (11) 8.2% (5) 20.0% (71) 7.3% (120)
Alex Verdugo 26 .311 (19) .377 (35) .466 (58) 2.6% (99) 13.2% (18) 7.9% (110)
Masataka Yoshida 26 .276 (53) .371 (46) .461 (60) 4.5% (44) 11.2% (12) 11.2% (61)
Justin Turner 26 .274 (60) .381 (29) .389 (107) 1.8% (136) 11.5% (14) 11.5% (58)
Kiké Hernández 26 .234 (116) .311 (115) .394 (104) 2.8% (89) 24.5% (114) 9.4% (90)

Guardians vs. Red Sox Picks and Predictions

Our top pick for Guardians vs. Red Sox sees the Red Sox (+121 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. As for the over/under, we recommend betting on the over on 8.5 runs.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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