Guardians vs Red Sox Odds, Picks & Predictions – July 28

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The Cleveland Guardians (50-47) and Boston Red Sox (49-50) will battle on Thursday at Fenway Park, with first pitch at 7:10 PM ET. The Guardians will hand the ball to Triston McKenzie (7-6), and the Red Sox will turn to Kutter Crawford (2-3).

Even though the Guardians are playing on the road at the Red Sox, they are currently favored on the moneyline at -119, compared to the home team at +101. The game has an over/under set at 9 runs.

Guardians vs. Red Sox Odds

Run Line

Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)

Moneyline

Guardians (-119)

Total

9 Runs (Over: -113, Under: -108)

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When, Where, at What Time is Guardians vs. Red Sox

  • Game Day: Thursday, July 28, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Location: Boston, Massachusetts
  • Stadium: Fenway Park

Guardians Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Oscar Gonzalez 10 Day Injury List Ribs
Anthony Gose 15 Day Injury List Tricep
Aaron Civale 15 Day Injury List Wrist
Cody Morris 60 Day Injury List Shoulder

Red Sox Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Rafael Devers 10 Day Injury List Hamstring
Christian Arroyo 10 Day Injury List Groin
Trevor Story 10 Day Injury List Hand
Tyler Danish 15 Day Injury List Elbow
Matt Strahm 15 Day Injury List Wrist
Rich Hill 15 Day Injury List Knee
Michael Wacha 15 Day Injury List Shoulder
Chris Sale 15 Day Injury List Finger
Kiké Hernández 60 Day Injury List Hip Flexor
Matt Barnes 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Josh Taylor 60 Day Injury List Back
James Paxton 60 Day Injury List Elbow

Last Time Out: Guardians and Red Sox

The Guardians beat the Red Sox 7-6 yesterday, with Enyel De Los Santos getting the win (1.00 IP, 0 R, 1 H, 1 K) and Nolan Jones leading the way offensively (going 3-for-4 with two doubles and an RBI). Tanner Houck (1.00 IP, 1 R, 1 H, 0 K) took the loss for the Red Sox.

Betting Trends

Guardians Betting Records and Team Stats

The Guardians have won 28, or 65.1%, of the 43 games they’ve played as favorites this season. Cleveland has entered 38 games this season favored by -119 or more and is 25-13 in those contests. The implied probability of a win from the Guardians, based on the moneyline, is 54.3%. So far this season, Cleveland and its opponents have hit the over in 48 of their 97 games with a total. The Guardians are 52-45-0 against the spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
José Ramírez 93 .285 (35) .363 (26) .559 (7) 4.7% (26) 9.7% (4) 10.4% (47)
Amed Rosario 91 .296 (22) .332 (71) .410 (86) 1.0% (145) 14.5% (24) 4.8% (148)
Steven Kwan 85 .294 (26) .368 (20) .381 (119) 0.6% (152) 8.5% (1) 9.4% (61)
Josh Naylor 71 .279 (-) .330 (-) .506 (-) 5.1% (-) 15.6% (-) 6.9% (-)
Andrés Giménez 86 .300 (16) .362 (28) .484 (27) 3.6% (61) 21.2% (89) 5.2% (142)

Red Sox Betting Records and Team Stats

The Red Sox have won in 18, or 39.1%, of the 46 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year. This season, Boston has been victorious 14 times in 38 chances when named as an underdog of at least +101 or longer on the moneyline. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 49.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest. Boston and their opponents have hit the over in 46 of their 99 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The Red Sox are 52-47-0 against the spread in their 99 games that had a posted line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Xander Bogaerts 95 .317 (6) .389 (8) .454 (51) 1.8% (125) 20.1% (79) 9.3% (64)
Alex Verdugo 92 .265 (59) .306 (116) .370 (130) 1.6% (130) 9.8% (5) 5.7% (133)
J.D. Martínez 86 .296 (22) .364 (25) .472 (36) 2.5% (98) 24.0% (108) 8.5% (79)
Christian Vázquez 80 .281 (-) .326 (-) .432 (-) 2.7% (-) 16.3% (-) 5.6% (-)
Jackie Bradley Jr. 87 .211 (-) .259 (-) .318 (-) 1.1% (-) 19.8% (-) 6.1% (-)

Guardians vs. Red Sox Picks and Predictions

Our prediction for this matchup is the Red Sox to earn the win (+101 on the moneyline), while we predict the scoring will go under the total (9 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Stacy Sailer

Stacy has been a baseball fan for as long as she can remember. She admits that she grew up as a spoiled Yankees fan in the late-90’s/early 2000’s, but has slowly evolved into a disgruntled Yankees fan due to their lone championship title in the last 21 seasons. She follows other sports, but her first love has always been baseball and loves getting to share her insight and knowledge with the Betsperts community.

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