Guardians vs Rays AL Wild Card Series Game 1: Picks, Predictions, Moneyline and Odds – Friday, October 7

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The AL Wild Card Series opens with a matchup between the Cleveland Guardians and the Tampa Bay Rays at Progressive Field on Friday, starting at 12:07 PM ET. On the mound for the Guardians will be Shane Bieber (13-8), matched up against the Rays’ Shane McClanahan (12-8).

The Guardians (-121) are moneyline favorites at home over the Rays (+103). The over/under in this contest is set at 5.5.

Guardians vs. Rays Odds

Run Line

Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)

Moneyline

Guardians (-121)

Total

5.5 Runs (Over: -114, Under: -106)

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When, Where, at What Time is Guardians vs. Rays

  • Game Day: Friday, October 7, 2022
  • Game Time: 12:07 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Cleveland, Ohio
  • Stadium: Progressive Field

Guardians Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Anthony Gose 60 Day Injury List Tricep

Rays Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Roman Quinn 10 Day Injury List Knee
Ryan Yarbrough 15 Day Injury List Upper Body
Jalen Beeks 15 Day Injury List Leg
Colin Poche 15 Day Injury List Oblique
Mike Zunino 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Kevin Kiermaier 60 Day Injury List Hip
J.P. Feyereisen 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Andrew Kittredge 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Brandon Lowe 60 Day Injury List Back
Nick Anderson 60 Day Injury List Heel
Brendan McKay 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Shane Baz 60 Day Injury List Elbow

Last Time Out: Guardians and Rays

The Guardians won 9-2 over the Royals Friday in their last game. Aaron Civale was named the winning pitcher after throwing six innings, giving up two earned runs on five hits while striking out nine, while Jose Ramirez went 4-for-5 with a double and two RBI to lead them offensively.

The Rays were beaten by the Red Sox 6-3 Friday. Ji-Man Choi went 3-for-4 with a double, a home run and two RBI, and Josh Fleming was handed the loss, pitching four innings, giving up four earned runs on eight hits while striking out four.

Betting Trends

Guardians Betting Records and Team Stats

This season, the Guardians have been favored 87 times and won 59, or 67.8%, of those games. Cleveland has entered 77 games this season favored by -121 or more and is 51-26 in those contests. The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 54.8% chance of a victory for the Guardians. Games involving Cleveland have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 79 of 166 chances this season. The Guardians are 88-78-0 against the spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
José Ramírez 157 .277 (31) .353 (29) .512 (12) 4.3% (34) 12.0% (9) 10.1% (35)
Steven Kwan 147 .299 (11) .373 (12) .400 (91) 0.9% (126) 9.4% (2) 9.8% (42)
Amed Rosario 153 .281 (25) .311 (94) .403 (85) 1.6% (116) 16.6% (35) 3.7% (128)
Andrés Giménez 146 .294 (17) .368 (15) .463 (34) 3.1% (67) 20.3% (71) 6.2% (105)
Josh Naylor 125 .257 (-) .319 (-) .453 (-) 4.0% (-) 15.9% (-) 7.5% (-)

Rays Betting Records and Team Stats

The Rays have won in 25, or 41%, of the 61 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year. Tampa Bay has a win-loss record of 15-26 when favored by +103 or worse by oddsmakers this year. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rays have a 49.3% chance of walking away with the win. Tampa Bay and their opponents have hit the over in 75 of their 167 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The Rays are 79-88-0 against the spread in their 167 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Yandy Díaz 139 .296 (15) .401 (5) .423 (70) 1.6% (116) 10.8% (5) 14.0% (5)
Randy Arozarena 153 .263 (55) .327 (61) .445 (52) 3.1% (67) 24.2% (98) 7.1% (89)
Harold Ramirez 120 .300 (-) .343 (-) .404 (-) 1.4% (-) 16.6% (-) 4.4% (-)
Isaac Paredes 112 .205 (-) .304 (-) .435 (-) 5.2% (-) 17.6% (-) 11.5% (-)
Wander Franco 85 .277 (-) .328 (-) .417 (-) 1.7% (-) 9.6% (-) 7.6% (-)

Guardians vs. Rays Picks and Predictions

Our recommended pick for this matchup is the Guardians to win (-121 on the moneyline), while we project the scoring will go over the total (5.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Stacy Sailer

Stacy has been a baseball fan for as long as she can remember. She admits that she grew up as a spoiled Yankees fan in the late-90’s/early 2000’s, but has slowly evolved into a disgruntled Yankees fan due to their lone championship title in the last 21 seasons. She follows other sports, but her first love has always been baseball and loves getting to share her insight and knowledge with the Betsperts community.

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