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A pair of clubs in the NL Central — the Cincinnati Reds (60-96) and the Chicago Cubs (70-86) — clash on Friday at 2:20 PM ET, at Wrigley Field. Adrian Sampson (3-5) will start for the Cubs, and Graham Ashcraft (5-4) for the Reds.
The Cubs are moderate favorites on the moneyline (-147) at home over the Reds (+124). The contest has an over/under set at 7.
Cubs vs. Reds Odds
Run Line
Chicago Cubs (-1.5)
Moneyline
Cubs (-147)
Total
7 Runs (Over: -121, Under: +100)
When, Where, at What Time is Cubs vs. Reds
- Game Day: Friday, September 30, 2022
- Game Time: 2:20 PM ET
- Location: Chicago, Illinois
- Stadium: Wrigley Field
Cubs Injury Report
| Name | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Madrigal | 10 Day Injury List | Groin |
| Steven Brault | 15 Day Injury List | Shouder |
| Justin Steele | 15 Day Injury List | Back |
| Brad Wieck | 60 Day Injury List | Elbow |
| Jason Heyward | 60 Day Injury List | Knee |
| Kyle Hendricks | 60 Day Injury List | Shoulder |
| Alec Mills | 60 Day Injury List | Back |
| Rafael Ortega | 60 Day Injury List | Finger |
| Codi Heuer | 60 Day Injury List | Elbow |
| Ethan Roberts | 60 Day Injury List | Elbow |
| Wade Miley | Day-to-day | Oblique |
| Drew Smyly | Day-to-day | Shoulder |
Reds Injury Report
| Name | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Minor | 15 Day Injury List | Foot |
| Robert Dugger | 15 Day Injury List | Shoulder |
| Justin Dunn | 15 Day Injury List | Shoulder |
| Lucas Sims | 60 Day Injury List | Back |
| Nick Senzel | 60 Day Injury List | Toe |
| Joey Votto | 60 Day Injury List | Shoulder |
| Mike Moustakas | 60 Day Injury List | Calf |
| Justin Wilson | 60 Day Injury List | Elbow |
| Jeff Hoffman | 60 Day Injury List | Forearm |
| Aramis Garcia | 60 Day Injury List | Finger |
| Tyler Stephenson | 60 Day Injury List | Shoulder |
| Tony Santillan | 60 Day Injury List | Back |
Last Time Out: Cubs and Reds
The Cubs won their most recent game against the Phillies yesterday by a 2-0 score. Seiya Suzuki went 2-for-3 with a triple to lead them offensively. Javier Assad picked up the win on the strength of five innings without giving up an earned run on five hits, while striking out three.
The Reds lost to the Pirates Friday, with Alexis Diaz registering the loss while throwing one inning without giving up an earned run on one hit, while striking out two. Kyle Farmer went 1-for-4 with a home run and two RBI to lead the Reds’ offense.
Betting Trends
Cubs Betting Records and Team Stats
The Cubs have won 20, or 42.6%, of the 47 games they’ve played as favorites this season. Chicago has a record of 9-8, a 52.9% win rate, when favored by -147 or more by sportsbooks this season. The implied probability of a win from the Cubs, based on the moneyline, is 59.5%. Chicago’s games have gone over the total in 64 of their 159 chances. In 159 games with a spread this season, the Cubs are 81-78-0 ATS.
| Name | GP | AVG (Rank) | OBP (Rank) | SLG (Rank) | HR% (Rank) | K% (Rank) | BB% (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Happ | 152 | .270 (42) | .339 (47) | .443 (52) | 2.7% (83) | 23.6% (93) | 8.7% (64) |
| Nico Hoerner | 129 | .285 (24) | .331 (57) | .411 (80) | 1.8% (113) | 11.2% (6) | 5.3% (119) |
| Willson Contreras | 110 | .243 (-) | .346 (-) | .464 (-) | 4.4% (-) | 21.5% (-) | 8.9% (-) |
| Patrick Wisdom | 130 | .211 (126) | .304 (106) | .437 (60) | 4.9% (19) | 33.9% (132) | 10.3% (33) |
| Seiya Suzuki | 105 | .267 (-) | .340 (-) | .440 (-) | 3.1% (-) | 24.7% (-) | 9.3% (-) |
Reds Betting Records and Team Stats
The Reds have been victorious in 48, or 39.3%, of the 122 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season. This year, Cincinnati has won 35 of 92 games when listed as at least +124 or worse on the moneyline. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 44.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest. Contests with Cincinnati have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 76 of 161 chances this season. The Reds have posted a record of 75-86-0 against the spread this season.
| Name | GP | AVG (Rank) | OBP (Rank) | SLG (Rank) | HR% (Rank) | K% (Rank) | BB% (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Farmer | 141 | .255 (69) | .317 (82) | .390 (104) | 2.5% (89) | 17.4% (45) | 5.5% (117) |
| Jonathan India | 101 | .249 (-) | .325 (-) | .381 (-) | 2.4% (-) | 21.8% (-) | 7.3% (-) |
| TJ Friedl | 68 | .245 (-) | .319 (-) | .449 (-) | 3.2% (-) | 15.3% (-) | 7.7% (-) |
| Jake Fraley | 62 | .250 (-) | .335 (-) | .464 (-) | 4.9% (-) | 21.9% (-) | 10.3% (-) |
| Dónovan Solano | 75 | .292 (-) | .345 (-) | .397 (-) | 1.4% (-) | 19.2% (-) | 6.0% (-) |
Cubs vs. Reds Picks and Predictions
Our prediction for this matchup is the Cubs to pick up the win (-147 on the moneyline), while we predict the total score will go over the total (7 runs).