Cubs vs Reds Today: Picks, Predictions, Moneyline and Odds – Friday, September 30

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A pair of clubs in the NL Central — the Cincinnati Reds (60-96) and the Chicago Cubs (70-86) — clash on Friday at 2:20 PM ET, at Wrigley Field. Adrian Sampson (3-5) will start for the Cubs, and Graham Ashcraft (5-4) for the Reds.

The Cubs are moderate favorites on the moneyline (-147) at home over the Reds (+124). The contest has an over/under set at 7.

Cubs vs. Reds Odds

Run Line

Chicago Cubs (-1.5)

Moneyline

Cubs (-147)

Total

7 Runs (Over: -121, Under: +100)

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When, Where, at What Time is Cubs vs. Reds

  • Game Day: Friday, September 30, 2022
  • Game Time: 2:20 PM ET
  • Location: Chicago, Illinois
  • Stadium: Wrigley Field

Cubs Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Nick Madrigal 10 Day Injury List Groin
Steven Brault 15 Day Injury List Shouder
Justin Steele 15 Day Injury List Back
Brad Wieck 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Jason Heyward 60 Day Injury List Knee
Kyle Hendricks 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Alec Mills 60 Day Injury List Back
Rafael Ortega 60 Day Injury List Finger
Codi Heuer 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Ethan Roberts 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Wade Miley Day-to-day Oblique
Drew Smyly Day-to-day Shoulder

Reds Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Mike Minor 15 Day Injury List Foot
Robert Dugger 15 Day Injury List Shoulder
Justin Dunn 15 Day Injury List Shoulder
Lucas Sims 60 Day Injury List Back
Nick Senzel 60 Day Injury List Toe
Joey Votto 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Mike Moustakas 60 Day Injury List Calf
Justin Wilson 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Jeff Hoffman 60 Day Injury List Forearm
Aramis Garcia 60 Day Injury List Finger
Tyler Stephenson 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Tony Santillan 60 Day Injury List Back

Last Time Out: Cubs and Reds

The Cubs won their most recent game against the Phillies yesterday by a 2-0 score. Seiya Suzuki went 2-for-3 with a triple to lead them offensively. Javier Assad picked up the win on the strength of five innings without giving up an earned run on five hits, while striking out three.

The Reds lost to the Pirates Friday, with Alexis Diaz registering the loss while throwing one inning without giving up an earned run on one hit, while striking out two. Kyle Farmer went 1-for-4 with a home run and two RBI to lead the Reds’ offense.

Betting Trends

Cubs Betting Records and Team Stats

The Cubs have won 20, or 42.6%, of the 47 games they’ve played as favorites this season. Chicago has a record of 9-8, a 52.9% win rate, when favored by -147 or more by sportsbooks this season. The implied probability of a win from the Cubs, based on the moneyline, is 59.5%. Chicago’s games have gone over the total in 64 of their 159 chances. In 159 games with a spread this season, the Cubs are 81-78-0 ATS.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Ian Happ 152 .270 (42) .339 (47) .443 (52) 2.7% (83) 23.6% (93) 8.7% (64)
Nico Hoerner 129 .285 (24) .331 (57) .411 (80) 1.8% (113) 11.2% (6) 5.3% (119)
Willson Contreras 110 .243 (-) .346 (-) .464 (-) 4.4% (-) 21.5% (-) 8.9% (-)
Patrick Wisdom 130 .211 (126) .304 (106) .437 (60) 4.9% (19) 33.9% (132) 10.3% (33)
Seiya Suzuki 105 .267 (-) .340 (-) .440 (-) 3.1% (-) 24.7% (-) 9.3% (-)

Reds Betting Records and Team Stats

The Reds have been victorious in 48, or 39.3%, of the 122 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season. This year, Cincinnati has won 35 of 92 games when listed as at least +124 or worse on the moneyline. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 44.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest. Contests with Cincinnati have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 76 of 161 chances this season. The Reds have posted a record of 75-86-0 against the spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Kyle Farmer 141 .255 (69) .317 (82) .390 (104) 2.5% (89) 17.4% (45) 5.5% (117)
Jonathan India 101 .249 (-) .325 (-) .381 (-) 2.4% (-) 21.8% (-) 7.3% (-)
TJ Friedl 68 .245 (-) .319 (-) .449 (-) 3.2% (-) 15.3% (-) 7.7% (-)
Jake Fraley 62 .250 (-) .335 (-) .464 (-) 4.9% (-) 21.9% (-) 10.3% (-)
Dónovan Solano 75 .292 (-) .345 (-) .397 (-) 1.4% (-) 19.2% (-) 6.0% (-)

Cubs vs. Reds Picks and Predictions

Our prediction for this matchup is the Cubs to pick up the win (-147 on the moneyline), while we predict the total score will go over the total (7 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Stacy Sailer

Stacy has been a baseball fan for as long as she can remember. She admits that she grew up as a spoiled Yankees fan in the late-90’s/early 2000’s, but has slowly evolved into a disgruntled Yankees fan due to their lone championship title in the last 21 seasons. She follows other sports, but her first love has always been baseball and loves getting to share her insight and knowledge with the Betsperts community.

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