Cubs vs Reds Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – October 5, 2022

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On Wednesday, the Chicago Cubs (73-88) are visiting the Cincinnati Reds (62-99), at 4:10 PM ET, in the final game of a six-game series. The scheduled starters are Adrian Sampson (4-5) for the Cubs, and Graham Ashcraft (5-5) for the Reds.

Despite playing on the road, the Cubs are still a decent moneyline favorite (-123) over the Reds (+105). The game’s over/under is set at 8.5.

Cubs vs. Reds Odds

Run Line

Chicago Cubs (-1.5)

Moneyline

Cubs (-123)

Total

8.5 Runs (Over: -113, Under: -107)

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When, Where, at What Time is Cubs vs. Reds

  • Game Day: Wednesday, October 5, 2022
  • Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
  • Location: Cincinnati, Ohio
  • Stadium: Great American Ball Park

Cubs Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Nick Madrigal 10 Day Injury List Groin
Steven Brault 15 Day Injury List Shouder
Justin Steele 15 Day Injury List Back
Ethan Roberts 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Brad Wieck 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Jason Heyward 60 Day Injury List Knee
Kyle Hendricks 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Alec Mills 60 Day Injury List Back
Codi Heuer 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Rafael Ortega 60 Day Injury List Finger

Reds Injury Report

Name Status Injury
TJ Friedl 10 Day Injury List Hamstring
Mike Minor 15 Day Injury List Foot
Justin Dunn 15 Day Injury List Shoulder
Tejay Antone 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Tony Santillan 60 Day Injury List Back
Jeff Hoffman 60 Day Injury List Forearm
Art Warren 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Justin Wilson 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Vladimir Gutierrez 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Joey Votto 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Mike Moustakas 60 Day Injury List Calf
Nick Senzel 60 Day Injury List Toe

Last Time Out: Cubs and Reds

Yesterday, the Reds picked up a 3-2 victory over the Cubs, with Alexis Diaz (1.00 IP, 0 R, 0 H, 2 K) registering the win for the Reds. Chuckie Robinson went 2-for-3 with a home run and two RBI to lead the offensive attack. Brandon Hughes (0.00 IP, 1 R, 1 H, 0 K) took the loss for the Cubs.

Betting Trends

Cubs Betting Records and Team Stats

This season, the Cubs have been favored 51 times and won 23, or 45.1%, of those games. Chicago has a record of 21-19, a 52.5% win rate, when favored by -123 or more by oddsmakers this season. The moneyline for this contest implies a 55.2% chance of a victory for the Cubs. Chicago’s games have gone over the total in 65 of their 164 chances. The Cubs are 83-81-0 against the spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Ian Happ 157 .271 (42) .342 (40) .441 (54) 2.7% (83) 23.1% (88) 9.1% (54)
Nico Hoerner 134 .280 (28) .324 (66) .409 (81) 1.9% (113) 11.1% (6) 5.1% (119)
Willson Contreras 113 .243 (-) .349 (-) .466 (-) 4.5% (-) 21.1% (-) 9.2% (-)
Seiya Suzuki 110 .264 (-) .337 (-) .437 (-) 3.2% (-) 24.7% (-) 9.3% (-)
Patrick Wisdom 133 .205 (127) .297 (113) .425 (68) 4.8% (21) 34.8% (131) 10.1% (36)

Reds Betting Records and Team Stats

The Reds have won in 49, or 38.9%, of the 126 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year. This season, Cincinnati has been victorious 42 times in 114 chances when named as an underdog of at least +105 or worse on the moneyline. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 48.8% chance of walking away with the win. Cincinnati and their opponents have hit the over in 77 of their 166 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The Reds are 78-88-0 against the spread in their 166 games that had a posted line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Kyle Farmer 146 .254 (70) .316 (82) .386 (105) 2.4% (93) 17.1% (39) 5.7% (113)
Jonathan India 106 .247 (-) .326 (-) .377 (-) 2.3% (-) 21.9% (-) 7.2% (-)
Jake Fraley 67 .257 (-) .344 (-) .471 (-) 5.0% (-) 21.6% (-) 10.8% (-)
Dónovan Solano 80 .284 (-) .339 (-) .382 (-) 1.3% (-) 20.3% (-) 6.3% (-)
Matt Reynolds 92 .247 (-) .319 (-) .333 (-) 1.1% (-) 28.9% (-) 9.3% (-)

Cubs vs. Reds Picks and Predictions

Our prediction for this matchup is the Reds to emerge victorious (+105 on the moneyline), while we predict the scoring will go over the total (8.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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