Cubs vs Reds Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – October 1, 2022

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On Saturday, the Chicago Cubs (71-86) are hosting the Cincinnati Reds (60-97), at 2:20 PM ET. The Cubs have won five in a row. The Cubs will give the start to Drew Smyly (7-7), and the Reds will turn to Nick Lodolo (4-7).

The oddsmakers have spoken, making the Cubs (-136) a moderate moneyline favorite to defeat the Reds (+116) at home. The game has an over/under of 6.5 runs.

Cubs vs. Reds Odds

Run Line

Chicago Cubs (-1.5)

Moneyline

Cubs (-136)

Total

6.5 Runs (Over: -118, Under: -103)

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When, Where, at What Time is Cubs vs. Reds

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 1, 2022
  • Game Time: 2:20 PM ET
  • Location: Chicago, Illinois
  • Stadium: Wrigley Field

Cubs Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Nick Madrigal 10 Day Injury List Groin
Steven Brault 15 Day Injury List Shouder
Justin Steele 15 Day Injury List Back
Brad Wieck 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Jason Heyward 60 Day Injury List Knee
Kyle Hendricks 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Alec Mills 60 Day Injury List Back
Rafael Ortega 60 Day Injury List Finger
Codi Heuer 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Ethan Roberts 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Wade Miley Day-to-day Oblique
Drew Smyly Day-to-day Shoulder

Reds Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Mike Minor 15 Day Injury List Foot
Robert Dugger 15 Day Injury List Shoulder
Justin Dunn 15 Day Injury List Shoulder
Lucas Sims 60 Day Injury List Back
Nick Senzel 60 Day Injury List Toe
Joey Votto 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Mike Moustakas 60 Day Injury List Calf
Justin Wilson 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Jeff Hoffman 60 Day Injury List Forearm
Aramis Garcia 60 Day Injury List Finger
Tyler Stephenson 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Tony Santillan 60 Day Injury List Back

Last Time Out: Cubs and Reds

The Cubs took down the Reds 6-1 yesterday, with Adrian Sampson getting the win (7.00 IP, 1 R, 3 H, 6 K) and Nico Hoerner leading the way offensively (going 1-for-4 with a double and three RBI). Graham Ashcraft (2.00 IP, 5 R, 6 H, 1 K) took the loss for the Reds.

Betting Trends

Cubs Betting Records and Team Stats

The Cubs have been favorites in 48 games this season and won 21 (43.8%) of those contests. Chicago has a record of 14-15 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -136 on the moneyline. The Cubs have a 57.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline. Chicago and its opponents have hit the over in 64 of their 160 games with a total this season. In 160 games with a spread this season, the Cubs are 82-78-0 ATS.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Ian Happ 153 .272 (39) .342 (42) .444 (54) 2.7% (84) 23.4% (92) 8.8% (62)
Nico Hoerner 130 .284 (24) .330 (60) .412 (78) 1.8% (114) 11.3% (6) 5.2% (120)
Willson Contreras 110 .243 (-) .346 (-) .464 (-) 4.4% (-) 21.5% (-) 8.9% (-)
Patrick Wisdom 131 .209 (128) .301 (113) .433 (65) 4.8% (22) 34.0% (133) 10.2% (34)
Seiya Suzuki 106 .266 (-) .339 (-) .438 (-) 3.1% (-) 24.5% (-) 9.2% (-)

Reds Betting Records and Team Stats

The Reds have been victorious in 48, or 39%, of the 123 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season. This season, Cincinnati has been victorious 39 times in 102 chances when named as an underdog of at least +116 or longer on the moneyline. The Reds have an implied victory probability of 46.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup. Cincinnati and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 76 of their 162 opportunities. In 162 games with a line this season, the Reds have a mark of 75-87-0 against the spread.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Kyle Farmer 142 .253 (70) .314 (89) .387 (108) 2.5% (89) 17.2% (44) 5.5% (118)
Jonathan India 102 .246 (-) .322 (-) .377 (-) 2.4% (-) 21.9% (-) 7.2% (-)
TJ Friedl 69 .242 (-) .317 (-) .443 (-) 3.2% (-) 15.1% (-) 7.9% (-)
Jake Fraley 63 .260 (-) .342 (-) .485 (-) 5.3% (-) 21.5% (-) 10.1% (-)
Dónovan Solano 76 .292 (-) .347 (-) .396 (-) 1.4% (-) 19.6% (-) 6.3% (-)

Cubs vs. Reds Picks and Predictions

Our prediction for Cubs vs. Reds is the Cubs (-136 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. For the over/under, we pick the over on 6.5 runs.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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