Cubs vs Nationals Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – May 4, 2023

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The Washington Nationals (12-18) will host the Chicago Cubs (15-15), in the final game of a four-game series, Thursday at 1:05 PM ET. The starting pitchers are Jameson Taillon (0-2) for the Cubs, and Patrick Corbin (1-4) for the Nationals.

Despite being on the road the Cubs are a moderate moneyline favorite (-213) over the Nationals (+178). The game has an over/under set at 9 runs.

Cubs vs. Nationals Odds

Run Line

Chicago Cubs (-1.5)

Moneyline

Cubs (-213)

Total

9 Runs (Over: +101, Under: -121)

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When, Where, at What Time is Cubs vs. Nationals

  • Game Day: Thursday, May 4, 2023
  • Game Time: 1:05 PM ET
  • TV Channel: MASN
  • Location: Washington D.C.
  • Stadium: Nationals Park

Cubs Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Kyle Hendricks 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
Jameson Taillon 15-Day Injured List Groin
Brandon Hughes 15-Day Injured List Knee
Ethan Roberts 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Codi Heuer 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Yan Gomes 7-Day Injured List Concussion

Nationals Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Carter Kieboom 10-Day Injured List Shoulder
Corey Dickerson 10-Day Injured List Calf
Israel Pineda 10-Day Injured List Finger
Chad Kuhl 15-Day Injured List Foot
Cade Cavalli 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Victor Arano 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Stephen Strasburg 60-Day Injured List Ribs
Tanner Rainey 60-Day Injured List Elbow

Last Time Out: Cubs and Nationals

Carl Edwards Jr. (1.0 IP, 0 R, 0 H, 1 K) registered a win in the Nationals’ 2-1 victory over the Cubs yesterday. Lane Thomas led the way offensively, going 2-for-3 with a triple. Adbert Alzolay (0.2 IP, 1 R, 3 H, 0 K) was handed the loss for the Cubs.

Betting Trends

Cubs Betting Records and Team Stats

The Cubs have won eight, or 47.1%, of the 17 games they’ve played as favorites this season. Chicago has not entered a game this season as a bigger favorite on the moneyline than the -213 odds on them winning this game. The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 68.1% chance of a victory for the Cubs. So far this season, Chicago and its opponents have hit the over in 13 of their 30 games with a total. In 30 games with a spread this season, the Cubs are 17-13-0 ATS.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Nico Hoerner 30 .305 (21) .352 (64) .405 (100) 1.4% (146) 9.9% (7) 5.6% (156)
Cody Bellinger 27 .291 (38) .364 (54) .573 (13) 5.9% (16) 17.8% (56) 9.3% (89)
Patrick Wisdom 29 .238 (114) .325 (95) .624 (4) 9.6% (2) 33.3% (169) 10.5% (71)
Ian Happ 29 .308 (19) .430 (7) .481 (52) 2.4% (108) 20.5% (81) 18.1% (6)
Dansby Swanson 30 .295 (31) .406 (13) .393 (106) 1.5% (143) 21.8% (100) 15.8% (14)

Nationals Betting Records and Team Stats

The Nationals have been underdogs in 30 games this season and have come away with the win 12 times (40%) in those contests. This season, Washington has come away with a win four times in 10 chances when named as an underdog of at least +178 or worse on the moneyline. The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 36% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup. Contests with Washington have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 13 of 30 chances this season. The Nationals have posted a record of 18-12-0 against the spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Victor Robles 29 .302 (27) .394 (19) .372 (122) 0% (165) 13.1% (20) 9.1% (96)
Luis Garcia 30 .231 (128) .280 (158) .352 (134) 2% (124) 8% (4) 7% (129)
Jeimer Candelario 30 .231 (128) .280 (158) .388 (108) 3% (84) 21.2% (92) 5.3% (158)
Alex Call 30 .229 (133) .333 (83) .323 (159) 1.8% (131) 19.3% (68) 13.2% (35)
CJ Abrams 30 .245 (102) .308 (128) .388 (108) 1.9% (129) 21.5% (96) 5.6% (156)

Cubs vs. Nationals Picks and Predictions

Our pick for this matchup is the Cubs to earn the win (-213 on the moneyline), while we predict the total score will go over the total (9 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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