Braves vs Red Sox Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – May 9, 2023

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A series opener between the Boston Red Sox (21-15) and Atlanta Braves (24-11) is scheduled for Tuesday at 7:20 PM ET, at Truist Park. Charlie Morton (3-3) is the starter for the Braves, and Nick Pivetta (2-2) for the Red Sox.

At home, the Braves are favored to win on the moneyline (-185) over the Red Sox (+156). The game’s over/under is set at 9.5.

Braves vs. Red Sox Odds

Run Line

Atlanta Braves (-1.5)

Moneyline

Braves (-185)

Total

9.5 Runs (Over: -114, Under: -106)

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When, Where, at What Time is Braves vs. Red Sox

  • Game Day: Tuesday, May 9, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:20 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TBS
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Stadium: Truist Park

Braves Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Ehire Adrianza 10-Day Injured List Elbow
Lucas Luetge 15-Day Injured List Bicep
Kyle Wright 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
Kolby Allard 60-Day Injured List Oblique
Huascar Ynoa 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Tyler Matzek 60-Day Injured List Elbow

Red Sox Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Yu Chang 10-Day Injured List Wrist
Christian Arroyo 10-Day Injured List Hamstring
Kutter Crawford 15-Day Injured List Hamstring
Garrett Whitlock 15-Day Injured List Elbow
Joely Rodriguez 15-Day Injured List Oblique
James Paxton 15-Day Injured List Hamstring
Adam Duvall 60-Day Injured List Wrist
Adalberto Mondesi 60-Day Injured List Hamstring
Trevor Story 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Wyatt Mills 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Zack Kelly 60-Day Injured List Elbow

Last Time Out: Braves and Red Sox

The Braves won their last game against the Orioles Tuesday by a 3-2 score. Matt Olson went 1-for-4 with a home run and an RBI to lead them offensively. Michael Tonkin picked up the win on the strength of two innings without giving up a hit or an earned run while striking out one.

The Red Sox were defeated by the Phillies 6-1 Tuesday. Triston Casas went 1-for-2 with a home run and an RBI in the defeat, while Tanner Houck took the loss on the mound, pitching 5 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs on five hits while striking out four.

Betting Trends

Braves Betting Records and Team Stats

This season, the Braves have been favored 30 times and won 20, or 66.7%, of those games. Atlanta is 9-1 this season when entering a game favored by -185 or more on the moneyline. The moneyline for this contest implies a 64.9% chance of a victory for the Braves. Games involving Atlanta have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 21 of 35 chances this season. The Braves are 17-18-0 against the spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Ronald Acuña Jr. 35 .338 (4) .438 (4) .551 (14) 3.8% (58) 14.4% (24) 14.4% (22)
Sean Murphy 34 .282 (48) .426 (8) .621 (2) 7% (7) 21.7% (97) 16.3% (10)
Ozzie Albies 35 .283 (44) .324 (103) .543 (20) 6.1% (11) 16.3% (37) 5.4% (156)
Matt Olson 35 .246 (105) .373 (38) .530 (25) 6.3% (9) 33.8% (167) 16.3% (10)
Austin Riley 35 .246 (105) .331 (90) .418 (85) 3.9% (55) 26% (130) 11% (59)

Red Sox Betting Records and Team Stats

The Red Sox have come away with 11 wins in the 21 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season. Boston has been listed as an underdog of +156 or more on two occasions this season and split those games. The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 39.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup. Boston’s games have gone over the total in 24 of their 36 opportunities. The Red Sox are 23-13-0 against the spread in their 36 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Rafael Devers 36 .250 (99) .310 (122) .550 (16) 7.2% (5) 20.3% (79) 7.2% (127)
Alex Verdugo 35 .307 (19) .383 (26) .504 (42) 3.3% (77) 13.1% (20) 9.2% (94)
Masataka Yoshida 35 .321 (9) .403 (12) .536 (23) 4.7% (36) 8.5% (5) 10.1% (74)
Justin Turner 36 .265 (71) .357 (54) .360 (137) 1.3% (146) 13.4% (21) 10.2% (72)
Kiké Hernández 34 .236 (121) .295 (143) .362 (132) 2.2% (116) 21.6% (95) 7.2% (127)

Braves vs. Red Sox Picks and Predictions

Our recommended pick for this matchup is the Braves to pick up the win (-185 on the moneyline), while we predict the total score will go under the total (9.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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