Braves vs Red Sox Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – May 10, 2023

Betsperts Media & Technology

The Atlanta Braves (25-11) will host the Boston Red Sox (21-16), Wednesday at 7:20 PM ET, with the Braves on a three-game winning run. The Braves will hand the ball to Max Fried (2-1), and the Red Sox will counter with Brayan Bello (1-1).

Sportsbooks have made the Braves a decent moneyline favorite (-160) at home over the Red Sox (+135). The total for the Braves-Red Sox game is 10.

Braves vs. Red Sox Odds

Run Line

Atlanta Braves (-1.5)

Moneyline

Braves (-160)

Total

10 Runs (Over: -112, Under: -109)

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When, Where, at What Time is Braves vs. Red Sox

  • Game Day: Wednesday, May 10, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:20 PM ET
  • TV Channel: MLBN
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Stadium: Truist Park

Braves Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Ehire Adrianza 10-Day Injured List Elbow
Max Fried 15-Day Injured List Forearm
Lucas Luetge 15-Day Injured List Bicep
Kyle Wright 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
Tyler Matzek 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Kolby Allard 60-Day Injured List Oblique
Huascar Ynoa 60-Day Injured List Elbow

Red Sox Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Christian Arroyo 10-Day Injured List Hamstring
Yu Chang 10-Day Injured List Wrist
Garrett Whitlock 15-Day Injured List Elbow
Kutter Crawford 15-Day Injured List Hamstring
Joely Rodriguez 15-Day Injured List Oblique
Adam Duvall 60-Day Injured List Wrist
Wyatt Mills 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Adalberto Mondesi 60-Day Injured List Hamstring
Trevor Story 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Zack Kelly 60-Day Injured List Elbow

Last Time Out: Braves and Red Sox

These clubs play again following the Braves’ 9-3 victory over the Red Sox yesterday. Charlie Morton (6.0 IP, 2 R, 5 H, 7 K) picked up the win for the Braves. Matt Olson went 1-for-2 with a home run and two RBI to lead the team on offense. Nick Pivetta (4.0 IP, 7 R, 8 H, 2 K) was credited with the loss on the mound for the Red Sox.

Betting Trends

Braves Betting Records and Team Stats

The Braves have won 21, or 67.7%, of the 31 games they’ve played as favorites this season. This season, Atlanta has won 11 of its 14 games, or 78.6%, when favored by at least -160 on the moneyline. The implied probability of a win from the Braves, based on the moneyline, is 61.5%. Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 22 of their 36 games with a total this season. The Braves are 18-18-0 against the spread in their 36 chances this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Ronald Acuña Jr. 36 .343 (3) .443 (2) .557 (9) 3.6% (60) 14.5% (23) 14.5% (20)
Sean Murphy 35 .299 (26) .440 (3) .636 (2) 6.7% (7) 20.9% (87) 15.7% (13)
Matt Olson 36 .250 (93) .386 (26) .551 (13) 6.7% (7) 33.3% (164) 17.6% (8)
Ozzie Albies 36 .280 (49) .320 (109) .531 (25) 5.9% (15) 15.8% (34) 5.3% (154)
Austin Riley 36 .239 (113) .327 (96) .406 (95) 3.8% (56) 25.8% (125) 11.3% (54)

Red Sox Betting Records and Team Stats

The Red Sox have been underdogs in 22 games this season and have come away with the win 11 times (50%) in those contests. Boston has a mark of 4-3 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by +135 or worse on the moneyline. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 42.6% chance of walking away with the win. Contests with Boston have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 25 of 37 chances this season. The Red Sox have posted a record of 23-14-0 against the spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Alex Verdugo 36 .317 (11) .390 (20) .514 (35) 3.2% (80) 12.7% (16) 8.9% (97)
Rafael Devers 37 .245 (101) .308 (121) .538 (22) 7.0% (6) 21.0% (89) 7.6% (116)
Masataka Yoshida 36 .308 (18) .388 (23) .513 (36) 4.5% (38) 9.0% (6) 9.7% (81)
Justin Turner 37 .273 (62) .360 (51) .396 (102) 1.9% (132) 13.0% (18) 9.9% (75)
Kiké Hernández 35 .238 (117) .301 (135) .362 (128) 2.1% (120) 21.7% (94) 7.7% (113)

Braves vs. Red Sox Picks and Predictions

Our prediction for this matchup is the Braves to win (-160 on the moneyline), while we project the total score will go under the total (10 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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