Braves vs Phillies Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – May 28, 2023

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The Atlanta Braves (31-21) and Philadelphia Phillies (25-27) will battle on Sunday at Truist Park, starting at 7:10 PM ET. On the mound for the Braves will be Spencer Strider (4-2), opposed by the Phillies’ Dylan Covey.

With the Phillies (+220) visiting, the Braves (-264) are a solid favorite on the moneyline. The total for the Braves-Phillies game is 8.5.

Braves vs. Phillies Odds

Run Line

Atlanta Braves (-1.5)

Moneyline

Braves (-264)

Total

8.5 Runs (Over: -112, Under: -109)

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When, Where, at What Time is Braves vs. Phillies

  • Game Day: Sunday, May 28, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN2
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Stadium: Truist Park

Braves Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Michael Tonkin 15-Day Injured List Neck
Max Fried 15-Day Injured List Forearm
Dylan Lee 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
Kyle Wright 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Ehire Adrianza 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Kolby Allard 60-Day Injured List Oblique
Tyler Matzek 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Huascar Ynoa 60-Day Injured List Elbow

Phillies Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Cristian Pache 10-Day Injured List Knee
José Alvarado 15-Day Injured List Elbow
Darick Hall 60-Day Injured List Thumb
Noah Song 60-Day Injured List Back
Rafael Marchan 60-Day Injured List Hand
Rhys Hoskins 60-Day Injured List Knee

Last Time Out: Braves and Phillies

These squads meet again after the Phillies’ 2-1 victory over the Braves yesterday. Zack Wheeler (8.0 IP, 0 R, 3 H, 12 K) earned the win for the Phillies. Trea Turner went 2-for-5 with a double and an RBI to lead the team on offense. Charlie Morton (5.1 IP, 2 R, 7 H, 9 K) took the loss on the mound for the Braves.

Betting Trends

Braves Betting Records and Team Stats

The Braves have won 22, or 57.9%, of the 38 games they’ve played as favorites this season. Atlanta has played as a favorite of -264 or more twice this season and won both games. The implied probability of a win from the Braves, based on the moneyline, is 72.5%. So far this season, Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 27 of their 44 games with a total. The Braves have an ATS record of 16-28-0 in 44 games with a spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Ronald Acuña Jr. 52 .322 (6) .407 (7) .556 (9) 4.7% (31) 14% (18) 11.9% (39)
Matt Olson 52 .227 (135) .355 (41) .505 (29) 6% (14) 30.3% (154) 15.8% (9)
Sean Murphy 43 .280 (44) .397 (11) .567 (6) 6.1% (13) 22.9% (103) 12.3% (33)
Ozzie Albies 52 .251 (91) .298 (134) .462 (57) 4.7% (31) 15.3% (24) 5.1% (145)
Austin Riley 52 .264 (72) .335 (82) .453 (69) 4% (46) 26.9% (127) 9.7% (77)

Phillies Betting Records and Team Stats

The Phillies have been underdogs in 14 games this season and have come away with the win seven times (50%) in those contests. Oddsmakers have given Philadelphia the worst odds of winning they have seen this season with a +220 moneyline listed for this contest. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 31.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest. Contests with Philadelphia have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 20 of 45 chances this season. The Phillies are 21-24-0 against the spread in their 45 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Alec Bohm 52 .269 (58) .325 (98) .409 (97) 2.8% (100) 16% (35) 7.1% (120)
Nicholas Castellanos 52 .300 (13) .350 (49) .468 (50) 2.3% (111) 25.9% (119) 7.3% (112)
Bryson Stott 50 .293 (20) .330 (90) .409 (97) 2.2% (119) 16.5% (37) 5.4% (142)
Kyle Schwarber 52 .166 (162) .320 (109) .392 (110) 5.4% (20) 28.8% (145) 17.1% (4)
Trea Turner 51 .248 (101) .293 (141) .390 (114) 2.2% (119) 25.4% (117) 6% (138)

Braves vs. Phillies Picks and Predictions

We predict that the Braves will pick up the win in this game, and they’re our choice on the moneyline (-264). If you’re looking for a pick on the over/under, we predict the final scoring winding up over the total (8.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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