Braves vs Phillies Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – May 27, 2023

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The Philadelphia Phillies (24-27) and Atlanta Braves (31-20) will meet on Saturday at Truist Park, starting at 4:10 PM ET. On the hill for the Braves will be Charlie Morton (5-4), opposed by the Phillies’ Zack Wheeler (3-4).

Bookmakers have made the Braves a decent moneyline favorite (-140) at home over the Phillies (+119). The over/under in this contest is set at 9.

Braves vs. Phillies Odds

Run Line

Atlanta Braves (-1.5)

Moneyline

Braves (-140)

Total

9 Runs (Over: +101, Under: -122)

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When, Where, at What Time is Braves vs. Phillies

  • Game Day: Saturday, May 27, 2023
  • Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FS1
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Stadium: Truist Park

Braves Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Michael Tonkin 15-Day Injured List Neck
Max Fried 15-Day Injured List Forearm
Dylan Lee 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
Kyle Wright 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Ehire Adrianza 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Kolby Allard 60-Day Injured List Oblique
Tyler Matzek 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Huascar Ynoa 60-Day Injured List Elbow

Phillies Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Cristian Pache 10-Day Injured List Knee
José Alvarado 15-Day Injured List Elbow
Darick Hall 60-Day Injured List Thumb
Noah Song 60-Day Injured List Back
Rafael Marchan 60-Day Injured List Hand
Rhys Hoskins 60-Day Injured List Knee

Last Time Out: Braves and Phillies

The Phillies defeated the Braves 6-4 yesterday, with Taijuan Walker getting the win (6.2 IP, 3 R, 10 H, 1 K) and Bryson Stott leading the way offensively (going 2-for-3). Joe Jimenez (0.1 IP, 1 R, 1 H, 0 K) took the loss for the Braves.

Betting Trends

Braves Betting Records and Team Stats

The Braves have been favorites in 37 games this season and won 22 (59.5%) of those contests. Atlanta has entered 24 games this season favored by -140 or more and is 16-8 in those contests. The implied probability of a win from the Braves, based on the moneyline, is 58.3%. So far this season, Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 27 of their 43 games with a total. In 43 games with a spread this season, the Braves are 16-27-0 ATS.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Ronald Acuña Jr. 51 .323 (6) .409 (6) .562 (6) 4.7% (31) 13.8% (17) 12.1% (37)
Matt Olson 51 .232 (128) .361 (37) .516 (21) 6.1% (13) 30.4% (155) 16.1% (11)
Sean Murphy 42 .274 (54) .394 (14) .541 (10) 5.7% (16) 22.3% (96) 12.6% (30)
Ozzie Albies 51 .254 (88) .297 (139) .467 (52) 4.7% (31) 15.6% (31) 4.7% (150)
Austin Riley 51 .264 (72) .336 (82) .452 (70) 4% (51) 26.5% (125) 9.9% (76)

Phillies Betting Records and Team Stats

The Phillies have been chosen as underdogs in 13 games this year and have walked away with the win six times (46.2%) in those games. Philadelphia has a win-loss record of 2-3 when favored by +119 or worse by sportsbooks this year. Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 45.7% chance of pulling out a win. Contests with Philadelphia have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 20 of 44 chances this season. The Phillies are 20-24-0 against the spread in their 44 games that had a posted line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Alec Bohm 51 .270 (61) .327 (100) .413 (91) 2.9% (89) 15.9% (35) 7.2% (117)
Nicholas Castellanos 51 .296 (16) .344 (63) .462 (61) 2.3% (115) 25.6% (116) 7% (122)
Bryson Stott 49 .294 (20) .333 (86) .412 (93) 2.3% (115) 16% (37) 5.5% (143)
Kyle Schwarber 51 .169 (163) .318 (111) .399 (104) 5.5% (21) 28.6% (145) 16.6% (6)
Trea Turner 50 .244 (102) .291 (144) .385 (117) 2.2% (123) 25.6% (116) 6.2% (137)

Braves vs. Phillies Picks and Predictions

We predict that the Braves will pick up the victory in this game, and they’re our choice on the moneyline (-140). If you’re looking for a pick on the over/under, we see the final scoring winding up under the total (9 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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