Braves vs Phillies NLDS Game 4 Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – October 15, 2022

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The Atlanta Braves visit the Philadelphia Phillies in Game 4 of the NLDS on Saturday 2:07 PM ET at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies are up 2-1 in the series and can clinch with a victory. On the mound for the Braves will be Charlie Morton (9-6), opposed by the Phillies’ Noah Syndergaard (10-10).

Despite being the away team the Braves are a moderate moneyline favorite (-125) over the Phillies (+105). The contest has a total set at 8.5.

Braves vs. Phillies Odds

Run Line

Atlanta Braves (-1.5)

Moneyline

Braves (-125)

Total

8.5 Runs (Over: -122, Under: +101)

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When, Where, at What Time is Braves vs. Phillies

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 15, 2022
  • Game Time: 2:07 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FS1
  • Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • Stadium: Citizens Bank Park

Braves Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Adam Duvall 60 Day Injury List Wrist
Darren O’Day 60 Day Injury List Calf
Manny Piña 60 Day Injury List Wrist
Luke Jackson 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Huascar Ynoa 60 Day Injury List Elbow

Phillies Injury Report

Name Status Injury
David Robertson 40 Man Active Calf
Corey Knebel 60 Day Injury List Back
Kent Emanuel 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Mark Appel 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Hans Crouse 60 Day Injury List Bicep
Simon Muzziotti 60 Day Injury List Undisclosed
Damon Jones 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
James McArthur 60 Day Injury List Elbow

Last Time Out: Braves and Phillies

These squads play again after the Phillies’ 9-1 victory over the Braves yesterday. Aaron Nola (6.00 IP, 0 R, 5 H, 6 K) picked up the win for the Phillies. Bryce Harper went 2-for-4 with a double, a home run and three RBI to lead the team on offense. Spencer Strider (2.00 IP, 5 R, 3 H, 4 K) was credited with the loss on the mound for the Braves.

Betting Trends

Braves Betting Records and Team Stats

The Braves have entered the game as favorites 133 times this season and won 91, or 68.4%, of those games. Atlanta has a record of 87-36, a 70.7% win rate, when favored by -125 or more by oddsmakers this season. Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 55.6% chance to win. Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 84 of their 168 games with a total this season. In 168 games with a spread this season, the Braves are 84-84-0 ATS.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Austin Riley 159 .273 (37) .349 (32) .528 (8) 5.5% (8) 24.2% (98) 8.2% (72)
Matt Olson 162 .240 (92) .325 (65) .477 (22) 4.9% (19) 24.3% (102) 10.7% (26)
Dansby Swanson 162 .277 (31) .329 (59) .447 (49) 3.6% (51) 26.1% (115) 7.0% (92)
Michael Harris 115 .297 (-) .339 (-) .514 (-) 4.3% (-) 24.3% (-) 4.8% (-)
Ronald Acuña Jr. 121 .266 (49) .352 (30) .413 (77) 2.8% (79) 23.7% (93) 10.0% (37)

Phillies Betting Records and Team Stats

The Phillies have been chosen as underdogs in 64 games this year and have walked away with the win 30 times (46.9%) in those games. Philadelphia has a mark of 21-23 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by +105 or worse on the moneyline. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 48.8% chance of walking away with the win. Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 86 of their 171 opportunities. The Phillies have posted a record of 86-85-0 against the spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Kyle Schwarber 155 .218 (122) .323 (71) .504 (15) 6.9% (2) 29.9% (127) 12.9% (10)
J.T. Realmuto 139 .273 (37) .339 (46) .475 (24) 3.9% (44) 21.3% (76) 7.3% (85)
Rhys Hoskins 156 .247 (81) .333 (52) .461 (36) 4.5% (28) 25.2% (109) 10.7% (26)
Alec Bohm 152 .278 (29) .314 (88) .398 (93) 2.1% (107) 17.5% (48) 4.9% (123)
Bryce Harper 100 .284 (-) .362 (-) .508 (-) 4.2% (-) 20.4% (-) 10.8% (-)

Braves vs. Phillies Picks and Predictions

We predict that the Phillies will pick up the win in this matchup, and they’re our choice on the moneyline (+105). If you’re looking for a pick on the over/under, we predict the final scoring winding up over the total (8.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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