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The Atlanta Braves host the Philadelphia Phillies in the opening game of the NLDS on Tuesday 1:07 PM ET at Truist Park. The starting pitchers are Max Fried (14-7) for the Braves, and Ranger Suarez (10-7) for the Phillies.
The sportsbooks have spoken, making the Braves (-201) a moderate moneyline favorite to beat the Phillies (+171) at home. The over/under in this contest is set at 7.5.
Braves vs. Phillies Odds
Run Line
Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
Moneyline
Braves (-201)
Total
7.5 Runs (Over: +104, Under: -125)
When, Where, at What Time is Braves vs. Phillies
- Game Day: Tuesday, October 11, 2022
- Game Time: 1:07 PM ET
- TV Channel: FOX
- Location: Atlanta, Georgia
- Stadium: Truist Park
Braves Injury Report
| Name | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Duvall | 60 Day Injury List | Wrist |
| Darren O’Day | 60 Day Injury List | Calf |
| Manny Piña | 60 Day Injury List | Wrist |
| Luke Jackson | 60 Day Injury List | Elbow |
| Huascar Ynoa | 60 Day Injury List | Elbow |
| Max Fried | Day-to-day | Illness |
Phillies Injury Report
| Name | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Knebel | 60 Day Injury List | Back |
| Kent Emanuel | 60 Day Injury List | Elbow |
| Mark Appel | 60 Day Injury List | Elbow |
| Hans Crouse | 60 Day Injury List | Bicep |
| Simon Muzziotti | 60 Day Injury List | Undisclosed |
| Damon Jones | 60 Day Injury List | Shoulder |
| James McArthur | 60 Day Injury List | Elbow |
Last Time Out: Braves and Phillies
The Braves lost 12-9 against the Marlins Tuesday, with Jesse Chavez taking the loss. He threw zero innings, giving up four earned runs on three hits while striking out one. Marcell Ozuna went 3-for-5 with a double, a home run and three RBI to lead the Braves offensively.
The Phillies took down the Cardinals 2-0 Tuesday. Bryce Harper led the way offensively after going 2-for-4 with a home run and an RBI, and Aaron Nola got the win, throwing six innings without giving up an earned run on four hits, while striking out six.
Betting Trends
Braves Betting Records and Team Stats
This season, the Braves have been favored 130 times and won 90, or 69.2%, of those games. Atlanta has a record of 36-10, a 78.3% win rate, when favored by -201 or more by oddsmakers this season. The implied probability of a win from the Braves, based on the moneyline, is 66.8%. So far this season, Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 82 of their 165 games with a total. The Braves are 83-82-0 against the spread this season.
| Name | GP | AVG (Rank) | OBP (Rank) | SLG (Rank) | HR% (Rank) | K% (Rank) | BB% (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley | 159 | .273 (37) | .349 (32) | .528 (8) | 5.5% (8) | 24.2% (98) | 8.2% (72) |
| Matt Olson | 162 | .240 (92) | .325 (65) | .477 (22) | 4.9% (19) | 24.3% (102) | 10.7% (26) |
| Dansby Swanson | 162 | .277 (31) | .329 (59) | .447 (49) | 3.6% (51) | 26.1% (115) | 7.0% (92) |
| Michael Harris | 115 | .297 (-) | .339 (-) | .514 (-) | 4.3% (-) | 24.3% (-) | 4.8% (-) |
| Ronald Acuña Jr. | 121 | .266 (49) | .352 (30) | .413 (77) | 2.8% (79) | 23.7% (93) | 10.0% (37) |
Phillies Betting Records and Team Stats
The Phillies have been underdogs in 61 games this season and have come away with the win 28 times (45.9%) in those contests. Philadelphia has a mark of 2-6 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by +171 or worse on the moneyline. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 36.9% chance of walking away with the win. Philadelphia and their opponents have hit the over in 84 of their 168 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. In 168 games with a line this season, the Phillies have a mark of 84-84-0 against the spread.
| Name | GP | AVG (Rank) | OBP (Rank) | SLG (Rank) | HR% (Rank) | K% (Rank) | BB% (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber | 155 | .218 (122) | .323 (71) | .504 (15) | 6.9% (2) | 29.9% (127) | 12.9% (10) |
| J.T. Realmuto | 139 | .273 (37) | .339 (46) | .475 (24) | 3.9% (44) | 21.3% (76) | 7.3% (85) |
| Rhys Hoskins | 156 | .247 (81) | .333 (52) | .461 (36) | 4.5% (28) | 25.2% (109) | 10.7% (26) |
| Alec Bohm | 152 | .278 (29) | .314 (88) | .398 (93) | 2.1% (107) | 17.5% (48) | 4.9% (123) |
| Bryce Harper | 100 | .284 (-) | .362 (-) | .508 (-) | 4.2% (-) | 20.4% (-) | 10.8% (-) |
Braves vs. Phillies Picks and Predictions
We pick that the Braves will pick up the win in this contest, and they’re our choice on the moneyline (-201). If you’re looking for a pick on the over/under, we predict the final scoring winding up over the total (7.5 runs).