Braves vs Mets Today: Picks, Predictions, Moneyline and Odds – Sunday, April 30

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At Citi Field on Sunday, the New York Mets (15-12) play the Atlanta Braves (18-9), with first pitch at 1:40 PM ET. On the hill for the Braves will be Spencer Strider (3-0), matched up against the Mets’ Tylor Megill (3-1).

Despite playing away from home the Braves are at -176 to win, compared to the Mets at +148. The over/under for the Braves-Mets game is 7.5.

Braves vs. Mets Odds

Run Line

Atlanta Braves (-1.5)

Moneyline

Braves (-176)

Total

7.5 Runs (Over: -110, Under: -110)

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When, Where, at What Time is Braves vs. Mets

  • Game Day: Sunday, April 30, 2023
  • Game Time: 1:40 PM ET
  • TV Channel: SNY
  • Location: Queens, New York
  • Stadium: Citi Field

Braves Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Orlando Arcia 10-Day Injured List Wrist
Lucas Luetge 15-Day Injured List Bicep
Raisel Iglesias 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
Kolby Allard 60-Day Injured List Oblique
Huascar Ynoa 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Tyler Matzek 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Travis d’Arnaud 7-Day Injured List Concussion

Mets Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Omar Narváez 10-Day Injured List Calf
Tim Locastro 10-Day Injured List Back
Brooks Raley 15-Day Injured List Elbow
Justin Verlander 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
Stephen Ridings 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
Elieser Hernandez 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
Stephen Nogosek 15-Day Injured List Elbow
Edwin Uceta 15-Day Injured List Ankle
Carlos Carrasco 15-Day Injured List Elbow
Bryce Montes de Oca 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Edwin Díaz 60-Day Injured List Knee
José Quintana 60-Day Injured List Ribs

Last Time Out: Braves and Mets

Max Fried (5.0 IP, 0 R, 3 H, 7 K) picked up the win in the Braves’ 4-0 victory over the Mets Sunday. Matt Olson led the way offensively, going 1-for-3 with a home run and three RBI. David Peterson (5.0 IP, 4 R, 5 H, 6 K) was handed the loss for the Mets.

Betting Trends

Braves Betting Records and Team Stats

The Braves have been favorites in 24 games this season and won 16 (66.7%) of those contests. This season, Atlanta has won seven of its eight games when favored by at least -176 on the moneyline. The implied probability of a win from the Braves, based on the moneyline, is 63.8%. Atlanta and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 16 of their 27 opportunities. The Braves are 14-13-0 against the spread in their 27 chances this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Ronald Acuña Jr. 27 .352 (3) .444 (3) .546 (23) 3.2% (82) 14.4% (30) 13.6% (38)
Matt Olson 27 .252 (92) .369 (43) .563 (16) 6.6% (9) 35.2% (176) 14.8% (20)
Ozzie Albies 27 .252 (92) .304 (131) .495 (40) 6.3% (12) 16.2% (37) 6.3% (140)
Sean Murphy 26 .256 (81) .396 (20) .577 (13) 6.3% (12) 24.0% (110) 16.7% (11)
Austin Riley 27 .253 (88) .350 (67) .444 (70) 4.3% (48) 29.9% (153) 12.8% (45)

Mets Betting Records and Team Stats

The Mets have come away with three wins in the eight contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season. New York has yet to play a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +148. The Mets have an implied victory probability of 40.3% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup. New York and their opponents have hit the over in 11 of their 27 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The Mets are 13-14-0 against the spread in their 27 games that had a posted line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Pete Alonso 27 .257 (80) .328 (91) .562 (17) 8.6% (3) 23.3% (105) 9.5% (84)
Brandon Nimmo 27 .330 (8) .435 (5) .457 (59) 1.7% (138) 13.9% (25) 14.8% (20)
Francisco Lindor 27 .218 (148) .316 (113) .446 (68) 3.4% (74) 25.6% (124) 9.4% (88)
Jeff McNeil 27 .298 (28) .416 (10) .415 (92) 0.9% (158) 8.0% (4) 13.3% (41)
Mark Canha 26 .224 (136) .310 (119) .365 (127) 2.0% (123) 19.0% (63) 10.0% (79)

Braves vs. Mets Picks and Predictions

Our prediction for Braves vs. Mets sees the Braves (-176 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. For the total, we pick the over on 7.5 runs.

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WRITTEN BY

Stacy Sailer

Stacy has been a baseball fan for as long as she can remember. She admits that she grew up as a spoiled Yankees fan in the late-90’s/early 2000’s, but has slowly evolved into a disgruntled Yankees fan due to their lone championship title in the last 21 seasons. She follows other sports, but her first love has always been baseball and loves getting to share her insight and knowledge with the Betsperts community.

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