Braves vs Mets Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – April 28, 2023

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On Friday, a clash of NL East rivals is on the docket, with the Atlanta Braves (17-9) visiting the New York Mets (15-11) at 7:10 PM ET. The starting pitchers are Max Fried (1-0) for the Braves, and David Peterson (1-3) for the Mets.

Despite playing away from their home ballpark, the Braves are favored to win (-144) over the Mets (+123). The game’s total is set at 7.5.

Braves vs. Mets Odds

Run Line

Atlanta Braves (-1.5)

Moneyline

Braves (-144)

Total

7.5 Runs (Over: -116, Under: -105)

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When, Where, at What Time is Braves vs. Mets

  • Game Day: Friday, April 28, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • TV Channel: MLBN
  • Location: Queens, New York
  • Stadium: Citi Field

Braves Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Michael Harris 10-Day Injured List Back
Orlando Arcia 10-Day Injured List Wrist
Lucas Luetge 15-Day Injured List Bicep
Raisel Iglesias 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
Huascar Ynoa 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Kolby Allard 60-Day Injured List Oblique
Tyler Matzek 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Travis d’Arnaud 7-Day Injured List Concussion
Eli White Paternity List Personal
Joe Jiménez Paternity List Personal

Mets Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Tim Locastro 10-Day Injured List Back
Omar Narváez 10-Day Injured List Calf
Justin Verlander 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
Stephen Ridings 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
Elieser Hernandez 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
Stephen Nogosek 15-Day Injured List Elbow
Edwin Uceta 15-Day Injured List Ankle
Carlos Carrasco 15-Day Injured List Elbow
Bryce Montes de Oca 60-Day Injured List Elbow
José Quintana 60-Day Injured List Ribs
Edwin Díaz 60-Day Injured List Knee
Sam Coonrod 60-Day Injured List Back

Last Time Out: Braves and Mets

The Braves’ matchup yesterday versus the Marlins finished in a 5-4 loss. Kevin Pillar went 1-for-2 with an RBI in the defeat, while A.J. Minter threw 2/3 of an inning, giving up five earned runs on five hits while striking out two en route to taking the loss.

Betting Trends

Braves Betting Records and Team Stats

The Braves have entered the game as favorites 23 times this season and won 15, or 65.2%, of those games. Atlanta has entered 14 games this season favored by -144 or more and is 11-3 in those contests. Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 59% chance to win. Atlanta’s games have gone over the total in 16 of their 26 chances. In 26 games with a spread this season, the Braves are 13-13-0 ATS.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Ronald Acuña Jr. 26 .352 (3) .447 (2) .552 (17) 3.3% (81) 13.9% (24) 13.9% (32)
Ozzie Albies 26 .257 (84) .309 (119) .505 (41) 6.4% (14) 15.6% (36) 6.4% (139)
Matt Olson 26 .250 (98) .370 (50) .540 (23) 5.9% (18) 35.3% (176) 15.1% (21)
Sean Murphy 25 .263 (70) .404 (17) .592 (7) 6.4% (14) 23.4% (104) 17.0% (9)
Austin Riley 26 .258 (79) .351 (69) .454 (67) 4.4% (50) 28.9% (142) 12.3% (46)

Mets Betting Records and Team Stats

The Mets have been underdogs in seven games this season and have come away with the win three times (42.9%) in those contests. New York has played as an underdog of +123 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game. The Mets have an implied victory probability of 44.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup. Contests with New York have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 11 of 26 chances this season. In 26 games with a line this season, the Mets have a mark of 13-13-0 against the spread.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Pete Alonso 26 .252 (97) .325 (97) .563 (15) 8.8% (3) 22.8% (97) 9.6% (84)
Brandon Nimmo 26 .341 (4) .446 (3) .473 (53) 1.8% (136) 12.5% (16) 15.2% (20)
Francisco Lindor 26 .222 (141) .322 (100) .455 (65) 3.5% (70) 25.2% (121) 9.6% (84)
Jeff McNeil 26 .301 (25) .414 (10) .419 (89) 0.9% (158) 8.1% (5) 12.6% (40)
Starling Marte 24 .229 (124) .319 (105) .313 (161) 1.1% (147) 16.0% (38) 9.6% (84)

Braves vs. Mets Picks and Predictions

Our prediction for this matchup is the Braves to win (-144 on the moneyline), while we project the scoring will go over the total (7.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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