Braves vs Mets Odds, Picks & Predictions – July 11

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The Atlanta Braves (51-35) will host the New York Mets (53-33), Monday at 7:20 PM ET, in a clash of NL East rivals. Max Fried (9-2) will start for the Braves, and Max Scherzer (5-1) for the Mets.

With the Mets (+114) visiting, the Braves (-134) are a solid favorite on the moneyline. The game has an over/under set at 7.5 runs.

Braves vs. Mets Odds

Run Line

Atlanta Braves (-1.5)

Moneyline

Braves (-134)

Total

7.5 Runs (Over: +103, Under: -123)

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When, Where, at What Time is Braves vs. Mets

  • Game Day: Monday, July 11, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:20 PM ET
  • Location: Charlotte, North Carolina
  • Stadium: Truist Field

Braves Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Kenley Jansen 15 Day Injury List Heart
Ozzie Albies 60 Day Injury List Foot
Mike Soroka 60 Day Injury List Achilles
Kirby Yates 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Manny Piña 60 Day Injury List Wrist
Luke Jackson 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Max Fried Day-to-day Buttocks
Adam Duvall Day-to-day Personal

Mets Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Travis Jankowski 10 Day Injury List Hand
James McCann 10 Day Injury List Oblique
Joey Lucchesi 60 Day Injury List Elbow
John Curtiss 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Jacob deGrom 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Trevor May 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Sean Reid-Foley 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Tylor Megill 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Starling Marte Day-to-day Groin

Last Time Out: Braves and Mets

The Braves won 4-3 over the Nationals yesterday in their last game. Austin Riley finished 3-for-6 with a home run and three RBI to lead them offensively while Collin McHugh was earned the victory after throwing two innings without giving up an earned run on one hit, while striking out one.

The Mets were handed a 2-0 loss to the Marlins yesterday. Mark Canha (1-for-3) led the way offensively, while Tommy Hunter took the loss on the mound after going one inning, giving up one earned run on three hits while striking out two.

Betting Trends

Braves Betting Records and Team Stats

This season, the Braves have been favored 65 times and won 44, or 67.7%, of those games. Atlanta is 41-15 this season when entering a game favored by -134 or more on the moneyline. The implied probability of a win from the Braves, based on the moneyline, is 57.3%. Atlanta’s games have gone over the total in 42 of their 87 chances. The Braves are 43-44-0 ATS in their 87 games with a spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Austin Riley 85 .282 (35) .349 (45) .559 (8) 6.2% (10) 25.7% (125) 7.6% (92)
Dansby Swanson 87 .302 (16) .357 (34) .491 (23) 3.8% (50) 26.6% (132) 7.1% (103)
Matt Olson 87 .254 (76) .345 (50) .469 (38) 3.4% (64) 22.6% (98) 12.2% (18)
Marcell Ozuna 84 .227 (127) .283 (142) .421 (75) 4.9% (26) 21.4% (90) 6.9% (109)
Travis d’Arnaud 59 .265 (-) .317 (-) .478 (-) 4.5% (-) 19.8% (-) 4.5% (-)

Mets Betting Records and Team Stats

The Mets have been victorious in 11, or 45.8%, of the 24 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season. New York has a mark of 5-7 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by +114 or worse on the moneyline. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 46.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest. Contests with New York have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 45 of 86 chances this season. The Mets are 46-40-0 against the spread in their 86 games that had a posted line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Pete Alonso 85 .273 (45) .349 (45) .533 (14) 6.4% (8) 19.7% (75) 9.1% (71)
Francisco Lindor 85 .239 (105) .316 (98) .421 (75) 4% (46) 19.8% (76) 8.6% (78)
Starling Marte 74 .291 (27) .342 (57) .462 (42) 2.8% (83) 17.7% (52) 5% (143)
Brandon Nimmo 78 .268 (53) .352 (38) .433 (63) 2.3% (99) 16.7% (40) 9.1% (71)
Jeff McNeil 77 .311 (6) .371 (19) .436 (62) 1.4% (136) 13.4% (15) 7.6% (92)

Braves vs. Mets Picks and Predictions

We pick that the Braves will pick up the win in this matchup, and they’re our choice on the moneyline (-134). If you’re looking for a pick on the over/under, we see the final scoring winding up over the total (7.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Stacy Sailer

Stacy has been a baseball fan for as long as she can remember. She admits that she grew up as a spoiled Yankees fan in the late-90’s/early 2000’s, but has slowly evolved into a disgruntled Yankees fan due to their lone championship title in the last 21 seasons. She follows other sports, but her first love has always been baseball and loves getting to share her insight and knowledge with the Betsperts community.

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