Braves vs Marlins Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – October 4, 2022

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On Tuesday, the Atlanta Braves (99-60) are visiting the Miami Marlins (68-92), at 6:40 PM ET. The Marlins have taken three straight. On the mound for the Braves will be Jake Odorizzi (5-6), opposed by the Marlins’ Braxton Garrett (3-6).

Despite playing away from their home ballpark, the Braves are favored to win (-168) over the Marlins (+143). The over/under in this contest is 8.

Braves vs. Marlins Odds

Run Line

Atlanta Braves (-1.5)

Moneyline

Braves (-168)

Total

8 Runs (Over: -104, Under: -118)

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When, Where, at What Time is Braves vs. Marlins

  • Game Day: Tuesday, October 4, 2022
  • Game Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Stadium: LoanDepot park

Braves Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Ozzie Albies 10 Day Injury List Finger
Chadwick Tromp 10 Day Injury List Quadricep
Kirby Yates 15 Day Injury List Elbow
Spencer Strider 15 Day Injury List Oblique
Adam Duvall 60 Day Injury List Wrist
Darren O’Day 60 Day Injury List Calf
Manny Piña 60 Day Injury List Wrist
Luke Jackson 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Huascar Ynoa 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Max Fried Day-to-day Illness

Marlins Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Garrett Cooper 10 Day Injury List Finger
Steven Okert 15 Day Injury List Tricep
Trevor Rogers 15 Day Injury List Back
Jorge Soler 60 Day Injury List Back
Jordan Holloway 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Jazz Chisholm 60 Day Injury List Back
Paul Campbell 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Cody Poteet 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Max Meyer 60 Day Injury List Arm
Anthony Bender 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Sean Guenther 60 Day Injury List Arm
Daniel Castano 7 Day Injury List Head

Last Time Out: Braves and Marlins

These squads play again after the Marlins’ 4-0 victory over the Braves yesterday. Jesus Luzardo (6.00 IP, 0 R, 4 H, 12 K) picked up the win for the Marlins. Bryan De La Cruz went 3-for-4 with a double, a home run and three RBI to lead the team on offense. Bryce Elder (5.00 IP, 4 R, 6 H, 5 K) took the loss on the mound for the Braves.

Betting Trends

Braves Betting Records and Team Stats

The Braves have been favorites in 129 games this season and won 89 (69%) of those contests. This season, Atlanta has won 52 of its 69 games, or 75.4%, when favored by at least -168 on the moneyline. Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 62.7% chance to win. Atlanta’s games have gone over the total in 81 of their 163 chances. The Braves are 83-80-0 against the spread in their 163 chances this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Austin Riley 158 .275 (33) .349 (31) .531 (6) 5.5% (8) 24.3% (102) 8.0% (75)
Matt Olson 160 .239 (99) .325 (64) .474 (25) 4.8% (21) 24.5% (105) 10.9% (23)
Dansby Swanson 160 .279 (28) .330 (59) .450 (45) 3.6% (51) 26.1% (116) 7.0% (91)
Michael Harris 114 .296 (-) .336 (-) .515 (-) 4.3% (-) 24.5% (-) 4.6% (-)
Ronald Acuña Jr. 120 .265 (50) .349 (31) .414 (76) 2.8% (78) 23.9% (96) 9.7% (47)

Marlins Betting Records and Team Stats

The Marlins have won in 34, or 34.7%, of the 98 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year. This season, Miami has come away with a win seven times in 31 chances when named as an underdog of at least +143 or longer on the moneyline. The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 41.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup. Miami and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 71 of their 164 opportunities. In 164 games with a line this season, the Marlins have a mark of 79-85-0 against the spread.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Miguel Rojas 143 .234 (109) .281 (126) .321 (128) 1.2% (124) 12.1% (10) 5.1% (119)
Jon Berti 100 .234 (-) .316 (-) .325 (-) 1.0% (-) 22.0% (-) 10.1% (-)
Joey Wendle 100 .265 (-) .303 (-) .367 (-) 0.8% (-) 13.1% (-) 4.1% (-)
Bryan De La Cruz 113 .249 (-) .290 (-) .430 (-) 3.8% (-) 25.2% (-) 5.2% (-)
Brian Anderson 98 .225 (-) .314 (-) .353 (-) 2.1% (-) 26.1% (-) 9.8% (-)

Braves vs. Marlins Picks and Predictions

Our best pick for Braves vs. Marlins sees the Braves (-168 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. For the total, we pick the over on 8 runs.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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