Braves vs Marlins Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – April 27, 2023

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The Miami Marlins (12-13) will visit the Atlanta Braves (17-8), Thursday at 12:20 PM ET, with the Braves on a three-game winning run. On the hill for the Braves will be Kyle Wright (0-1), opposed by the Marlins’ Braxton Garrett (1-0).

The Braves (-196) are moneyline favorites at home over the Marlins (+167). The over/under in this contest is set at 8.5.

Braves vs. Marlins Odds

Run Line

Atlanta Braves (-1.5)

Moneyline

Braves (-196)

Total

8.5 Runs (Over: -105, Under: -115)

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When, Where, at What Time is Braves vs. Marlins

  • Game Day: Thursday, April 27, 2023
  • Game Time: 12:20 PM ET
  • TV Channel: MLBN
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Stadium: Truist Park

Braves Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Orlando Arcia 10-Day Injured List Wrist
Michael Harris 10-Day Injured List Back
Lucas Luetge 15-Day Injured List Bicep
Raisel Iglesias 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
Tyler Matzek 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Huascar Ynoa 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Kolby Allard 60-Day Injured List Oblique
Travis d’Arnaud 7-Day Injured List Concussion
Eli White Paternity List Personal
Joe Jiménez Paternity List Personal

Marlins Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Joey Wendle 10-Day Injured List Oblique
Trevor Rogers 15-Day Injured List Bicep
JT Chargois 15-Day Injured List Back
Johnny Cueto 15-Day Injured List Bicep
Anthony Bender 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Tommy Nance 60-Day Injured List Shoulder
Max Meyer 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Nic Enright 60-Day Injured List Illness
Sandy Alcantara Day-to-day Biceps Tendinitis
Luis Arraez Day-to-day Knee

Last Time Out: Braves and Marlins

These squads play again following the Braves’ 6-4 victory over the Marlins yesterday. Michael Tonkin (2.2 IP, 0 R, 0 H, 2 K) registered the win for the Braves. Ronald Acuna Jr. went 1-for-3 with a home run and an RBI to lead the team on offense. Dylan Floro (0.1 IP, 3 R, 4 H, 0 K) was credited with the loss on the mound for the Marlins.

Betting Trends

Braves Betting Records and Team Stats

This season, the Braves have been favored 22 times and won 15, or 68.2%, of those games. Atlanta has entered six games this season favored by -196 or more, and won each of those games. The implied probability of a win from the Braves, based on the moneyline, is 66.2%. Atlanta and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 15 of their 25 opportunities. The Braves are 13-12-0 against the spread in their 25 chances this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Ronald Acuña Jr. 25 .363 (3) .458 (2) .569 (14) 3.4% (77) 14.4% (26) 14.4% (27)
Ozzie Albies 25 .268 (70) .321 (97) .526 (32) 6.7% (10) 16.2% (39) 6.7% (133)
Matt Olson 25 .258 (86) .374 (43) .557 (17) 6.1% (15) 35.7% (177) 15.7% (20)
Sean Murphy 24 .274 (59) .411 (14) .616 (7) 6.7% (10) 23.3% (100) 16.7% (14)
Austin Riley 25 .269 (68) .364 (55) .473 (52) 4.5% (47) 26.4% (126) 12.7% (45)

Marlins Betting Records and Team Stats

The Marlins have been underdogs in 16 games this season and have come away with the win seven times (43.8%) in those contests. This season, Miami has come away with a win two times in four chances when named as an underdog of at least +167 or worse on the moneyline. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 37.5% chance of walking away with the win. Miami and their opponents have gone over in 10 of their 25 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. In 25 games with a line this season, the Marlins have a mark of 10-15-0 against the spread.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Luis Arraez 22 .421 (1) .494 (1) .553 (18) 1.2% (142) 4.7% (1) 12.9% (40)
Jorge Soler 25 .244 (103) .340 (84) .524 (34) 5.4% (26) 22.6% (94) 11.8% (53)
Jon Berti 25 .237 (114) .289 (146) .368 (123) 2.4% (104) 19.3% (64) 7.2% (119)
Bryan De La Cruz 24 .295 (29) .341 (81) .436 (76) 2.4% (104) 28.2% (142) 7.1% (122)
Jazz Chisholm 25 .220 (143) .268 (161) .418 (91) 5.2% (30) 38.1% (178) 6.2% (139)

Braves vs. Marlins Picks and Predictions

We predict that the Braves will pick up the victory in this matchup, and they’re our choice on the moneyline (-196). If you’re looking for a pick on the over/under, we predict the final scoring winding up over the total (8.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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