Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – September 30, 2022

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Two teams in the AL East — the Boston Red Sox (75-81) and the Toronto Blue Jays (87-69) — meet on Friday at 7:07 PM ET, at Rogers Centre. The Blue Jays will hand the ball to Alek Manoah (15-7), and the Red Sox will counter with Nick Pivetta (10-10).

Sportsbooks have made the Blue Jays a decent moneyline favorite (-198) at home over the Red Sox (+168). The over/under for the Blue Jays-Red Sox game is set at 8.

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Odds

Run Line

Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)

Moneyline

Blue Jays (-198)

Total

8 Runs (Over: -111, Under: -109)

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When, Where, at What Time is Blue Jays vs. Red Sox

  • Game Day: Friday, September 30, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:07 PM ET
  • Location: Toronto, Ontario
  • Stadium: Rogers Centre

Blue Jays Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 10 Day Injury List Hamstring
Santiago Espinal 10 Day Injury List Oblique
Tayler Saucedo 60 Day Injury List Hip
Hyun-Jin Ryu 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Nate Pearson 60 Day Injury List Back
Matt Peacock Minors Illness

Red Sox Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Trevor Story 10 Day Injury List Heel
Eric Hosmer 10 Day Injury List Back
Garrett Whitlock 15 Day Injury List Hip
Kutter Crawford 15 Day Injury List Shoulder
Chris Sale 60 Day Injury List Finger/Wrist
James Paxton 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Franchy Cordero 60 Day Injury List Ankle
Tanner Houck 60 Day Injury List Back
Josh Taylor 60 Day Injury List Back
Christian Arroyo Day-to-day Illness

Last Time Out: Blue Jays and Red Sox

The Red Sox beat the Orioles 5-3 yesterday, with Zack Kelly registering the win while pitching one inning without giving up an earned run on one hit, while striking out one. J.D. Martinez went 2-for-4 with a double, a home run and two RBI to lead the Red Sox’s offense.

Betting Trends

Blue Jays Betting Records and Team Stats

This season, the Blue Jays have been favored 132 times and won 79, or 59.8%, of those games. Toronto has a record of 21-18, a 53.8% win rate, when favored by -198 or more by sportsbooks this season. The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 66.4% chance of a victory for the Blue Jays. Toronto and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 81 of their 160 opportunities. In 160 games with a spread this season, the Blue Jays are 73-87-0 ATS.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 155 .275 (34) .338 (51) .475 (23) 4.4% (31) 16.5% (36) 8.0% (75)
Bo Bichette 154 .285 (24) .329 (60) .468 (32) 3.5% (54) 22.3% (83) 5.9% (112)
George Springer 129 .262 (59) .339 (47) .467 (35) 4.3% (34) 17.6% (49) 9.6% (48)
Alejandro Kirk 135 .291 (20) .376 (12) .425 (67) 2.7% (83) 10.5% (3) 11.6% (17)
Matt Chapman 150 .231 (113) .323 (68) .442 (56) 4.5% (27) 27.6% (125) 10.6% (30)

Red Sox Betting Records and Team Stats

The Red Sox have been underdogs in 77 games this season and have come away with the win 27 times (35.1%) in those contests. This season, Boston has been victorious one time in three chances when named as an underdog of at least +168 or worse on the moneyline. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 37.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest. Boston and their opponents have hit the over in 74 of their 159 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The Red Sox are 82-77-0 against the spread in their 159 games that had a posted line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Rafael Devers 136 .292 (17) .353 (28) .518 (11) 4.5% (27) 18.9% (64) 7.9% (77)
Xander Bogaerts 146 .309 (6) .380 (8) .456 (43) 2.3% (99) 18.6% (60) 9.2% (53)
Alex Verdugo 147 .285 (24) .333 (54) .414 (76) 1.8% (113) 13.3% (15) 6.6% (101)
J.D. Martínez 138 .274 (38) .342 (41) .443 (52) 2.4% (93) 24.1% (103) 8.9% (60)
Tommy Pham 145 .243 (93) .318 (79) .383 (107) 2.8% (78) 26.9% (120) 9.1% (54)

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Picks and Predictions

Our prediction for this matchup is the Blue Jays to win (-198 on the moneyline), while we predict the scoring will go over the total (8 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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