Blue Jays vs Mariners AL Wild Card Series Game 1: Picks, Predictions, Moneyline and Odds – Friday, October 7

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The AL Wild Card Series opens with a matchup between the Toronto Blue Jays and the Seattle Mariners at Rogers Centre on Friday, starting at 4:07 PM ET. The Blue Jays will give the start to Alek Manoah (16-7), and the Mariners will counter with Luis Castillo (8-6).

The oddsmakers have spoken, making the Blue Jays (-136) a moderate moneyline favorite to defeat the Mariners (+116) at home. The contest has an over/under set at 7.

Blue Jays vs. Mariners Odds

Run Line

Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)

Moneyline

Blue Jays (-136)

Total

7 Runs (Over: -107, Under: -114)

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When, Where, at What Time is Blue Jays vs. Mariners

  • Game Day: Friday, October 7, 2022
  • Game Time: 4:07 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Toronto, Ontario
  • Stadium: Rogers Centre

Blue Jays Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Santiago Espinal 10 Day Injury List Oblique
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 10 Day Injury List Hamstring
Hyun-Jin Ryu 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Vinny Capra 60 Day Injury List Finger
Tayler Saucedo 60 Day Injury List Hip
Kevin Gausman Day-to-day Finger
Matt Peacock Minors Illness

Mariners Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Jesse Winker 10 Day Injury List Neck
Sam Haggerty 10 Day Injury List Groin
Ryan Borucki 15 Day Injury List Hip Flexor
Tom Murphy 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Casey Sadler 60 Day Injury List Shoulder

Last Time Out: Blue Jays and Mariners

The Blue Jays defeated the Orioles by a 5-1 score in their most recent game Friday. Gabriel Moreno went 2-for-3 to lead them offensively while Yusei Kikuchi picked up the win after throwing one inning without giving up a hit or an earned run while striking out two.

The Mariners beat the Tigers 5-4 Friday, with Erik Swanson registering the win while throwing one inning without giving up a hit or an earned run while striking out two. Mitch Haniger went 2-for-3 with a home run and an RBI to pace the Mariners’ offense.

Betting Trends

Blue Jays Betting Records and Team Stats

The Blue Jays have been favorites in 136 games this season and won 83 (61%) of those contests. This season, Toronto has won 61 of its 92 games, or 66.3%, when favored by at least -136 on the moneyline. The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 57.6% chance of a victory for the Blue Jays. Toronto’s games have gone over the total in 85 of their 166 chances. In 166 games with a spread this season, the Blue Jays are 79-87-0 ATS.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 160 .274 (34) .339 (46) .480 (20) 4.5% (28) 16.4% (33) 8.2% (72)
Bo Bichette 159 .290 (21) .333 (52) .468 (29) 3.4% (57) 22.2% (82) 5.9% (110)
George Springer 133 .267 (47) .342 (40) .472 (27) 4.3% (34) 17.3% (41) 9.3% (52)
Alejandro Kirk 139 .285 (22) .372 (13) .415 (75) 2.6% (87) 10.7% (4) 11.6% (16)
Matt Chapman 155 .229 (112) .324 (69) .433 (58) 4.3% (34) 27.4% (122) 11.0% (20)

Mariners Betting Records and Team Stats

The Mariners have been victorious in 34, or 43.6%, of the 78 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season. This year, Seattle has won 14 of 36 games when listed as at least +116 or worse on the moneyline. The Mariners have an implied victory probability of 46.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup. Contests with Seattle have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 75 of 165 chances this season. The Mariners are 83-82-0 against the spread in their 165 games that had a posted line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Julio Rodriguez 134 .284 (24) .345 (36) .507 (14) 5.0% (14) 25.9% (113) 7.1% (89)
Ty France 140 .278 (29) .340 (45) .439 (56) 3.3% (60) 15.4% (23) 5.7% (112)
Eugenio Suárez 150 .236 (104) .332 (55) .459 (38) 4.9% (19) 31.2% (128) 11.6% (16)
J.P. Crawford 147 .243 (87) .339 (46) .336 (123) 1.0% (124) 13.3% (15) 11.3% (18)
Carlos Santana 133 .202 (127) .316 (79) .376 (114) 3.8% (46) 17.4% (45) 14.0% (5)

Blue Jays vs. Mariners Picks and Predictions

Our top pick for Blue Jays vs. Mariners is the Blue Jays (-136 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. As for the total, we recommend betting on the over on 7 runs.

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WRITTEN BY

Stacy Sailer

Stacy has been a baseball fan for as long as she can remember. She admits that she grew up as a spoiled Yankees fan in the late-90’s/early 2000’s, but has slowly evolved into a disgruntled Yankees fan due to their lone championship title in the last 21 seasons. She follows other sports, but her first love has always been baseball and loves getting to share her insight and knowledge with the Betsperts community.

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