Astros vs Twins Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – May 29, 2023

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The Minnesota Twins (27-26) will visit the Houston Astros (31-21), Monday at 4:10 PM ET, in the first of a three-game series. On the mound for the Astros will be J.P. France (1-1), matched up against the Twins’ Sonny Gray (4-0).

With the Twins (+106) visiting, the Astros (-124) are a solid favorite on the moneyline. The contest has an over/under set at 8.

Astros vs. Twins Odds

Run Line

Houston Astros (-1.5)

Moneyline

Astros (-124)

Total

8 Runs (Over: -109, Under: -111)

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When, Where, at What Time is Astros vs. Twins

  • Game Day: Monday, May 29, 2023
  • Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
  • TV Channel: MLBN
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • Stadium: Minute Maid Park

Astros Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Michael Brantley 10-Day Injured List Shoulder
Luis Garcia 15-Day Injured List Elbow
Jose Urquidy 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
Lance McCullers Jr. 15-Day Injured List Elbow

Twins Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Nick Gordon 10-Day Injured List Shin
Jorge Polanco 10-Day Injured List Hamstring
Trevor Larnach 10-Day Injured List Illness
Max Kepler 10-Day Injured List Hamstring
Kenta Maeda 15-Day Injured List Tricep
Caleb Thielbar 15-Day Injured List Oblique
Jorge Alcala 15-Day Injured List Forearm
Tyler Mahle 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Chris Paddack 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Gilberto Celestino 60-Day Injured List Thumb
Royce Lewis 60-Day Injured List Knee
Emilio Pagán Day-to-day Arm

Last Time Out: Astros and Twins

The Astros won 10-1 over the Athletics yesterday in their last game. Cristian Javier was named the winning pitcher after throwing five innings, giving up one earned run on four hits while striking out three, while Yordan Alvarez went 2-for-5 with two home runs and two RBI to lead them offensively.

The Twins lost to the Blue Jays 3-0 yesterday. Matt Wallner went 2-for-2, and Bailey Ober was handed the loss, pitching five innings, giving up two earned runs on five hits while striking out seven.

Betting Trends

Astros Betting Records and Team Stats

The Astros have entered the game as favorites 30 times this season and won 18, or 60%, of those games. Houston is 16-10 this season when entering a game favored by -124 or more on the moneyline. The Astros have a 55.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline. So far this season, Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 19 of their 44 games with a total. The Astros are 22-22-0 ATS in their 44 games with a spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Yordan Alvarez 46 .291 (23) .402 (8) .612 (2) 7% (6) 22.1% (92) 13.6% (21)
Alex Bregman 52 .235 (124) .333 (86) .370 (132) 2.6% (109) 10% (6) 12.1% (34)
Kyle Tucker 51 .276 (50) .354 (44) .442 (78) 3.3% (72) 15.3% (27) 11.5% (45)
Jeremy Pena 50 .247 (101) .292 (143) .439 (80) 3.8% (56) 23.1% (106) 3.8% (162)
Mauricio Dubon 41 .290 (27) .322 (107) .383 (122) 0.6% (156) 14% (18) 4.1% (160)

Twins Betting Records and Team Stats

The Twins have come away with five wins in the 18 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season. This year, Minnesota has won five of 11 games when listed as at least +106 or worse on the moneyline. The Twins have an implied victory probability of 48.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup. Contests with Minnesota have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 20 of 46 chances this season. The Twins are 21-25-0 against the spread in their 46 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Byron Buxton 48 .225 (140) .325 (97) .455 (67) 4.9% (24) 29.1% (149) 12.1% (34)
Carlos Correa 46 .216 (149) .308 (128) .392 (113) 3% (87) 22.4% (96) 11.9% (38)
Joey Gallo 42 .207 (-) .338 (-) .537 (-) 7.6% (-) 35.2% (-) 15.9% (-)
Willi Castro 32 .258 (-) .321 (-) .443 (-) 3.8% (-) 29.2% (-) 4.7% (-)
Kyle Farmer 28 .263 (-) .324 (-) .379 (-) 2.9% (-) 27.6% (-) 6.7% (-)

Astros vs. Twins Picks and Predictions

Our prediction for Astros vs. Twins sees the Astros (-124 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. For the total, we recommend betting on the over on 8 runs.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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