Astros vs Rays Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – September 30, 2022

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The Tampa Bay Rays (85-71) will visit the Houston Astros (102-54), Friday at 8:10 PM ET, in the opener of a three-game series. The Astros will hand the ball to Framber Valdez (15-5), and the Rays will turn to Drew Rasmussen (10-7).

The Astros (-185) are moneyline favorites at home over the Rays (+157). The contest has an over/under set at 6.5.

Astros vs. Rays Odds

Run Line

Houston Astros (-1.5)

Moneyline

Astros (-185)

Total

6.5 Runs (Over: -121, Under: +100)

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When, Where, at What Time is Astros vs. Rays

  • Game Day: Friday, September 30, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:10 PM ET
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • Stadium: Minute Maid Park

Astros Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Jason Castro 60 Day Injury List Knee
Michael Brantley 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Josh James 60 Day Injury List Back
Yordan Alvarez Day-to-day Ankle
Lance McCullers Jr. Day-to-day Illness

Rays Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Roman Quinn 10 Day Injury List Knee
Ryan Yarbrough 15 Day Injury List Upper Body
Jalen Beeks 15 Day Injury List Leg
Mike Zunino 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Kevin Kiermaier 60 Day Injury List Hip
J.P. Feyereisen 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Andrew Kittredge 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Brandon Lowe 60 Day Injury List Back
Nick Anderson 60 Day Injury List Heel
Brendan McKay 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Shane Baz 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Ryan Thompson 60 Day Injury List Arm

Last Time Out: Astros and Rays

The Astros’ matchup Friday versus the Diamondbacks ended in a 5-2 loss. Chas McCormick went 3-for-3 with a home run and two RBI in the defeat, while Will Smith threw zero innings, giving up two earned runs on two hits while striking out one en route to taking the loss.

The Rays lost to the Guardians yesterday, with Shawn Armstrong registering the loss while throwing two innings, giving up two earned runs on three hits while striking out two. Wander Franco went 2-for-3 with a double to pace the Rays’ offense.

Betting Trends

Astros Betting Records and Team Stats

The Astros have entered the game as favorites 138 times this season and won 96, or 69.6%, of those games. Houston has a record of 47-18, a 72.3% win rate, when favored by -185 or more by oddsmakers this season. The Astros have a 64.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline. Houston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 59 of their 160 opportunities. The Astros are 87-73-0 ATS in their 160 games with a spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Yordan Alvarez 130 .304 (8) .408 (2) .615 (2) 6.9% (2) 18.6% (60) 14.3% (5)
Alex Bregman 150 .262 (59) .371 (15) .460 (39) 3.5% (54) 12.0% (9) 13.4% (8)
Jose Altuve 136 .295 (15) .385 (7) .528 (9) 4.8% (23) 14.7% (22) 11.1% (20)
Kyle Tucker 146 .262 (59) .337 (52) .485 (19) 4.9% (19) 15.8% (30) 10.0% (38)
Yuli Gurriel 141 .238 (102) .284 (124) .356 (119) 1.4% (118) 12.8% (13) 5.2% (120)

Rays Betting Records and Team Stats

The Rays have been underdogs in 57 games this season and have come away with the win 24 times (42.1%) in those contests. Tampa Bay has been listed as an underdog of +157 or more on two occasions this season and split those games. Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rays have a 38.9% chance of pulling out a win. Contests with Tampa Bay have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 73 of 161 chances this season. The Rays are 77-84-0 against the spread in their 161 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Yandy Díaz 136 .292 (17) .398 (6) .418 (73) 1.6% (117) 10.5% (3) 14.0% (7)
Randy Arozarena 148 .267 (48) .328 (61) .451 (48) 3.2% (65) 23.8% (96) 6.7% (100)
Harold Ramirez 115 .308 (-) .352 (-) .417 (-) 1.4% (-) 16.3% (-) 4.5% (-)
Isaac Paredes 107 .214 (-) .308 (-) .453 (-) 5.5% (-) 17.6% (-) 11.0% (-)
David Peralta 133 .248 (-) .312 (-) .412 (-) 2.5% (-) 23.3% (-) 8.3% (-)

Astros vs. Rays Picks and Predictions

We predict that the Astros will pick up the victory in this matchup, and they’re our choice on the moneyline (-185). If you’re looking for a pick on the over/under, we see the final scoring winding up over the total (6.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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