Astros vs Pirates Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – April 11, 2023

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The Houston Astros (5-6) and Pittsburgh Pirates (6-4) will clash on Tuesday at PNC Park, starting at 6:35 PM ET. The starting pitchers are Cristian Javier (1-0) for the Astros, and Mitch Keller for the Pirates.

Despite playing away from their home ballpark, the Astros are favored to win (-177) over the Pirates (+149). The total for this contest is set at 8.

Astros vs. Pirates Odds

Run Line

Houston Astros (-1.5)

Moneyline

Astros (-177)

Total

8 Runs (Over: -117, Under: -104)

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When, Where, at What Time is Astros vs. Pirates

  • Game Day: Tuesday, April 11, 2023
  • Game Time: 6:35 PM ET
  • TV Channel: SNPT
  • Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
  • Stadium: PNC Park

Astros Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Michael Brantley 10-Day Injured List Shoulder
Jose Altuve 10-Day Injured List Thumb
Parker Mushinski 15-Day Injured List Back
Blake Taylor 15-Day Injured List Elbow
Lance McCullers Jr. 15-Day Injured List Elbow

Pirates Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Oneil Cruz 10-Day Injured List Ankle
Robert Stephenson 15-Day Injured List Elbow
JT Brubaker 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Jarlin García 60-Day Injured List Arm
Max Kranick 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Austin Hedges 7-Day Injured List Concussion

Last Time Out: Astros and Pirates

Framber Valdez (7.0 IP, 2 R, 3 H, 5 K) was credited with the win in the Astros’ 8-2 victory over the Pirates yesterday. Yordan Alvarez led the way offensively, going 3-for-4 with a double and two RBI. Roansy Contreras (3.1 IP, 7 R, 9 H, 3 K) took the loss for the Pirates.

Betting Trends

Astros Betting Records and Team Stats

This season, the Astros have been favored nine times and won five of those games. Houston is 2-2 this season when entering a game favored by -177 or more on the moneyline. Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 63.9% chance to win. Houston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in eight of their 11 opportunities. The Astros are 6-5-0 against the spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Yordan Alvarez 11 .333 (26) .444 (19) .639 (16) 6.7% (22) 17.8% (59) 13.3% (50)
Kyle Tucker 11 .282 (79) .417 (28) .564 (34) 6.4% (28) 19.1% (66) 19.1% (17)
Chas McCormick 10 .258 (96) .361 (75) .516 (47) 5.6% (37) 27.8% (140) 11.1% (76)
Jeremy Pena 11 .208 (145) .269 (148) .417 (101) 3.8% (73) 28.8% (151) 3.8% (160)
Mauricio Dubon 11 .357 (-) .379 (-) .429 (-) 0.0% (-) 3.4% (-) 3.4% (-)

Pirates Betting Records and Team Stats

The Pirates have been underdogs in nine games this season and have come away with the win five times (55.6%) in those contests. Pittsburgh has played as an underdog of +149 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game. The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 40.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup. Pittsburgh and their opponents have hit the over in five of their 10 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The Pirates are 5-5-0 against the spread in their 10 games that had a posted line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Bryan Reynolds 10 .366 (11) .378 (62) .829 (2) 11.1% (1) 11.1% (17) 4.4% (153)
Andrew McCutchen 10 .333 (26) .486 (11) .519 (46) 2.7% (94) 13.5% (33) 21.6% (9)
Carlos Santana 10 .237 (117) .326 (106) .447 (83) 4.7% (59) 23.3% (108) 11.6% (71)
Ji-Hwan Bae 10 .250 (-) .276 (-) .429 (-) 3.4% (-) 24.1% (-) 3.4% (-)
Connor Joe 10 .438 (-) .526 (-) .625 (-) 0.0% (-) 21.1% (-) 15.8% (-)

Astros vs. Pirates Picks and Predictions

Our best pick for Astros vs. Pirates sees the Pirates (+149 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. As for the total, we prefer the under on 8 runs.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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