Astros vs Phillies World Series Game 1: Picks, Predictions, Moneyline and Odds – Friday, October 28

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The Houston Astros square off against the Philadelphia Phillies to start the World Series on Friday 8:03 PM ET at Minute Maid Park. The starting pitchers are Justin Verlander (18-4) for the Astros, and Aaron Nola (11-12) for the Phillies.

The Astros (-168) are moneyline favorites at home over the Phillies (+143). The total for the Astros-Phillies game is set at 6.5.

Astros vs. Phillies Odds

Run Line

Houston Astros (-1.5)

Moneyline

Astros (-168)

Total

6.5 Runs (Over: -124, Under: +104)

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When, Where, at What Time is Astros vs. Phillies

  • Game Day: Friday, October 28, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:03 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • Stadium: Minute Maid Park

Astros Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Jason Castro 60 Day Injury List Knee
Michael Brantley 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Josh James 60 Day Injury List Back

Phillies Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Corey Knebel 60 Day Injury List Back
Kent Emanuel 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Mark Appel 60 Day Injury List Elbow
Hans Crouse 60 Day Injury List Bicep
Simon Muzziotti 60 Day Injury List Undisclosed
Damon Jones 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
James McArthur 60 Day Injury List Elbow

Last Time Out: Astros and Phillies

The Astros defeated the Yankees by a 6-5 score in their last game Sunday. Jeremy Pena went 2-for-4 with a home run and three RBI to lead them offensively while Hector Neris picked up the win after throwing one inning, giving up one earned run on one hit while striking out one.

The Phillies knocked off the Padres 4-3 Friday, with Jose Alvarado registering the win while pitching one inning without giving up an earned run on one hit, while striking out one. Rhys Hoskins went 1-for-3 with a home run and two RBI to lead the Phillies’ offense.

Betting Trends

Astros Betting Records and Team Stats

This season, the Astros have won 105 out of the 149 games, or 70.5%, in which they’ve been favored. This season, Houston has won 57 of its 83 games, or 68.7%, when favored by at least -168 on the moneyline. The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 62.7% chance of a victory for the Astros. Games involving Houston have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 63 of 173 chances this season. The Astros are 92-81-0 against the spread in their 173 chances this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Yordan Alvarez 136 .307 (6) .407 (2) .614 (2) 6.6% (3) 18.9% (62) 13.9% (7)
Alex Bregman 156 .260 (61) .367 (16) .455 (42) 3.5% (54) 11.7% (8) 13.3% (8)
Jose Altuve 141 .298 (12) .386 (7) .531 (6) 4.6% (25) 14.4% (18) 10.9% (23)
Kyle Tucker 152 .257 (67) .330 (58) .478 (21) 5.0% (14) 15.7% (27) 9.7% (47)
Yuli Gurriel 147 .242 (90) .288 (120) .360 (118) 1.4% (118) 12.5% (12) 5.1% (118)

Phillies Betting Records and Team Stats

The Phillies have won in 33, or 48.5%, of the 68 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year. Philadelphia has a win-loss record of 7-11 when favored by +143 or worse by bookmakers this year. The Phillies have an implied victory probability of 41.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup. Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 90 of their 177 opportunities. In 177 games with a line this season, the Phillies have a mark of 90-87-0 against the spread.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Kyle Schwarber 155 .218 (121) .323 (71) .504 (15) 6.9% (2) 29.9% (126) 12.9% (10)
J.T. Realmuto 139 .273 (37) .339 (46) .475 (24) 3.9% (44) 21.3% (76) 7.3% (84)
Rhys Hoskins 156 .247 (81) .333 (52) .461 (36) 4.5% (28) 25.2% (108) 10.7% (26)
Alec Bohm 152 .278 (29) .314 (88) .398 (93) 2.1% (107) 17.5% (48) 4.9% (122)
Bryce Harper 100 .284 (-) .362 (-) .508 (-) 4.2% (-) 20.4% (-) 10.8% (-)

Astros vs. Phillies Picks and Predictions

We pick that the Astros will pick up the win in this matchup, and they’re our choice on the moneyline (-168). If you’re looking for a pick on the over/under, we see the final scoring winding up over the total (6.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Stacy Sailer

Stacy has been a baseball fan for as long as she can remember. She admits that she grew up as a spoiled Yankees fan in the late-90’s/early 2000’s, but has slowly evolved into a disgruntled Yankees fan due to their lone championship title in the last 21 seasons. She follows other sports, but her first love has always been baseball and loves getting to share her insight and knowledge with the Betsperts community.

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