Astros vs Phillies Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – April 28, 2023

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The Philadelphia Phillies (13-13) will visit the Houston Astros (14-11), Friday at 8:10 PM ET, in the opener of a three-game series. The Astros will hand the ball to Framber Valdez (2-2), and the Phillies will counter with Aaron Nola (1-2).

The Astros (-147) are moneyline favorites at home over the Phillies (+125). The game has an over/under set at 7.5 runs.

Astros vs. Phillies Odds

Run Line

Houston Astros (-1.5)

Moneyline

Astros (-147)

Total

7.5 Runs (Over: -101, Under: -120)

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When, Where, at What Time is Astros vs. Phillies

  • Game Day: Friday, April 28, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:10 PM ET
  • TV Channel: APLTV
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • Stadium: Minute Maid Park

Astros Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Chas McCormick 10-Day Injured List Back
Jose Altuve 10-Day Injured List Thumb
Michael Brantley 10-Day Injured List Shoulder
Parker Mushinski 15-Day Injured List Back
Lance McCullers Jr. 15-Day Injured List Elbow
Yordan Alvarez Day-to-day Neck

Phillies Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Bryce Harper 10-Day Injured List Elbow
Darick Hall 10-Day Injured List Thumb
Andrew Bellatti 15-Day Injured List Tricep
Ranger Suárez 15-Day Injured List Forearm
Nick Nelson 15-Day Injured List Hamstring
Noah Song 15-Day Injured List Back
Rafael Marchan 60-Day Injured List Hand
Rhys Hoskins 60-Day Injured List Knee
Taijuan Walker Day-to-day Forearm

Last Time Out: Astros and Phillies

The Astros won their last contest versus the Rays by a 1-0 score Friday, with Hunter Brown picking up the win pitching going seven innings without giving up an earned run on two hits, while striking out eight. Jeremy Pena went 2-for-4 to lead them offensively.

The Phillies knocked off the Mariners 1-0 yesterday. Nicholas Castellanos led the way offensively after going 1-for-3, and Matt Strahm got the win, pitching 5 1/3 innings without giving up an earned run on two hits, while striking out five.

Betting Trends

Astros Betting Records and Team Stats

The Astros have been favorites in 15 games this season and won seven (46.7%) of those contests. Houston has a record of 5-6, a 45.5% win rate, when favored by -147 or more by bookmakers this season. The implied probability of a win from the Astros, based on the moneyline, is 59.5%. So far this season, Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 15 of their 25 games with a total. The Astros are 14-11-0 against the spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Kyle Tucker 25 .302 (22) .421 (7) .512 (36) 4.7% (40) 15.1% (32) 17.9% (8)
Alex Bregman 25 .229 (124) .362 (57) .365 (126) 2.6% (99) 10.3% (7) 16.4% (14)
Yordan Alvarez 22 .253 (94) .374 (41) .533 (28) 6.7% (9) 27.8% (136) 13.3% (38)
Jeremy Pena 25 .240 (109) .303 (126) .430 (79) 3.7% (63) 24.8% (116) 4.6% (159)
Mauricio Dubon 25 .330 (11) .355 (64) .420 (88) 0.0% (163) 7.5% (3) 3.2% (173)

Phillies Betting Records and Team Stats

The Phillies have been victorious in four of the 10 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season. Philadelphia has a win-loss record of 1-2 when favored by +125 or worse by sportsbooks this year. The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 44.4% chance of walking away with the win. Philadelphia and their opponents have hit the over in 12 of their 26 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The Phillies are 11-15-0 against the spread in their 26 games that had a posted line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Nicholas Castellanos 26 .333 (9) .394 (20) .525 (31) 2.8% (89) 24.8% (116) 9.2% (92)
Brandon Marsh 25 .338 (7) .420 (8) .675 (2) 4.5% (44) 28.4% (139) 12.5% (43)
Alec Bohm 26 .289 (32) .355 (64) .433 (76) 2.8% (89) 18.7% (59) 7.5% (115)
Bryson Stott 25 .339 (6) .368 (52) .459 (62) 1.8% (136) 20.2% (73) 4.4% (163)
Trea Turner 26 .273 (61) .328 (94) .400 (100) 1.7% (142) 23.9% (110) 7.7% (114)

Astros vs. Phillies Picks and Predictions

Our pick for this matchup is the Astros to win (-147 on the moneyline), while we project the scoring will go over the total (7.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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