Astros vs Mariners Odds, Picks & Predictions – July 28

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A pair of squads in the AL West — the Seattle Mariners (54-45) and the Houston Astros (64-35) — clash on Thursday at 8:10 PM ET, at Minute Maid Park. Jose Urquidy (9-4) is the starter for the Astros, and Logan Gilbert (10-4) for the Mariners.

The Astros (-142) are moneyline favorites at home over the Mariners (+122). The game has an over/under set at 8 runs.

Astros vs. Mariners Odds

Run Line

Houston Astros (-1.5)


Astros (-142)


8 Runs (Over: -112, Under: -108)

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When, Where, at What Time is Astros vs. Mariners

  • Game Day: Thursday, July 28, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:10 PM ET
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • Stadium: Minute Maid Park

Astros Injury Report

Jason Castro10 Day Injury ListKnee
Michael Brantley10 Day Injury ListShoulder
Lance McCullers Jr.60 Day Injury ListForearm
Josh James60 Day Injury ListBack
Blake Taylor60 Day Injury ListElbow
Jake OdorizziDay-to-dayFinger

Mariners Injury Report

Taylor Trammell10 Day Injury ListHamstring
Ken Giles15 Day Injury ListShoulder
Evan White60 Day Injury ListGroin
Tom Murphy60 Day Injury ListShoulder
Mitch Haniger60 Day Injury ListAnkle
Casey Sadler60 Day Injury ListShoulder

Last Time Out: Astros and Mariners

The Astros’ matchup yesterday versus the Athletics resulted in a 4-2 loss. Yordan Alvarez went 1-for-2 with a home run and an RBI in the defeat, while Cristian Javier threw five innings, giving up three earned runs on five hits while striking out six en route to taking the loss.

Yesterday, the Mariners took down the Rangers 4-2. Marco Gonzales was the winning pitcher after he went seven innings, giving up two earned runs on four hits while striking out five. Julio Rodriguez paced the Mariners’ offense, going 1-for-4 with a home run and three RBI.

Betting Trends

Astros Betting Records and Team Stats

The Astros have been favorites in 83 games this season and won 57 (68.7%) of those contests. Houston has a record of 40-19, a 67.8% win rate, when favored by -142 or more by oddsmakers this season. The moneyline for this contest implies a 58.7% chance of a victory for the Astros. Houston’s games have gone over the total in 36 of their 99 chances. In 99 games with a spread this season, the Astros are 51-48-0 ATS.

NameGPAVG (Rank)OBP (Rank)SLG (Rank)HR% (Rank)K% (Rank)BB% (Rank)
Yordan Alvarez82.309 (10).413 (2).674 (1)8.5% (2)18.5% (60)14.7% (4)
Kyle Tucker92.248 (91).337 (61).465 (41)5.1% (20)16.3% (43)12.0% (18)
Jose Altuve82.272 (49).358 (31).510 (15)5.4% (16)15.5% (36)10.1% (53)
Alex Bregman95.238 (115).349 (44).409 (87)3.0% (75)13.1% (16)13.1% (9)
Yuli Gurriel90.237 (117).289 (139).391 (108)2.0% (115)12.9% (14)5.7% (133)

Mariners Betting Records and Team Stats

The Mariners have been underdogs in 58 games this season and have come away with the win 25 times (43.1%) in those contests. This year, Seattle has won seven of 20 games when listed as at least +122 or worse on the moneyline. The Mariners have an implied victory probability of 45% according to the moneyline set for this matchup. Seattle and their opponents have hit the over in 45 of their 99 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The Mariners are 50-49-0 against the spread in their 99 games that had a posted line this season.

NameGPAVG (Rank)OBP (Rank)SLG (Rank)HR% (Rank)K% (Rank)BB% (Rank)
Julio Rodriguez94.277 (42).339 (57).492 (23)4.6% (29)27.0% (135)6.9% (108)
Ty France84.309 (10).382 (13).480 (31)3.5% (66)14.2% (22)6.4% (120)
J.P. Crawford90.267 (56).345 (49).378 (122)1.3% (136)13.3% (17)9.3% (64)
Eugenio Suárez98.234 (122).333 (69).426 (72)3.8% (50)32.1% (154)12.0% (18)
Adam Frazier97.239 (113).298 (125).310 (149)0.8% (149)11.8% (9)7.7% (93)

Astros vs. Mariners Picks and Predictions

Our recommended pick for this matchup is the Astros to pick up the win (-142 on the moneyline), while we project the total score will go under the total (8 runs).

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Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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