Astros vs Mariners ALDS Game 3: Picks, Predictions, Moneyline and Odds – Saturday, October 15

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The Houston Astros visit the Seattle Mariners for Game 3 of the ALDS on Saturday 4:07 PM ET at T-Mobile Park. The Astros are ahead 2-0 in the series and can sweep with a win. Lance McCullers Jr. (4-2) is the starter for the Astros, and George Kirby (8-5) for the Mariners.

Per the moneyline, the matchup between the Astros (-112) and Mariners (-106) looks like a close one. The game has an over/under set at 7 runs.

Astros vs. Mariners Odds

Run Line

Houston Astros (-1.5)

Moneyline

Astros (-112)

Total

7 Runs (Over: -101, Under: -119)

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When, Where, at What Time is Astros vs. Mariners

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 15, 2022
  • Game Time: 4:07 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TBS
  • Location: Seattle, Washington
  • Stadium: T-Mobile Park

Astros Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Jason Castro 60 Day Injury List Knee
Michael Brantley 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Josh James 60 Day Injury List Back

Mariners Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Sam Haggerty 40 Man Active Groin
Casey Sadler 60 Day Injury List Shoulder
Tom Murphy 60 Day Injury List Shoulder

Last Time Out: Astros and Mariners

The Astros beat the Mariners 4-2 Saturday, with Hector Neris getting the win (0.00 IP, 0 R, 0 H, 0 K) and Yordan Alvarez leading the way offensively (going 1-for-3 with a home run and two RBI). Luis Castillo (7.00 IP, 3 R, 5 H, 7 K) took the loss for the Mariners.

Betting Trends

Astros Betting Records and Team Stats

This season, the Astros have been favored 146 times and won 102, or 69.9%, of those games. Houston has a record of 101-44, a 69.7% win rate, when favored by -112 or more by bookmakers this season. The implied probability of a win from the Astros, based on the moneyline, is 52.8%. Games involving Houston have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 62 of 168 chances this season. In 168 games with a spread this season, the Astros are 90-78-0 ATS.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Yordan Alvarez 136 .307 (6) .407 (2) .614 (2) 6.6% (3) 18.9% (62) 13.9% (7)
Alex Bregman 156 .260 (61) .367 (16) .455 (42) 3.5% (54) 11.7% (8) 13.3% (8)
Jose Altuve 141 .298 (12) .386 (7) .531 (6) 4.6% (25) 14.4% (18) 10.9% (23)
Kyle Tucker 152 .257 (67) .330 (58) .478 (21) 5.0% (14) 15.7% (27) 9.7% (47)
Yuli Gurriel 147 .242 (90) .288 (121) .360 (118) 1.4% (119) 12.5% (12) 5.1% (119)

Mariners Betting Records and Team Stats

The Mariners have been chosen as underdogs in 82 games this year and have walked away with the win 36 times (43.9%) in those games. Seattle has a win-loss record of 33-42 when favored by -106 or worse by oddsmakers this year. The Mariners have an implied victory probability of 51.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup. Seattle’s games have gone over the total in 77 of their 169 opportunities. The Mariners have an against the spread mark of 86-83-0 in 169 games with a line this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Julio Rodriguez 134 .284 (24) .345 (36) .507 (14) 5.0% (14) 25.9% (113) 7.1% (89)
Ty France 140 .278 (29) .340 (45) .439 (56) 3.3% (60) 15.4% (23) 5.7% (112)
Eugenio Suárez 150 .236 (104) .332 (55) .459 (38) 4.9% (19) 31.2% (128) 11.6% (16)
J.P. Crawford 147 .243 (87) .339 (46) .336 (123) 1.0% (124) 13.3% (15) 11.3% (18)
Carlos Santana 133 .202 (127) .316 (79) .376 (114) 3.8% (46) 17.4% (45) 14.0% (5)

Astros vs. Mariners Picks and Predictions

Our top pick for Astros vs. Mariners sees the Astros (-112 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. As for the over/under, we recommend betting on the over on 7 runs.

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WRITTEN BY

Stacy Sailer

Stacy has been a baseball fan for as long as she can remember. She admits that she grew up as a spoiled Yankees fan in the late-90’s/early 2000’s, but has slowly evolved into a disgruntled Yankees fan due to their lone championship title in the last 21 seasons. She follows other sports, but her first love has always been baseball and loves getting to share her insight and knowledge with the Betsperts community.

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