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The Houston Astros visit the Seattle Mariners for Game 3 of the ALDS on Saturday 4:07 PM ET at T-Mobile Park. The Astros are ahead 2-0 in the series and can sweep with a win. Lance McCullers Jr. (4-2) is the starter for the Astros, and George Kirby (8-5) for the Mariners.
Per the moneyline, the matchup between the Astros (-112) and Mariners (-106) looks like a close one. The game has an over/under set at 7 runs.
Astros vs. Mariners Odds
Run Line
Houston Astros (-1.5)
Moneyline
Astros (-112)
Total
7 Runs (Over: -101, Under: -119)
When, Where, at What Time is Astros vs. Mariners
- Game Day: Saturday, October 15, 2022
- Game Time: 4:07 PM ET
- TV Channel: TBS
- Location: Seattle, Washington
- Stadium: T-Mobile Park
Astros Injury Report
| Name | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Jason Castro | 60 Day Injury List | Knee |
| Michael Brantley | 60 Day Injury List | Shoulder |
| Josh James | 60 Day Injury List | Back |
Mariners Injury Report
| Name | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Sam Haggerty | 40 Man Active | Groin |
| Casey Sadler | 60 Day Injury List | Shoulder |
| Tom Murphy | 60 Day Injury List | Shoulder |
Last Time Out: Astros and Mariners
The Astros beat the Mariners 4-2 Saturday, with Hector Neris getting the win (0.00 IP, 0 R, 0 H, 0 K) and Yordan Alvarez leading the way offensively (going 1-for-3 with a home run and two RBI). Luis Castillo (7.00 IP, 3 R, 5 H, 7 K) took the loss for the Mariners.
Betting Trends
Astros Betting Records and Team Stats
This season, the Astros have been favored 146 times and won 102, or 69.9%, of those games. Houston has a record of 101-44, a 69.7% win rate, when favored by -112 or more by bookmakers this season. The implied probability of a win from the Astros, based on the moneyline, is 52.8%. Games involving Houston have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 62 of 168 chances this season. In 168 games with a spread this season, the Astros are 90-78-0 ATS.
| Name | GP | AVG (Rank) | OBP (Rank) | SLG (Rank) | HR% (Rank) | K% (Rank) | BB% (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez | 136 | .307 (6) | .407 (2) | .614 (2) | 6.6% (3) | 18.9% (62) | 13.9% (7) |
| Alex Bregman | 156 | .260 (61) | .367 (16) | .455 (42) | 3.5% (54) | 11.7% (8) | 13.3% (8) |
| Jose Altuve | 141 | .298 (12) | .386 (7) | .531 (6) | 4.6% (25) | 14.4% (18) | 10.9% (23) |
| Kyle Tucker | 152 | .257 (67) | .330 (58) | .478 (21) | 5.0% (14) | 15.7% (27) | 9.7% (47) |
| Yuli Gurriel | 147 | .242 (90) | .288 (121) | .360 (118) | 1.4% (119) | 12.5% (12) | 5.1% (119) |
Mariners Betting Records and Team Stats
The Mariners have been chosen as underdogs in 82 games this year and have walked away with the win 36 times (43.9%) in those games. Seattle has a win-loss record of 33-42 when favored by -106 or worse by oddsmakers this year. The Mariners have an implied victory probability of 51.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup. Seattle’s games have gone over the total in 77 of their 169 opportunities. The Mariners have an against the spread mark of 86-83-0 in 169 games with a line this season.
| Name | GP | AVG (Rank) | OBP (Rank) | SLG (Rank) | HR% (Rank) | K% (Rank) | BB% (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodriguez | 134 | .284 (24) | .345 (36) | .507 (14) | 5.0% (14) | 25.9% (113) | 7.1% (89) |
| Ty France | 140 | .278 (29) | .340 (45) | .439 (56) | 3.3% (60) | 15.4% (23) | 5.7% (112) |
| Eugenio Suárez | 150 | .236 (104) | .332 (55) | .459 (38) | 4.9% (19) | 31.2% (128) | 11.6% (16) |
| J.P. Crawford | 147 | .243 (87) | .339 (46) | .336 (123) | 1.0% (124) | 13.3% (15) | 11.3% (18) |
| Carlos Santana | 133 | .202 (127) | .316 (79) | .376 (114) | 3.8% (46) | 17.4% (45) | 14.0% (5) |
Astros vs. Mariners Picks and Predictions
Our top pick for Astros vs. Mariners sees the Astros (-112 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. As for the over/under, we recommend betting on the over on 7 runs.