Astros vs Cubs Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – May 17, 2023

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The Chicago Cubs (19-23) will visit the Houston Astros (23-19), Wednesday at 8:10 PM ET, with the Astros on a 22-game winning run. On the hill for the Astros will be J.P. France (1-0), opposed by the Cubs’ Drew Smyly (4-1).

The Astros are moderate favorites on the moneyline (-165) at home over the Cubs (+140). The game has an over/under of 8.5 runs.

Astros vs. Cubs Odds

Run Line

Houston Astros (-1.5)

Moneyline

Astros (-165)

Total

8.5 Runs (Over: -121, Under: +101)

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When, Where, at What Time is Astros vs. Cubs

  • Game Day: Wednesday, May 17, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:10 PM ET
  • TV Channel: SNSW
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • Stadium: Minute Maid Park

Astros Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Jose Altuve 10-Day Injured List Thumb
Michael Brantley 10-Day Injured List Shoulder
Jose Urquidy 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
Luis Garcia 15-Day Injured List Elbow
Lance McCullers Jr. 15-Day Injured List Elbow
Parker Mushinski 15-Day Injured List Back

Cubs Injury Report

Name Status Injury
Nico Hoerner 10-Day Injured List Hamstring
Brad Boxberger 15-Day Injured List Right Forearm
Kyle Hendricks 15-Day Injured List Shoulder
Codi Heuer 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Adrian Sampson 60-Day Injured List Knee
Ethan Roberts 60-Day Injured List Elbow
Cody Bellinger Day-to-day Leg

Last Time Out: Astros and Cubs

Yesterday, the Astros picked up a 7-3 win over the Cubs, with Cristian Javier (6.0 IP, 1 R, 2 H, 5 K) registering the win for the Astros. Mauricio Dubon went 2-for-4 with two doubles to lead the offensive attack. Justin Steele (6.0 IP, 5 R, 5 H, 8 K) was credited with the loss for the Cubs.

Betting Trends

Astros Betting Records and Team Stats

The Astros have been favorites in 28 games this season and won 14 (50%) of those contests. Houston has a record of 6-5 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -165 on the moneyline. The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 62.3% chance of a victory for the Astros. Games involving Houston have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 21 of 42 chances this season. The Astros are 20-22-0 ATS in their 42 games with a spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Yordan Alvarez 36 .298 (25) .400 (12) .573 (8) 5.8% (15) 23.2% (108) 12.3% (35)
Kyle Tucker 42 .264 (76) .347 (64) .432 (79) 3.5% (71) 15% (25) 12.1% (41)
Alex Bregman 42 .210 (160) .328 (98) .344 (154) 2.7% (104) 9.1% (5) 14% (21)
Jeremy Pena 41 .255 (90) .301 (135) .422 (91) 3.5% (71) 23.7% (115) 4% (165)
Mauricio Dubon 36 .309 (13) .329 (97) .389 (118) 0% (167) 12.9% (16) 2.6% (172)

Cubs Betting Records and Team Stats

The Cubs have been chosen as underdogs in 19 games this year and have walked away with the win eight times (42.1%) in those games. This season, Chicago has come away with a win two times in five chances when named as an underdog of at least +140 or longer on the moneyline. Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cubs have a 41.7% chance of pulling out a win. Chicago’s games have gone over the total in 21 of their 42 opportunities. The Cubs have posted a record of 22-20-0 against the spread this season.

Name GP AVG (Rank) OBP (Rank) SLG (Rank) HR% (Rank) K% (Rank) BB% (Rank)
Cody Bellinger 37 .271 (63) .337 (77) .493 (40) 4.3% (46) 19% (62) 8.6% (97)
Ian Happ 41 .295 (28) .418 (5) .450 (69) 2.2% (117) 22% (96) 17.6% (5)
Patrick Wisdom 37 .240 (111) .340 (72) .584 (6) 8.3% (2) 35.4% (172) 12.5% (34)
Dansby Swanson 41 .273 (60) .374 (29) .398 (109) 1.6% (144) 23% (106) 13.9% (22)
Yan Gomes 23 .300 (-) .326 (-) .538 (-) 7% (-) 15.1% (-) 3.5% (-)

Astros vs. Cubs Picks and Predictions

Our pick for this matchup is the Astros to pick up the win (-165 on the moneyline), while we project the scoring will go under the total (8.5 runs).

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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