Wisconsin vs. Michigan State Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

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Big Ten opponents will battle when the Wisconsin Badgers (3-3) meet the Michigan State Spartans (2-4).

Wisconsin vs. Michigan State Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 7 points, with bookmakers listing Wisconsin as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, Wisconsin has -270 odds to pick up the win, while Michigan State is listed at +217 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 49.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Wisconsin vs. Michigan State Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 15, 2022
  • Game Time: 4:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: East Lansing, Michigan
  • Stadium: Spartan Stadium

Betting Preview


Wisconsin sports the 63rd-ranked offense this year (409.2 yards per game), and has been even more effective defensively, ranking 24th-best with just 320.5 yards allowed per game. Wisconsin is averaging 31.8 points per game on offense, which ranks them 53rd in the FBS. On the other side of the ball, the defense ranks 32nd, allowing 19.5 points per game. Wisconsin ranks 77th in pass offense (235.5 passing yards per game) and 41st in pass defense (203.5 passing yards allowed per game) this year. Wisconsin is compiling 173.7 rushing yards per game on offense (52nd in the FBS), and ranks 33rd on defense with 117.0 rushing yards allowed per game. Wisconsin has been thriving on both sides of the ball in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking 24th-best in third-down conversion rate (47.9%) and 16th-best in third-down percentage allowed (29.7%). With 12 forced turnovers (13th in the FBS) against eight turnovers committed (53rd in the FBS), Wisconsin’s +4 turnover margin is the 24th-best in college football.

Michigan State

Michigan State’s defense has been bottom-25 in total defense this season, surrendering 445.5 total yards per game, which ranks 17th-worst. On offense, it ranks 105th with 342.3 total yards per contest. Michigan State is posting 25.8 points per game on offense this season (90th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is giving up 27.0 points per game (75th-ranked) on defense. Michigan State’s defense has been a bottom-25 unit in pass defense this season, surrendering 292.0 passing yards per game, which ranks ninth-worst in the FBS. Offensively, it ranks 78th with 235.0 passing yards per contest. Michigan State’s rushing offense has been bottom-25 this season, registering 107.3 rushing yards per game, which ranks 18th-worst in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 84th with 153.5 rushing yards conceded per contest. Michigan State has been struggling on third down, ranking 17th-worst with a 44.3% third-down conversion rate allowed per game. It has been better on offense, generating a 41.7% third-down rate (56th-ranked). After forcing eight turnovers (72nd in the FBS) and turning the ball over nine times (74th in the FBS) this season, Michigan State sports the 100th-ranked turnover margin of -1.

Wisconsin vs. Michigan State Betting Analysis

Wisconsin Betting Insights

Wisconsin is 3-3-0 against the spread this season. In games they were favored in by 7 points or more so far this season, the Wisconsin went 3-1 against the spread. Wisconsin games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under four times this season. The Badgers have put together a 1-2 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 33.3% of those games). The Badgers have played as a moneyline favorite of -270 or shorter in only two games this season, and they split 1-1.

Spartans Betting Insights

Michigan State has covered the spread two times this season (2-4-0). Michigan State has yet to cover a spread (0-2) when it is at least 7-point underdogs. Michigan State games have gone over the total twice this year. The Spartans have been the underdog in four games this season, and they have failed to win any of those contests. The Spartans have not won as an underdog of +217 or more on the moneyline this season in two such games.

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Wisconsin vs. Michigan State Against The Spread & Betting Records


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 46.8 45.0 50.5
Implied Total AVG 34.2 35.0 32.5
ATS Record 3-3-0 2-2-0 1-1-0
Over/Under Record 4-2-0 2-2-0 2-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-2 0-2 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-0 0-1


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 56.8 56.4 57.5
Implied Total AVG 36.7 39.3 31.5
ATS Record 2-4-0 2-2-0 0-2-0
Over/Under Record 2-4-0 1-3-0 1-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-0 2-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-4 0-2 0-2

Players to Watch


  • The Badgers’ defense has been helped by the play of Nick Herbig, who has played six games and collected 24 tackles, 6.0 TFL, and five sacks.
  • The Badgers’ defensive unit has been aided by the play of Maema Njongmeta, who has suited up for six games and posted 3.0 TFL, 36 tackles, and one interception.
  • With 24 tackles, 3.0 TFL, one sack, and two interceptions in six games, John Torchio has been a big contributor to the Badgers’ defensive unit in 2022.
  • A key part of the Badgers’ defense, Kamo’i Latu has two interceptions to go with 19 tackles, 1.0 TFL, one sack, and three passes defended in six games.


  • On defense, Jacoby Windmon has helped keep opposing offenses in check with 25 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and 5.5 sacks in six games.
  • The Spartans’ Kendell Brooks has recorded 55 tackles in six games.
  • Cal Haladay has 1.0 sack to go with 2.0 TFL and 45 tackles in six games.
  • With 42 tackles and 1.0 TFL in six games, Ameer Speed has been making a big difference on defense for the Spartans.

Wisconsin vs. Michigan State Predictions and Pick

Wisconsin vs. Michigan State betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Spartans (+7)

    Pick OU:

    Over (49.5)

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How to Bet on Wisconsin vs. Michigan State

You can bet on Wisconsin vs. Michigan State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Wisconsin vs. Michigan State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this contest is Wisconsin, and we project that Michigan State will cover the spread (Wisconsin -7). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 49.5 points.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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