Wisconsin vs. Illinois Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

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The Wisconsin Badgers (2-2) and Illinois Fighting Illini (3-1) will face each other in clash of Big Ten rivals at Camp Randall Stadium in Madison, Wisconsin.

Wisconsin vs. Illinois Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 6.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Wisconsin as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Wisconsin has -266 odds to pick up the win, while Illinois is listed at +208 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 43.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Wisconsin vs. Illinois Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 1, 2022
  • Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: BTN
  • Location: Madison, Wisconsin
  • Stadium: Camp Randall Stadium

Betting Preview

Wisconsin

Wisconsin ranks 54th in total offense (433.0 yards per game) and 34th in total defense (319.3 yards allowed per game) this year. Wisconsin is compiling 34.8 points per game on offense, which ranks them 49th in the FBS. On defense, the defense ranks 34th, surrendering 19.0 points per game. Wisconsin ranks 87th in pass offense (221.3 passing yards per game) and 42nd in pass defense (197.8 passing yards allowed per game) this season. Wisconsin ranks 49th in run defense this season (121.5 rushing yards allowed per game), but has been thriving on the offensive side of the ball, ranking 24th-best in the FBS with 211.8 rushing yards per game. Wisconsin ranks 35th in third-down efficiency (46.5%) on offense and 43rd in third-down percentage allowed (33.3%) on defense this year. With nine forced turnovers (11th in the FBS) against five turnovers committed (49th in the FBS), Wisconsin’s +4 turnover margin is the 19th-best in college football.

Illinois

Illinois ranks 40th in the FBS with 455.3 total yards per game, but it has been lifted up by its defense, which ranks fifth-best by allowing only 234.5 total yards per contest. Illinois has been dominant on defense, surrendering only 8.0 points per game (fourth-best). On offense, it ranks 85th by racking up 28.3 points per game. Illinois has been thriving on pass defense, giving up just 147.3 passing yards per contest (ninth-best). On offense, it ranks 72nd in the FBS by accumulating 245.0 passing yards per game. Things have been going well for Illinois on both offense and defense, as it is posting 210.3 rushing yards per game (25th-best) and allowing only 87.3 rushing yards per game (18th-best). Illinois’ third-down defense has been paving the way for the team, as it ranks ninth-best in the FBS with a 26.2% third-down conversion rate allowed. In terms of offense, it is putting up a 45.2% third-down rate, which ranks 43rd. With nine forced turnovers (11th in the FBS) and eight turnovers committed (100th in the FBS) this season, Illinois ranks 49th in the FBS with a turnover margin of +1.

Wisconsin vs. Illinois Betting Analysis

Wisconsin Betting Insights

Wisconsin has covered the spread two times this season (2-2-0). Wisconsin is 2-1 ATS when playing as at least 6.5-point favorites. This season, Wisconsin games have hit the over twice. The Badgers have been listed as the moneyline favorite only one other time so far this season, a game they lost. The Badgers have played as a moneyline favorite of -266 or shorter in just one game this season, which they lost.

Fighting Illini Betting Insights

Illinois has covered the spread in a game three times this year (3-1-0). Illinois games have gone over the total once this year. The Fighting Illini lost the only game they’ve played as the underdog this season. The Fighting Illini have not been a bigger underdog this season than the +208 moneyline set for this game.

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Wisconsin vs. Illinois Against The Spread & Betting Records

Wisconsin

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 48.3 45.5 56.5
Implied Total AVG 38.3 38.3 38.0
ATS Record 2-2-0 2-1-0 0-1-0
Over/Under Record 2-2-0 1-2-0 1-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 0-1 0-1 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-0 0-1

Fighting Illini

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 47.4 47.3 47.5
Implied Total AVG 28.8 30.3 24.0
ATS Record 3-1-0 3-0-0 0-1-0
Over/Under Record 1-3-0 1-2-0 0-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-0 3-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-0 0-1

Players to Watch

Wisconsin

  • Nick Herbig has played four games, totaling 4.0 sacks to go with 5.0 TFL and 14 tackles for the Badgers.
  • With one interception to go with 26 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and one pass defended in four games, Maema Njongmeta has been a key part of the Badgers’ defense in 2022.
  • As part of the Badgers’ defensive unit, John Torchio has posted two interceptions to go along with 16 tackles, 1.0 TFL, one sack, and two passes defended in four games.
  • The Badgers’ defense has been helped by the play of Kamo’i Latu, who has suited up for four games, posting 1.0 sack to go with 1.0 TFL and 13 tackles.

Fighting Illini

  • Keith Randolph Jr. has been providing a big boost on defense, registering one interception to go with 17 tackles, 5.0 TFL, one sack, and one pass defended for the Fighting Illini.
  • Jer’Zhan Newton has been doing his part on defense, delivering 15 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and 2.5 sacks for the Fighting Illini.
  • Sydney Brown has been doing his part on defense, collecting 1.0 sack to go with 2.0 TFL and 14 tackles for the Fighting Illini.
  • Devon Witherspoon has amassed one interception to go with 14 tackles and three passes defended In four games for the Fighting Illini.

Wisconsin vs. Illinois Predictions and Pick

Wisconsin vs. Illinois betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Fighting Illini (+6.5)

    Pick OU:

    Over (43.5)

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How to Bet on Wisconsin vs. Illinois

You can bet on Wisconsin vs. Illinois at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Wisconsin vs. Illinois picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this game is Illinois, and we predict that Illinois will cover the spread (Wisconsin -6.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 43.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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