Western Kentucky vs. UAB Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

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The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (4-3) have a C-USA matchup versus the UAB Blazers (4-2).

Western Kentucky vs. UAB Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 1.5 points, with bookmakers listing Western Kentucky as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Western Kentucky has -126 odds to pick up the win, while UAB is listed at +101 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 59 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Western Kentucky vs. UAB Live?

  • Game Day: Friday, October 21, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS Sports Network
  • Location: Bowling Green, Kentucky
  • Stadium: Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium

Betting Preview

Western Kentucky

Western Kentucky sports the 53rd-ranked defense this year (363.3 yards allowed per game), and has been better on the other side of the ball, ranking 16th-best with a tally of 489.6 yards per game. Offensively, Western Kentucky has been a top-25 unit, ranking 19th-best in the FBS by totaling 40.0 points per game. The Hilltoppers rank 44th on defense (22.7 points allowed per game). On the offensive side of the ball, Western Kentucky has been a top-25 unit in terms of passing yards, ranking sixth-best in the FBS by totaling 345.0 per game. The Hilltoppers rank 84th on defense (241.6 passing yards allowed per game). Offensively, Western Kentucky ranks 77th in the FBS with 144.6 rushing yards per game. Meanwhile, the defensive unit ranks 36th in rushing yards allowed per contest (121.7). Western Kentucky ranks 69th in third-down conversion rate this year (39.3%), but has been thriving on the other side of the ball, ranking 13th-best in the FBS with a 29.5% third-down conversion rate allowed. With 17 forced turnovers (second in the FBS) against 11 turnovers committed (89th in the FBS), Western Kentucky’s +6 turnover margin is the 16th-best in college football.

UAB

UAB’s defense has been paving the way for the team, as it ranks 21st-best in the FBS with 319.2 total yards allowed per contest. In terms of offense, it is putting up 449.5 total yards per game, which ranks 35th. UAB has been excelling on the defensive side of the ball, surrendering just 17.3 points per contest (16th-best). On offense, it ranks 37th by posting 34.5 points per game. UAB has been thriving on pass defense, surrendering only 176.2 passing yards per contest (15th-best). On offense, it ranks 105th in the FBS by compiling 205.5 passing yards per game. UAB’s rushing attack has been leading the way for the team, as it ranks eighth-best in the FBS with 244.0 rushing yards per contest. In terms of defense, it is surrendering 143.0 rushing yards per game, which ranks 65th. From an offensive perspective, UAB is putting up a 43.7% third-down conversion percentage (49th-ranked). It ranks 66th in the FBS on defense (38.6% third-down rate allowed). UAB has accumulated 13 forced turnovers this season and have turned it over seven times, leading to a +6 turnover margin, which ranks 16th-best in the FBS.

Western Kentucky vs. UAB Betting Analysis

Western Kentucky Betting Insights

Western Kentucky has gone 5-2-0 against the spread this season. In games this season when favored by 1.5 points or more, Western Kentucky are 3-2 against the spread. This season, Western Kentucky games have hit the over three times. The Hilltoppers have a 3-1 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 75% of those games). The Hilltoppers are 2-0 (winning 75% of their games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -126 or shorter.

Blazers Betting Insights

UAB has covered the spread in a game three times this season (3-3-0). UAB games have gone over the total twice this year. The Blazers have not played a game this season while listed as the underdog. The Blazers have played as an underdog of +101 or more once this season and won that game.

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Western Kentucky vs. UAB Against The Spread & Betting Records

Western Kentucky

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 65.8 63.8 67.3
Implied Total AVG 40.6 43.3 38.5
ATS Record 5-2-0 1-2-0 4-0-0
Over/Under Record 3-4-0 2-1-0 1-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-1 1-1 2-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-2 0-0 0-2

Blazers

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 56.5 59.3 51.0
Implied Total AVG 36.8 40.5 29.5
ATS Record 3-3-0 3-1-0 0-2-0
Over/Under Record 2-4-0 1-3-0 1-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-2 3-0 0-2
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0

Players to Watch

Western Kentucky

  • As part of the Hilltoppers’ defense, Jaques Evans has collected 43 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and 4.5 sacks in seven games.
  • Kahlef Hailassie has hit the gridiron for seven games, recording one interception to go along with 26 tackles, 6.0 TFL, three sacks, and one pass defended for the Hilltoppers.
  • Derrick Smith has played seven games, recording 28 tackles, 3.0 TFL, two sacks, and one interception for the Hilltoppers.
  • With 2.5 sacks to go along with 2.0 TFL and seven tackles, Aaron Key has helped spur the Hilltoppers’ defense over seven games.

Blazers

  • Tyler Taylor has been doing his part on defense, delivering one interception to go with 30 tackles, 1.0 TFL, 1.5 sacks, and one pass defended for the Blazers.
  • In six games for the Blazers, Noah Wilder has delivered 33 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one pass defended.
  • Jaylen Key has collected 23 tackles and two interceptions in six games for the Blazers.
  • Grayson Cash has compiled 1.0 sack to go with 2.0 TFL, 14 tackles, and three interceptions in six games for the Blazers.

Western Kentucky vs. UAB Predictions and Pick

Western Kentucky vs. UAB betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Hilltoppers (-1.5)

    Pick OU:

    Under (59)

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How to Bet on Western Kentucky vs. UAB

You can bet on Western Kentucky vs. UAB at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Western Kentucky vs. UAB picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this game is Western Kentucky, and we expect that Western Kentucky will cover the spread (Western Kentucky -1.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 59 points.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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