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C-USA foes will do battle when the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (5-3) face the North Texas Mean Green (4-4) at Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium in Bowling Green, Kentucky.
Western Kentucky vs. North Texas Odds
Point Spread
The spread for this matchup is set at 10 points, with sportsbooks listing Western Kentucky as the favorites.
Moneyline
As for the moneyline, Western Kentucky has -346 odds to pick up the win, while North Texas is listed at +266 to claim victory.
Over/Under
Finally, the total for the game is set at 70 points.
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Game Info
How to Watch Western Kentucky vs. North Texas Live?
- Game Day: Saturday, October 29, 2022
- Game Time: 3:30 PM ET
- TV Channel: STADIUM
- Location: Bowling Green, Kentucky
- Stadium: Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
Betting Preview
Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky has the 50th-ranked defense this season (358.4 yards allowed per game), and has been better on the other side of the ball, ranking 21st-best with a tally of 472.4 yards per game. On offense, Western Kentucky has been a top-25 unit, ranking 18th-best in the FBS by putting up 37.5 points per game. The Hilltoppers rank 38th on defense (22.0 points allowed per game). Western Kentucky sports the 62nd-ranked defense this year in terms of passing yards (223.4 allowed per game), and has been better on the other side of the ball, ranking 11th-best with 317.9 passing yards per game. Offensively, Western Kentucky ranks 69th in the FBS with 154.5 rushing yards per game. Meanwhile, the defensive unit ranks 53rd in rushing yards allowed per contest (135.0). Western Kentucky ranks 84th in third-down percentage this season (37.3%), but has been shining on defense, ranking 14th-best in the FBS with a 30.1% third-down conversion rate allowed. With 21 forced turnovers (first in the FBS) against 12 turnovers committed (85th in the FBS), Western Kentucky’s +9 turnover margin is the fourth-best in college football.
North Texas
While North Texas’ defense has been sputtering, ranking eighth-worst by conceding 471.9 total yards per game, its offense ranks 16th-best with 484.3 total yards per contest. North Texas has not been getting things done on defense, ranking 12th-worst with 34.5 points allowed per game. It has been better on the other side of the ball, putting up 35.0 points per contest (30th-ranked). North Texas ranks 47th in passing yards per game (261.6), but it has been less productive on the defensive side of the ball, ranking ninth-worst in the FBS with 283.4 passing yards allowed per contest. North Texas ranks 18th-worst in rushing yards allowed per game on defense (188.5), but at least it has been excelling on offense, ranking 13th-best in rushing yards per contest (222.6). North Texas has been struggling on third down, ranking 16th-worst with a 45.2% third-down conversion percentage allowed per game. It has been more productive offensively, posting a 36.5% third-down rate (90th-ranked). After forcing eight turnovers (98th in the FBS) and turning the ball over 14 times (101st in the FBS) this season, North Texas sports the 100th-ranked turnover margin of -6.
Western Kentucky vs. North Texas Betting Analysis
Western Kentucky Betting Insights
Western Kentucky has gone 6-2-0 against the spread this season. Western Kentucky is 2-1 ATS when playing as at least 10-point favorites. Western Kentucky games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under three times this season. The Hilltoppers have won 80% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (4-1). The Hilltoppers have played as a moneyline favorite of -346 or shorter in only two games this season, and they won both.
Mean Green Betting Insights
North Texas has put together a record of 5-3-0 against the spread this season. North Texas is a perfect 2-0 ATS when playing as at least 10-point underdogs. This year, five North Texas games have gone over the point total. The Mean Green have entered the game as underdogs five times this season and won once. The Mean Green have entered three games this season as the underdog by +266 or more and are 0-1 in those contests.
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Western Kentucky vs. North Texas Against The Spread & Betting Records
Western Kentucky
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Total AVG | 65.1 | 63.0 | 67.3 |
| Implied Total AVG | 39.4 | 40.3 | 38.5 |
| ATS Record | 6-2-0 | 2-2-0 | 4-0-0 |
| Over/Under Record | 3-5-0 | 2-2-0 | 1-3-0 |
| Moneyline Favorite Record | 4-1 | 2-1 | 2-0 |
| Moneyline Underdog Record | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 |
Mean Green
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Total AVG | 65.5 | 67.0 | 64.0 |
| Implied Total AVG | 38.1 | 40.8 | 35.5 |
| ATS Record | 5-3-0 | 2-2-0 | 3-1-0 |
| Over/Under Record | 5-3-0 | 3-1-0 | 2-2-0 |
| Moneyline Favorite Record | 2-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Moneyline Underdog Record | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-3 |
Players to Watch
Western Kentucky
- With 4.5 sacks to go with 5.0 TFL and 52 tackles in eight games, Jaques Evans has been an important piece of the Hilltoppers’ defense in 2022.
- Kahlef Hailassie has suited up for eight games, registering two interceptions to go along with 31 tackles, 6.0 TFL, three sacks, and two passes defended for the Hilltoppers.
- The Hilltoppers’ defense has been aided by Derrick Smith, who has played eight games and posted one interception to go along with 33 tackles, 4.0 TFL, three sacks, and two passes defended.
- A key part of the Hilltoppers’ defensive unit, Aaron Key has seven tackles, 2.0 TFL, and 2.5 sacks in eight games.
Mean Green
- As a tone-setter on defense, the Mean Green’s Mazin Richards has collected 28 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and 6.5 sacks in eight games.
- In eight games for the Mean Green, KD Davis has delivered 48 tackles and one sack.
- Roderick Brown has been providing a big boost on defense, delivering 4.0 sacks to go with 3.0 TFL and 14 tackles for the Mean Green.
- With 22 tackles in eight games, Deshawn Gaddie has been providing a big boost on defense for the Mean Green.
Western Kentucky vs. North Texas Predictions and Pick
Western Kentucky vs. North Texas betting card
- Pick ATS:
Hilltoppers (-10)
Pick OU:
Under (70)
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How to Bet on Western Kentucky vs. North Texas
You can bet on Western Kentucky vs. North Texas at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.
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Our prediction to win this game is Western Kentucky, and we expect that Western Kentucky will cover the spread (Western Kentucky -10). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 70 points.