Wake Forest vs. Missouri Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl Prediction: Picks & Start Time – December 23, 2022

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The Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl will see the Wake Forest Demon Deacons battle the Missouri Tigers.

Wake Forest vs. Missouri Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 2.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Wake Forest as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Wake Forest has -139 odds to pick up the win, while Missouri is listed at +115 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 58.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Wake Forest vs. Missouri Live?

  • Game Day: Friday, December 23, 2022
  • Game Time: 6:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Tampa, Florida
  • Stadium: Raymond James Stadium

Betting Preview

Wake Forest

Wake Forest is totaling 448.0 yards per game offensively this year (29th in the FBS), and are surrendering 374.4 yards per game (66th) on defense. Wake Forest ranks 93rd in scoring defense this season (29.3 points allowed per game), but has been playing really well on the other side of the ball, ranking 15th-best in the FBS with 36.8 points per game. Wake Forest ranks 101st in pass defense this season (251.5 passing yards allowed per game), but has been shining on the other side of the ball, ranking 10th-best in the FBS with 314.6 passing yards per game. From an offensive standpoint, Wake Forest ranks 90th in the FBS with 133.4 rushing yards per game. Meanwhile, the defensive unit ranks 29th in rushing yards allowed per contest (122.9). Wake Forest ranks 94th in third-down defense this year (41.6% third-down conversion rate allowed), but has been shining on the other side of the ball, ranking 11th-best in the FBS with a 48.1% third-down percentage. With 11 forced turnovers (119th in the FBS) against 17 turnovers committed (71st in the FBS), Wake Forest’s -6-6 turnover margin ranks 100th in college football.

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Missouri

On the offensive side of the ball, Missouri is bottom-25, accumulating just 330.3 total yards per game (24th-worst). Fortunately, it is excelling on defense, ceding 311.7 total yards per contest (15th-best). Missouri is posting 25.5 points per contest on offense this season (83rd-ranked). Meanwhile, it is giving up 25.0 points per game (57th-ranked) on defense. While Missouri’s pass offense has had trouble moving the chains, ranking 20th-worst with 187.7 passing yards per game, its defense ranks 25th-best with just 193.3 passing yards ceded per contest. Missouri has been keeping opposing offenses in check on run defense, giving up only 118.3 rushing yards per game (23rd-best). On offense, it ranks 77th in the FBS by putting up 142.6 rushing yards per game. Missouri’s third-down defense has been leading the way for the team, as it ranks 25th-best in the FBS with a 33.7% third-down conversion percentage allowed. In terms of offense, it is compiling a 39.0% third-down rate, which ranks 72nd. Missouri owns a -2 turnover margin this season, which ranks 100th in the FBS.

Wake Forest vs. Missouri Betting Analysis

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Wake Forest Betting Insights

Wake Forest is 6-5-1 against the spread this season. In games they were favored in by 2.5 points or more so far this season, the Wake Forest went 4-5-1 against the spread. Wake Forest games have gone over the total five times this season. The Demon Deacons have gone 5-4 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 55.6% of those games). The Demon Deacons have gone 2-4 when they have played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -139 or shorter (55.6%).

Tigers Betting Insights

Missouri has covered the spread in a game seven times this season (7-5-0). Missouri is 5-2 ATS when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs. Games involving Missouri have hit the over on four occasions this year. The Tigers have entered the game as underdogs seven times this season and won twice. The Tigers have a record of 2-4 when they’re set as an underdog of +115 or more by oddsmakers this season.

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Wake Forest vs. Missouri Against The Spread & Betting Records

Wake Forest

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 64.2 64.4 63.9
Implied Total AVG 37.8 40.0 34.8
ATS Record 6-5-1 4-2-1 2-3-0
Over/Under Record 5-7-0 3-4-0 2-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 5-4 4-1 1-3
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-1 0-1 1-0

Tigers

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 52.3 52.2 52.4
Implied Total AVG 33.9 35.7 31.4
ATS Record 7-5-0 4-3-0 3-2-0
Over/Under Record 4-8-0 3-4-0 1-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-1 3-1 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-5 1-1 1-4

Players to Watch

Wake Forest

  • As part of the Demon Deacons’ defense, Ryan Smenda Jr. has totaled 120 tackles and three TFL in 10 games.
  • Chase Jones has helped spur the Demon Deacons’ defense with one sack to go along with five TFL and 63 tackles in 11 games.
  • As part of the Demon Deacons’ defensive unit, Chelen Garnes has recorded 53 tackles, one TFL, one sack, and three passes defended in 11 games.
  • The Demon Deacons’ defense has been helped by Jasheen Davis, who has played 10 games, amassing five sacks to go with 11 TFL and 31 tackles.

Tigers

  • On defense, Ty’Ron Hopper has helped lead the charge with one interception to go with 61 tackles, 12 TFL, three sacks, and one pass defended in 11 games.
  • The Tigers’ Jaylon Carlies has registered one sack to go with three TFL, 68 tackles, and two interceptions in 11 games.
  • The Tigers’ Isaiah McGuire has registered 39 tackles, 13 TFL, and eight sacks in 11 games.
  • Martez Manuel has totaled 47 tackles, nine TFL, four sacks, and two passes defended In 11 games for the Tigers.

Wake Forest vs. Missouri Predictions and Pick

Wake Forest vs. Missouri betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Tigers (+2.5)

    Pick OU:

    Over (58.5)

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How to Bet on Wake Forest vs. Missouri

You can bet on Wake Forest vs. Missouri at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Wake Forest vs. Missouri picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this game is Missouri, and we predict that Missouri will cover the spread (Wake Forest -2.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 58.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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