UTSA vs. Western Kentucky Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

httpscdn.dataskrive.comapiassetyoRguCEutsa roadrunners vs western kentucky hilltoppers Betsperts Media & Technology

The UTSA Roadrunners (3-2) and Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (3-2) will face each other in clash of C-USA rivals at the Alamodome in San Antonio, Texas.

UTSA vs. Western Kentucky Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 6.5 points, with bookmakers listing UTSA as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, UTSA has -242 odds to pick up the win, while Western Kentucky is listed at +189 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 72 points.


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Game Info

How to Watch UTSA vs. Western Kentucky Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 8, 2022
  • Game Time: 6:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: San Antonio, Texas
  • Stadium: Alamodome

Betting Preview


While UTSA ranks 17th-worst in the FBS in total defense with 440.8 yards allowed per game, it’s been a different story offensively, as the Roadrunners rank ninth-best in the FBS (500.8 yards per game). UTSA has struggled on defense, ranking 16th-worst in the FBS (34.0 points allowed per game) this season. However, the defensive unit ranks 20th-best offensively, totaling 38.6 points per game. On the offensive side of the ball, UTSA has been a top-25 unit in terms of passing yards, ranking best in the FBS by putting up 365.8 per game. The Roadrunners rank 100th on defense (253.6 passing yards allowed per game). With 187.2 rushing yards allowed per game on defense, which ranks 24th-worst in the FBS, UTSA has been forced to rely on their 91st-ranked running game (135.0 rushing yards per contest) to keep them in games. UTSA has struggled defensively in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking 17th-worst in the FBS (45.9% third-down percentage) this season. With the ball, however, the Roadrunners ranks sixth-best, averaging a 55.4% third-down percentage. UTSA has forced five total turnovers (98th in the FBS) this season and have turned it over seven times (61st in the FBS) for -2a turnover margin of -2, 100th-ranked in college football.

Western Kentucky

Western Kentucky’s offense has been thriving, accumulating 500.6 total yards per game (10th-best) this season. On defense, it ranks 51st by giving up 353.2 total yards per game. Western Kentucky’s offense has been thriving, piling up 43.4 points per game (ninth-best) this season. On defense, it ranks 51st by allowing 22.2 points per game. Western Kentucky’s pass offense has been excelling, posting 352.8 passing yards per contest (sixth-best) this season. On defense, it ranks 79th by allowing 238.0 passing yards per game. With 147.8 rushing yards per game on offense, Western Kentucky ranks 76th in the FBS. Defensively it ranks 37th, allowing 115.2 rushing yards per contest. Western Kentucky’s third-down defense has been paving the way for the team, as it ranks 24th-best in the FBS with a 29.6% third-down conversion rate allowed. In terms of offense, it is posting a 39.0% third-down rate, which ranks 73rd. Western Kentucky has accumulated 14 forced turnovers this season and have turned the ball over eight times, leading to a +6 turnover margin, which ranks 15th-best in the FBS.

UTSA vs. Western Kentucky Betting Analysis

UTSA Betting Insights

UTSA has covered the spread in a game three times this season (3-2-0). UTSA has yet to cover the spread (0-1) when they are at least 6.5-point favorites. All UTSA games have gone over the total this season. The Roadrunners have been listed as the moneyline favorite only two other times so far this season, and they won both of the games. The Roadrunners have never played a game this season with moneyline odds of -242 or shorter.

Hilltoppers Betting Insights

Western Kentucky is 3-2-0 against the spread this season. Western Kentucky has a perfect 1-0 ATS record when playing as at least 6.5-point underdogs. Western Kentucky’s games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under three times this season. The Hilltoppers lost the only game they’ve played as the underdog this season. This season, the Hilltoppers have won one of their two games when they’re the underdog by at least +189 on the moneyline.


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UTSA vs. Western Kentucky Against The Spread & Betting Records


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 60.4 63.8 58.2
Implied Total AVG 37.0 44.0 32.3
ATS Record 3-2-0 1-1-0 2-1-0
Over/Under Record 5-0-0 2-0-0 3-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-0 0-0 2-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-2 0-1 0-1


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 64.1 63.8 64.5
Implied Total AVG 41.2 43.3 38.0
ATS Record 3-2-0 1-2-0 2-0-0
Over/Under Record 3-2-0 2-1-0 1-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-1 1-1 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-0 0-1

Players to Watch


  • Jamal Ligon has played five games, compiling 1.0 TFL and 30 tackles for the Roadrunners.
  • As part of the Roadrunners’ defense, Trevor Harmanson has collected 0.5 sacks to go with 3.0 TFL and 24 tackles in five games.
  • As part of the Roadrunners’ defense, Dadrian Taylor has compiled 16 tackles and 2.0 TFL in five games.
  • With 1.5 sacks to go along with 2.0 TFL and 14 tackles, Trey Moore has helped lead the Roadrunners’ defense over five games.


  • As a playmaker on defense, the Hilltoppers’ Jaques Evans has delivered 24 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and 4.5 sacks in five games.
  • Kahlef Hailassie has amassed 15 tackles, 4.0 TFL, three sacks, and one interception in five games for the Hilltoppers.
  • Derrick Smith has been providing a big boost on defense, compiling 2.0 sacks to go with 2.0 TFL, 11 tackles, and one interception for the Hilltoppers.
  • Juwuan Jones has registered one interception to go with 13 tackles, 1.5 sacks, and one pass defended In five games for the Hilltoppers.

UTSA vs. Western Kentucky Predictions and Pick

UTSA vs. Western Kentucky betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Hilltoppers (+6.5)

    Pick OU:

    Under (72)


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How to Bet on UTSA vs. Western Kentucky

You can bet on UTSA vs. Western Kentucky at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s UTSA vs. Western Kentucky picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this contest is Western Kentucky, and we predict that Western Kentucky will cover the spread (UTSA -6.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 72 points.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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