UTSA vs. North Texas Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

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C-USA foes will do battle when the UTSA Roadrunners (5-2) meet the North Texas Mean Green (4-3) at the Alamodome in San Antonio, Texas.

UTSA vs. North Texas Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 10 points, with bookmakers listing UTSA as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, UTSA has -357 odds to pick up the win, while North Texas is listed at +273 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 72.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch UTSA vs. North Texas Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 22, 2022
  • Game Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: STADIUM
  • Location: San Antonio, Texas
  • Stadium: Alamodome

Betting Preview

UTSA

While UTSA ranks 25th-worst in the FBS in total defense with 429.7 yards allowed per game, it’s been a different situation offensively, as the Roadrunners rank 17th-best in the FBS (489.0 yards per game). UTSA ranks 27th in scoring offense (36.3 points per game) and 92nd in scoring defense (29.7 points allowed per game) this season. Offensively, UTSA has been a top-25 unit in terms of passing yards, ranking seventh-best in the FBS by totaling 343.6 per game. The Roadrunners rank 100th on defense (261.0 passing yards allowed per game). UTSA ranks 73rd in run offense (145.4 rushing yards per game) and 95th in run defense (168.7 rushing yards allowed per game) this season. UTSA ranks 85th in third-down defense this season (41.2% third-down conversion rate allowed), but has been shining on offense, ranking 10th-best in the FBS with a 51.6% third-down percentage. UTSA ranks 100th in college football with a -4 turnover margin after forcing 6 turnovers (108th in the FBS) and committing 10 (72nd in the FBS).

North Texas

Defensively, North Texas is bottom-25, allowing 468.6 total yards per game (10th-worst). Fortunately, it is dominating on offense, putting up 503.9 total yards per contest (13th-best). North Texas has been struggling on defense, ranking 14th-worst with 35.0 points allowed per game. It has been better on offense, generating 36.1 points per contest (28th-ranked). North Texas has been struggling in pass defense, ranking ninth-worst with 289.9 passing yards allowed per game. It has been more productive offensively, posting 252.6 passing yards per contest (58th-ranked). North Texas’ rushing attack has been leading the charge for the team, as it ranks sixth-best in the FBS with 251.3 rushing yards per game. In terms of defense, it is allowing 178.7 rushing yards per game, which ranks 106th. North Texas is posting a 34.8% third-down conversion percentage on offense this season (98th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is allowing a 43.5% third-down rate (105th-ranked) on defense. At -6, North Texas sports the 100th-ranked turnover margin in the FBS, with seven forced turnovers (98th in the FBS) and 13 turnovers committed (105th in the FBS).

UTSA vs. North Texas Betting Analysis

UTSA Betting Insights

UTSA has covered the spread in a matchup three times this season (3-4-0). UTSA is winless against the spread when it has played as 10-point or greater favorites (0-2). UTSA games have gone over the total five times this season. The Roadrunners have been listed as the moneyline favorite a total of four times this season, and they’ve won each of those games. The Roadrunners have played as a moneyline favorite of -357 or shorter in just one game this season, which they won.

Mean Green Betting Insights

North Texas have compiled a 4-3-0 record against the spread this season. North Texas has a perfect 1-0 ATS record when playing as at least 10-point underdogs. North Texas games have gone over the total five times this season. This season, the Mean Green have won one out of the four games in which they’ve been the underdog. The Mean Green have a record of 0-0 in games where sportsbooks have them as underdogs of at least +273 on the moneyline.

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UTSA vs. North Texas Against The Spread & Betting Records

UTSA

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 62.6 66.7 59.5
Implied Total AVG 39.1 42.7 36.5
ATS Record 3-4-0 1-2-0 2-2-0
Over/Under Record 5-2-0 2-1-0 3-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-0 1-0 3-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-2 0-1 0-1

Mean Green

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 64.5 67.0 61.2
Implied Total AVG 37.7 40.8 33.7
ATS Record 4-3-0 2-2-0 2-1-0
Over/Under Record 5-2-0 3-1-0 2-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-0 1-0 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-3 1-1 0-2

Players to Watch

UTSA

  • Trey Moore has helped carry the Roadrunners’ defense with 20 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and four sacks in seven games.
  • Jamal Ligon has suited up for seven games, posting 38 tackles and 1.0 TFL for the Roadrunners.
  • Corey Mayfield Jr. has helped spur the Roadrunners’ defense with one interception to go along with 30 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and two passes defended in seven games.
  • An important part of the Roadrunners’ defensive unit, Trevor Harmanson has 30 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and 0.5 sacks in seven games.

Mean Green

  • On defense, Mazin Richards has helped lead the charge with 26 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and five sacks in seven games.
  • On defense, KD Davis has helped lead the way with 47 tackles and 0.5 sacks in seven games.
  • Roderick Brown has been causing chaos on defense, delivering 4.0 sacks to go with 3.0 TFL and 14 tackles for the Mean Green.
  • On defense, Deshawn Gaddie has supplied 22 tackles in seven games.

UTSA vs. North Texas Predictions and Pick

UTSA vs. North Texas betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Roadrunners (-10)

    Pick OU:

    Under (72.5)

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How to Bet on UTSA vs. North Texas

You can bet on UTSA vs. North Texas at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s UTSA vs. North Texas picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this matchup is UTSA, and we expect that UTSA will cover the spread (UTSA -10). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 72.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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