USC vs. Utah Pac-12 Championship Prediction: Picks & Start Time – December 2, 2022

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The Pac-12 Championship Game is between the No. 4 USC Trojans (11-1) and the No. 12 Utah Utes (9-3).

USC vs. Utah Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 3 points, with bookmakers listing USC as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, USC has -152 odds to pick up the win, while Utah is listed at +125 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 66.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch USC vs. Utah Live?

  • Game Day: Friday, December 2, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: Paradise, Nevada
  • Stadium: Allegiant Stadium

Betting Preview

USC

USC ranks 91st in total defense this year (405.3 yards allowed per game), but has been shining on the other side of the ball, ranking fifth-best in the FBS with 506.6 total yards per game. USC sports the 60th-ranked defense this year (26.3 points allowed per game), and has been more effective on offense, ranking third-best with 42.5 points per game. While USC ranks 22nd-worst in the FBS in passing defense with 262.8 passing yards allowed per game, it’s been a different situation on the other side of the ball, as the offensive unit ranks sixth-best in the FBS (322.6 passing yards per game). USC ranks 44th in run offense (184.0 rushing yards per game) and 51st in run defense (142.4 rushing yards allowed per game) this year. While USC ranks 18th-worst in the FBS in third-down efficiency on defense with a 43.9% third-down conversion rate allowed, it’s been a different story on offense, where the Trojans rank second-best in the FBS (55.3% third-down percentage). USC has forced 26 total turnovers (fourth in the FBS) this season and have turned it over three times (first in the FBS) for a turnover margin of +23, the best in college football.

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Utah

Things have been positive for Utah on both offense and defense, as it is putting up 467.8 total yards per game (20th-best) and ceding just 317.5 total yards per game (17th-best). Utah has been top-25 on both sides of the ball this season, as it ranks 10th-best in points per game (39.4) and 19th-best in points allowed per game (20.1). From an offensive perspective, Utah is compiling 247.7 passing yards per contest (50th-ranked). It ranks 37th in the FBS on the other side of the ball (206.3 passing yards surrendered per game). Utah has been a top-25 run unit on both offense and defense this season, as it ranks 10th-best in rushing yards per game (220.1) and 17th-best in rushing yards surrendered per game (111.3). On third down, Utah has been productive on both offense and defense this season, ranking eighth-best in third-down conversion rate (50.0%) and 18th-best in third-down rate allowed (31.4%). At +6, Utah sports the 27th-ranked turnover margin in the FBS, with 21 forced turnovers (22nd in the FBS) and 15 turnovers committed (46th in the FBS).

USC vs. Utah Betting Analysis

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USC Betting Insights

USC is 8-4-0 against the spread this season. In games it is played as 3-point favorites or more, USC has an ATS record of 6-4. Games involving USC have hit the over nine times this season. The Trojans have yet to lose when playing as the moneyline favorite this season, going 10-0. The Trojans have played nine times as a moneyline favorite with odds of -152 or shorter, and won in each game.

Utes Betting Insights

Utah has covered the spread seven times in 12 games with a set total. This season, six Utah games have gone over the point total. This is the first time the Utes will play as underdogs this season. The Utes are undefeated in two games this season when they’re the underdog by +125 or more on the moneyline.

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USC vs. Utah Against The Spread & Betting Records

USC

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 66.7 63.9 70.6
Implied Total AVG 40.8 42.1 38.8
ATS Record 8-4-0 5-2-0 3-2-0
Over/Under Record 9-3-0 5-2-0 4-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 10-0 6-0 4-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-0 0-1

Utes

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 57.4 58.3 56.5
Implied Total AVG 36.7 40.0 33.3
ATS Record 7-5-0 5-1-0 2-4-0
Over/Under Record 6-6-0 3-3-0 3-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 7-3 5-0 2-3
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0

Players to Watch

USC

  • Tuli Tuipulotu has hit the gridiron for 12 games, registering 12.5 sacks to go with 15.0 TFL and 35 tackles for the Trojans.
  • The Trojans’ defensive unit has been helped by Shane Lee, who has suited up for 12 games and posted 2.5 sacks to go with 6.0 TFL, 65 tackles, and two interceptions.
  • Eric Gentry has played 12 games, posting 57 tackles, 1.0 TFL, one sack, and one interception for the Trojans.
  • Mekhi Blackmon has been a key piece of the Trojans’ defense in 2022, with three interceptions to go with 51 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and four passes defended in 12 games.

Utes

  • In 12 games for the Utes, R.J. Hubert has compiled 3.0 TFL, 55 tackles, and two interceptions.
  • Karene Reid has posted 55 tackles, 3.0 TFL, four sacks, and one interception in 12 games for the Utes.
  • Cole Bishop has amassed 1.5 sacks to go with 4.0 TFL, 46 tackles, and one interception in 12 games for the Utes.
  • With 36 tackles, 8.0 TFL, and three sacks in 12 games, Mohamoud Diabate has been providing a big boost on defense for the Utes.

USC vs. Utah Predictions and Pick

USC vs. Utah betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Utes (+3)

    Pick OU:

    Under (66.5)

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How to Bet on USC vs. Utah

You can bet on USC vs. Utah at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s USC vs. Utah picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this game is Utah, and we predict that Utah will cover the spread (USC -3). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 66.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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