USC vs. UCLA Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 19, 2022

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The No. 7 USC Trojans (9-1) and No. 16 UCLA Bruins (8-2) will face each other in clash of Pac-12 rivals at the Rose Bowl in Pasadena, California.

USC vs. UCLA Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 2 points, with sportsbooks listing USC as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, USC has -129 odds to pick up the win, while UCLA is listed at +106 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 76.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch USC vs. UCLA Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, November 19, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: Pasadena, California
  • Stadium: Rose Bowl

Betting Preview

USC

On the offensive side of the ball, USC has been a top-25 unit, ranking seventh-best in the FBS by totaling 499.4 yards per game. The defense ranks 88th (394.2 yards allowed per game). USC ranks 51st in scoring defense this season (24.4 points allowed per game), but has been thriving on offense, ranking third-best in the FBS with 42.4 points per game. USC sports the 99th-ranked defense this season in terms of passing yards (252.7 allowed per game), and has been more effective on the other side of the ball, ranking 10th-best with 316.9 passing yards per game. USC is averaging 182.5 rushing yards per game on offense (43rd in the FBS), and ranks 56th defensively with 141.5 rushing yards allowed per game. USC has the 91st-ranked defense this year in terms of third-down efficiency (41.4% third-down percentage allowed), and has been better offensively, ranking second-best with a 55.5% third-down conversion rate. USC owns the best turnover margin in college football at +18, forcing 20 turnovers (14th in the FBS) while turning it over two times (first in the FBS).

UCLA

UCLA’s offense has been thriving, compiling 504.1 total yards per contest (fifth-best) this season. Defensively, it ranks 69th by giving up 378.8 total yards per game. UCLA’s defense ranks 71st in the FBS with 26.4 points given up per game, but it has been bolstered by its offense, which ranks 10th-best by posting 39.5 points per game. UCLA ranks 37th in the FBS with 264.0 passing yards per contest on offense, and it ranks 102nd with 254.4 passing yards allowed per contest on defense. UCLA’s run offense has been consistently moving the chains, racking up 240.1 rushing yards per contest (eighth-best) this season. On defense, it ranks 32nd by surrendering 124.4 rushing yards per game. UCLA’s third-down offense has been dominant, producing a 51.6% third-down conversion percentage (seventh-best) this season. On defense, it ranks 88th by allowing a 41.1% third-down rate. With 14 forced turnovers (64th in the FBS) and 11 turnovers committed (25th in the FBS) this season, UCLA ranks 42nd in the FBS with a turnover margin of +3.

USC vs. UCLA Betting Analysis

USC Betting Insights

USC has covered the spread six times over 10 games with a set spread. USC is 5-4 ATS when playing as at least 2-point favorites. This season, seven USC games have gone over the point total. The Trojans have been the moneyline favorite a total of eight times this season, and they’ve won all of those games. The Trojans have played eight times as a moneyline favorite with odds of -129 or shorter, and claimed a victory in each game.

Bruins Betting Insights

UCLA has covered the spread six times in 10 games with a set total. UCLA has an ATS record of 2-1 when playing as at least 2-point underdogs. UCLA’s games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under seven times this season. The Bruins have been underdogs in three games this season and won two (66.7%) of those contests. The Bruins have a record of 2-1 in games where sportsbooks have them as underdogs of at least +106 on the moneyline.

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USC vs. UCLA Against The Spread & Betting Records

USC

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 66.0 64.1 68.9
Implied Total AVG 41.5 43.5 38.5
ATS Record 6-4-0 4-2-0 2-2-0
Over/Under Record 7-3-0 4-2-0 3-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 8-0 5-0 3-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-0 0-1

Bruins

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 64.2 64.0 64.7
Implied Total AVG 40.8 41.4 39.3
ATS Record 6-4-0 4-3-0 2-1-0
Over/Under Record 7-3-0 4-3-0 3-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 5-1 3-1 2-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-1 2-0 0-1

Players to Watch

USC

  • Tuli Tuipulotu has played 10 games, recording 11.5 sacks to go with 13.0 TFL and 28 tackles for the Trojans.
  • Shane Lee has suited up for 10 games, delivering one interception to go along with 54 tackles, 5.0 TFL, 2.5 sacks, and one pass defended for the Trojans.
  • Eric Gentry has hit the gridiron for 10 games, recording 48 tackles, 1.0 TFL, one sack, and one interception for the Trojans.
  • The Trojans’ defense has been aided by the play of Max Williams, who has played 10 games, collecting 1.0 TFL, 51 tackles, and two interceptions.

Bruins

  • As a tone-setter on defense, the Bruins’ Laiatu Latu has delivered 26 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and eight sacks in 10 games.
  • Darius Muasau has been providing a big boost on defense, recording two interceptions to go with 48 tackles, 2.0 TFL, one sack, and two passes defended for the Bruins.
  • Grayson Murphy has 5.0 sacks to go with 8.0 TFL and 25 tackles in 10 games.
  • Stephan Blaylock has registered 2.0 sacks to go with 3.0 TFL, 36 tackles, and one interception in 10 games for the Bruins.

USC vs. UCLA Predictions and Pick

USC vs. UCLA betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Bruins (+2)

    Pick OU:

    Under (76.5)

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How to Bet on USC vs. UCLA

You can bet on USC vs. UCLA at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s USC vs. UCLA picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this matchup is USC, and we predict that UCLA will cover the spread (USC -2). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 76.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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