USC vs. Notre Dame Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 26, 2022

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It’ll be the No. 5 USC Trojans (10-1) against the No. 13 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (8-3) in college football play at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum in Los Angeles, California.

USC vs. Notre Dame Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 5 points, with sportsbooks listing USC as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, USC has -193 odds to pick up the win, while Notre Dame is listed at +156 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 63.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch USC vs. Notre Dame Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, November 26, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ABC
  • Location: Los Angeles, California
  • Stadium: Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum

Betting Preview

USC

USC ranks 94th in total defense this year (405 yards allowed per game), but has been playing really well on the other side of the ball, ranking second-best in the FBS with 513 total yards per game. USC ranks 66th in scoring defense this season (26.3 points allowed per game), but has been playing really well on the other side of the ball, ranking third-best in the FBS with 42.9 points per game. USC has the 104th-ranked defense this season in terms of passing yards (257.8 allowed per game), and has been better offensively, ranking fourth-best with 330.8 passing yards per game. USC is putting up 182.2 rushing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 47th in the FBS. The team’s defensive unit ranks 65th, giving up 147.2 rushing yards per game. USC ranks 106th in third-down defense this season (42.6% third-down percentage allowed), but has been shining on the offensive side of the ball, ranking second-best in the FBS with a 54.3% third-down conversion rate. USC has forced 24 total turnovers (fifth in the FBS) this season and have turned it over three times (first in the FBS) for a turnover margin of +21, the best in college football.

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Notre Dame

Notre Dame ranks 76th in the FBS with 380.4 total yards per game, but it has been lifted up by its defense, which ranks 17th-best by giving up only 316.8 total yards per game. Notre Dame ranks 49th in the FBS with 31 points per game on offense, and it ranks 26th with 20.3 points ceded per contest on the defensive side of the ball. While Notre Dame’s pass offense has had trouble moving the chains, ranking 19th-worst with 189.2 passing yards per game, its defense ranks 18th-best with only 186.8 passing yards allowed per contest. Notre Dame is accumulating 191.2 rushing yards per contest on offense this season (36th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is giving up 130 rushing yards per contest (37th-ranked) on defense. Notre Dame is putting up a 44.7% third-down conversion percentage on offense this season (32nd-ranked). Meanwhile, it is allowing a 34.3% third-down rate (34th-ranked) on defense. Notre Dame has produced 13 forced turnovers (92nd in the FBS) and committed 13 turnovers (29th in the FBS) this season for a 0 turnover margin that ranks 100th in the FBS.

USC vs. Notre Dame Betting Analysis

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USC Betting Insights

USC has put together a 7-4-0 record against the spread this season. In games this season when favored by 5 points or more, USC are 5-4 against the spread. Games involving USC have hit the over eight times this season. The Trojans have been favored on the moneyline a total of nine times this season, and they’ve won all of those games. The Trojans have won all eight games they have played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -193 or shorter.

Fighting Irish Betting Insights

Notre Dame is 5-5-0 against the spread this year. Notre Dame is a perfect 1-0 ATS when playing as at least 5-point underdogs. This year, six Notre Dame games have gone over the point total. The Fighting Irish have won two of the three games they’ve played as underdogs this season. The Fighting Irish have played as an underdog of +156 or more once this season and lost that game.

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USC vs. Notre Dame Against The Spread & Betting Records

USC

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 67.0 64.1 70.6
Implied Total AVG 41.4 43.5 38.8
ATS Record 7-4-0 4-2-0 3-2-0
Over/Under Record 8-3-0 4-2-0 4-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 9-0 5-0 4-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-0 0-1

Fighting Irish

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 47.7 45.8 50.5
Implied Total AVG 30.9 31.3 30.3
ATS Record 5-5-0 2-4-0 3-1-0
Over/Under Record 6-3-1 3-2-1 3-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-2 3-2 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-1 1-0 1-1

Players to Watch

USC

  • As part of the Trojans’ defensive unit, Tuli Tuipulotu has posted 33 tackles, 14 TFL, and 11.5 sacks in 11 games.
  • The Trojans’ defensive unit has been helped by the play of Shane Lee, who has suited up for 11 games and totaled 2.5 sacks to go with five TFL, 61 tackles, and two interceptions.
  • Mekhi Blackmon has helped spur the Trojans’ defense with three interceptions to go along with 48 tackles, two TFL, and four passes defended in 11 games.
  • The Trojans’ defense has been aided by Max Williams, who has suited up for 11 games, registering one TFL, 55 tackles, and two interceptions.

Fighting Irish

  • On defense, Isaiah Foskey has helped lead the charge with 37 tackles, eight TFL, and nine sacks in 11 games.
  • The Fighting Irish’s JD Bertrand has compiled two sacks to go with three TFL and 60 tackles in 11 games.
  • In 11 games for the Fighting Irish, Jack Kiser has collected 48 tackles, one TFL, and three sacks.
  • Benjamin Morrison has posted five interceptions to go with 24 tackles, one TFL, and five passes defended In 11 games for the Fighting Irish.

USC vs. Notre Dame Predictions and Pick

USC vs. Notre Dame betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Trojans (-5)

    Pick OU:

    Under (63.5)

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How to Bet on USC vs. Notre Dame

You can bet on USC vs. Notre Dame at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s USC vs. Notre Dame picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this matchup is USC, and we project that USC will cover the spread (USC -5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 63.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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