UNLV vs. New Mexico Prediction: Picks & Start Time – September 2022

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MWC rivals will clash when the UNLV Rebels (3-1) battle the New Mexico Lobos (2-2).

UNLV vs. New Mexico Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 14 points, with oddsmakers listing UNLV as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, UNLV has -658 odds to pick up the win, while New Mexico is listed at +455 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 44.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch UNLV vs. New Mexico Live?

  • Game Day: Friday, September 30, 2022
  • Game Time: 11:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS Sports Network
  • Location: Paradise, Nevada
  • Stadium: Allegiant Stadium

Betting Preview

UNLV

UNLV is putting up 439.8 yards per game on offense, which ranks 51st in the FBS. On defense, the Rebels rank 69th, allowing 376.5 yards per game. On offense, UNLV has been a top-25 unit, ranking 25th-best in the FBS by totaling 39.5 points per game. The Rebels rank 58th on defense (23.0 points allowed per game). With 274.8 passing yards allowed per game on defense, which ranks 21st-worst in the FBS, UNLV has been forced to rely on their 56th-ranked passing offense (259.8 passing yards per contest) to keep them competitive. UNLV ranks 51st in run offense (180.0 rushing yards per game) and 30th in run defense (101.8 rushing yards allowed per game) this season. From an offensive standpoint, UNLV ranks 75th in the FBS with a 38.2% third-down percentage. Meanwhile, the team’s defense ranks 32nd in third-down conversion rate allowed (101.8). UNLV has forced 10 total turnovers (eighth in the FBS) this season and have turned it over one time (second in the FBS) for a turnover margin of +9, the second-best in college football.

New Mexico

New Mexico’s offense has been bottom-25 in total offense this season, generating 236.8 total yards per game, which ranks second-worst in the FBS. On defense, it ranks 41st with 330.5 total yards ceded per contest. New Mexico’s offense has been a bottom-25 unit this season, putting up 20.5 points per game, which ranks 21st-worst in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 41st with 19.8 points surrendered per contest. New Mexico’s passing offense has been a bottom-25 unit this season, generating 106.5 passing yards per game, which ranks fifth-worst in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 63rd with 219.8 passing yards surrendered per contest. New Mexico is accumulating 130.3 rushing yards per contest on offense this season (98th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is allowing 110.8 rushing yards per contest (37th-ranked) on defense. New Mexico ranks ninth-worst in third-down conversion rate (27.5%), but at least it has been playing well on the other side of the ball, ranking 15th-best in third-down rate surrendered (26.9%). New Mexico has fared really well in terms of turnovers, as its turnover margin of +7 ranks sixth-best in the FBS, with 11 forced turnovers (sixth in the nation) and four turnovers committed (30th in the nation).

UNLV vs. New Mexico Betting Analysis

UNLV Betting Insights

UNLV has covered in each of the four opportunities it has had with a set spread this season (4-0-0). UNLV has a perfect 1-0 ATS record when playing as at least 14-point favorites. This season, UNLV games have hit the over twice. The Rebels have been listed as the moneyline favorite a total of three times this season, and they’ve won each of those games. The Rebels have played as a moneyline favorite of -658 or shorter in just one game this season, which they won.

Lobos Betting Insights

New Mexico has covered the spread twice over four games with a set number. New Mexico has yet to cover a spread (0-1-1) when it’s at least 14-point underdogs. New Mexico games have gone over the total once this year. The Lobos have won one of the three games they’ve played as underdogs this season. The Lobos have been at least a +455 moneyline underdog two times this season, but lost all of those games.

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UNLV vs. New Mexico Against The Spread & Betting Records

UNLV

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 56.4 57.0 55.8
Implied Total AVG 33.3 35.0 31.5
ATS Record 4-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0
Over/Under Record 2-2-0 2-0-0 0-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-0 2-0 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-0 0-1

Lobos

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 41.9 41.2 44.0
Implied Total AVG 28.0 24.7 38.0
ATS Record 2-1-1 2-0-1 0-1-0
Over/Under Record 1-3-0 1-2-0 0-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-0 1-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-2 1-1 0-1

Players to Watch

UNLV

  • Austin Ajiake has helped spur the Rebels’ defense with 34 tackles, 4.0 TFL, one sack, and two interceptions in four games.
  • As part of the Rebels’ defense, Jeffae Williams has delivered 1.0 sack to go with 2.0 TFL, 20 tackles, and two interceptions in four games.
  • Adam Plant Jr. has helped lead the Rebels’ defense with 19 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and three sacks in four games.
  • Nohl Williams, as part of the Rebels’ defensive unit, has registered 16 tackles and two interceptions in four games.

Lobos

  • Cody Moon has delivered nine tackles, 3.0 TFL, and 3.5 sacks in four games for the Lobos.
  • Reco Hannah has been doing his part on defense, delivering one interception to go with seven tackles, 1.0 TFL, 1.5 sacks, and one pass defended for the Lobos.
  • The Lobos’ Justin Harris has compiled seven tackles, 2.0 TFL, and 2.5 sacks in four games.
  • Bryce Santana has compiled 1.5 sacks to go with 1.0 TFL and three tackles in four games for the Lobos.

UNLV vs. New Mexico Predictions and Pick

UNLV vs. New Mexico betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Rebels (-14)

    Pick OU:

    Over (44.5)

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How to Bet on UNLV vs. New Mexico

You can bet on UNLV vs. New Mexico at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s UNLV vs. New Mexico picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this matchup is UNLV, and we predict that UNLV will cover the spread (UNLV -14). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 44.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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