UConn vs. UMass Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 2022

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The UConn Huskies (4-5) and UMass Minutemen (1-7) will face each other in clash of FBS Independent opponents at Pratt and Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field in East Hartford, Connecticut.

UConn vs. UMass Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 15.5 points, with oddsmakers listing UConn as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, UConn has -792 odds to pick up the win, while UMass is listed at +528 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 40 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch UConn vs. UMass Live?

  • Game Day: Friday, November 4, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS Sports Network
  • Location: East Hartford, Connecticut
  • Stadium: Pratt and Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field

Betting Preview

UConn

UConn ranks eighth-worst in total offense (288.9 yards per game), but has played a little better on defense, ranking 77th with 388.1 yards allowed per game. UConn ranks 11th-worst in scoring offense (17.6 points per game), but has been slightly better on defense, ranking 67th with 26.2 points allowed per game. UConn has been a bottom-25 pass offense this year, ranking fifth-worst with 110.9 passing yards per contest. The defense is ranked 83rd in the FBS (241 passing yards allowed per game). UConn ranks 46th in run offense (178 rushing yards per game) and 71st in run defense (147.1 rushing yards allowed per game) this season. UConn is averaging a 38.2% third-down conversion rate on offense this season (80th in the FBS), and is surrendering a 43.2% third-down conversion rate (104th) on the defensive side of the ball. With 16 forced turnovers (16th in the FBS) against 13 turnovers committed (78th in the FBS), UConn’s +3+3 turnover margin ranks 42nd in college football.

UMass

UMass has not been getting things done offensively, ranking second-worst with 245 total yards per game. It has been better on the other side of the ball, allowing 379 total yards per contest (70th-ranked). UMass ranks worst in points per game (12.1), but it has been more effective defensively, ranking 103rd in the FBS with 30.9 points surrendered per contest. UMass’ passing offense has been bottom-25 this season, registering 78.8 passing yards per game, which ranks worst in the FBS. On the defensive side of the ball, it ranks 38th with 205.4 passing yards allowed per contest. In terms of rushing, UMass ranks 57th in the FBS on offense (166.3 rushing yards per game) and 101st on defense (173.6 rushing yards allowed per game). Offensively, UMass is bottom-25 on third down, posting a 27.7% third-down conversion rate (fifth-worst). On the bright side, it is thriving on the defensive side of the ball, giving up a 31.6% third-down rate (20th-best). After forcing 13 turnovers (44th in the FBS) and turning the ball over 10 times (40th in the FBS) this season, UMass sports the 42nd-ranked turnover margin of +3.

UConn vs. UMass Betting Analysis

UConn Betting Insights

UConn has covered the spread seven times over nine games with a set spread. UConn is a perfect 1-0 ATS when playing as at least 15.5-point favorites. UConn games have gone over the total twice this season. The Huskies have been the moneyline favorite only two other times so far this season, and they won both of the games. The Huskies have played as a moneyline favorite of -792 or shorter in only one game this season, which they won.

Minutemen Betting Insights

UMass is 3-5-0 against the spread this year. UMass has a record of 2-3 ATS when playing as at least 15.5-point underdogs. Games involving UMass have hit the over twice this year. The Minutemen have been the underdog in seven games this season, and they have failed to win any of those contests. The Minutemen have not won as an underdog of +528 or more on the moneyline this season in five such games.

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UConn vs. UMass Against The Spread & Betting Records

UConn

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 50.8 49.3 52.1
Implied Total AVG 36.6 34.0 38.6
ATS Record 7-2-0 3-1-0 4-1-0
Over/Under Record 2-6-1 1-3-0 1-3-1
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-0 1-0 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-4 2-1 0-3

Minutemen

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 47.6 44.0 51.1
Implied Total AVG 31.9 27.0 36.8
ATS Record 3-5-0 2-2-0 1-3-0
Over/Under Record 2-6-0 1-3-0 1-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-0 1-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-7 0-3 0-4

Players to Watch

UConn

  • As part of the Huskies’ defensive unit, Jackson Mitchell has collected 60 tackles, four TFL, four sacks, and one interception in nine games.
  • The Huskies’ defense has been aided by Brandon Bouyer-Randle, who has suited up for nine games and compiled one sack to go with four TFL, 39 tackles, and two interceptions.
  • Ian Swenson has helped spur the Huskies’ defense with one interception to go along with 40 tackles, one TFL, 0.5 sacks, and one pass defended in nine games.
  • Malik Dixon, as part of the Huskies’ defensive unit, has amassed 37 tackles and one interception in nine games.

Minutemen

  • Jalen Mackie has totaled one interception to go with 20 tackles, four TFL, 2.5 sacks, and one pass defended in eight games for the Minutemen.
  • The Minutemen’s Marcus Cushnie has delivered 3.5 sacks to go with seven TFL and 14 tackles in eight games.
  • Jordan Mahoney has been providing a big boost on defense, collecting five tackles and three interceptions for the Minutemen.
  • With two interceptions to go with 13 tackles, one TFL, and two passes defended in eight games, Josh Wallace has been making a big difference on defense for the Minutemen.

UConn vs. UMass Predictions and Pick

UConn vs. UMass betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Huskies (-15.5)

    Pick OU:

    Over (40)

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How to Bet on UConn vs. UMass

You can bet on UConn vs. UMass at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s UConn vs. UMass picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this contest is UConn, and we predict that UConn will cover the spread (UConn -15.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 40 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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