UCF vs. South Florida Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 26, 2022

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AAC opponents will do battle when the No. 25 UCF Knights (8-3) face the South Florida Bulls (1-10) at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida.

UCF vs. South Florida Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 20 points, with bookmakers listing UCF as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, UCF has -1177 odds to pick up the win, while South Florida is listed at +686 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 67.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch UCF vs. South Florida Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, November 26, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN2
  • Location: Tampa, Florida
  • Stadium: Raymond James Stadium

Betting Preview

UCF

UCF ranks 43rd in total defense this year (353.8 yards allowed per game), but has been shining on the offensive side of the ball, ranking 14th-best in the FBS with 480.5 total yards per game. UCF sports the 29th-ranked offense this season (33.9 points per game), and has been better on defense, ranking 19th-best with just 19.7 points allowed per game. UCF is averaging 246.5 passing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 50th in the FBS. The defense ranks 56th, allowing 218.1 passing yards per game. UCF has the 46th-ranked defense this year in terms of rushing yards (135.7 rushing yards allowed per game), and has been more effective on offense, ranking seventh-best with 234.0 rushing yards per game. UCF has the 51st-ranked defense this season in terms of third-down efficiency (36.9% third-down conversion rate allowed), and has been better offensively, ranking 15th-best with a 47.5% third-down conversion rate. UCF ranks 100th in college football with a -5 turnover margin after forcing 10 turnovers (119th in the FBS) and committing 15 (57th in the FBS).

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South Florida

South Florida ranks 68th in total yards per game (386.5), but it has been worse on the other side of the ball, ranking worst in the FBS with 514.0 total yards allowed per contest. South Florida ranks 77th in points per game (27.0), but it has been less productive on the defensive side of the ball, ranking second-worst in the FBS with 40.7 points ceded per contest. South Florida has been struggling in pass defense, ranking fourth-worst with 289.3 passing yards surrendered per game. It has been more productive on offense, posting 197.7 passing yards per contest (106th-ranked). South Florida ranks 40th in rushing yards per game (188.8), but it has been less effective defensively, ranking fourth-worst in the FBS with 224.7 rushing yards surrendered per contest. South Florida ranks 74th in third-down conversion percentage (38.7%) on offense, but it has been less effective on the defensive side of the ball, ranking ninth-worst in the FBS with a 46.6% third-down percentage allowed. South Florida has registered 12 forced turnovers (105th in the FBS) and committed 15 turnovers (57th in the FBS) this season for a -3 turnover margin that ranks 100th in the FBS.

UCF vs. South Florida Betting Analysis

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UCF Betting Insights

UCF is 7-4-0 against the spread this season. UCF has an ATS record of 2-1 when playing as at least 20-point favorites. Games involving UCF have hit the over four times this season. The Knights have gone 6-3 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 66.7% of those games). The Knights have played as a moneyline favorite of -1177 or shorter in just two games this season, and they won both.

Bulls Betting Insights

South Florida has covered the spread in a game four times this season (4-7-0). South Florida is a perfect 2-0 ATS when playing as at least 20-point underdogs. This season, eight South Florida games have gone over the point total. The Bulls have been listed as the underdog nine times this season and have failed to win any of those games. The Bulls have entered three games this season as the underdog by +686 or more and are 0-1 in those contests.

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UCF vs. South Florida Against The Spread & Betting Records

UCF

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 57.9 56.8 59.9
Implied Total AVG 34.9 36.6 32.0
ATS Record 7-4-0 4-3-0 3-1-0
Over/Under Record 4-7-0 2-5-0 2-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 6-3 4-2 2-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-0 0-0 1-0

Bulls

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 58.8 60.4 57.5
Implied Total AVG 38.0 39.2 37.0
ATS Record 4-7-0 0-5-0 4-2-0
Over/Under Record 8-3-0 4-1-0 4-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 0-1 0-0 0-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-9 0-4 0-5

Players to Watch

UCF

  • The Knights’ defensive unit has been helped by Jason Johnson, who has played 11 games and amassed 94 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and 1.5 sacks.
  • Tre’mon Morris-Brash has hit the gridiron for 11 games, totaling 40 tackles, 7.0 TFL, and six sacks for the Knights.
  • With 41 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and two sacks in 11 games, Josh Celiscar has been an important part of the Knights’ defense in 2022.
  • Divaad Wilson, as part of the Knights’ defense, has delivered 1.0 TFL, 29 tackles, and three interceptions in 11 games.

Bulls

  • Dwayne Boyles has been causing chaos on defense, amassing one interception to go with 44 tackles, 5.0 TFL, one sack, and one pass defended for the Bulls.
  • On defense, Jason Vaughn has helped lead the way with 13 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and five sacks in 11 games.
  • Jatorian Hansford has posted 2.5 sacks to go with 3.0 TFL and 13 tackles in 11 games for the Bulls.
  • The Bulls’ Timarcus Simpson has posted 25 tackles and 1.0 TFL in 11 games.

UCF vs. South Florida Predictions and Pick

UCF vs. South Florida betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Knights (-20)

    Pick OU:

    Under (67.5)

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How to Bet on UCF vs. South Florida

You can bet on UCF vs. South Florida at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s UCF vs. South Florida picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this matchup is UCF, and we expect that UCF will cover the spread (UCF -20). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 67.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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