UCF vs. Navy Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 19, 2022

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The No. 17 UCF Knights (8-2) face an AAC matchup with the Navy Midshipmen (3-7).

UCF vs. Navy Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 15.5 points, with sportsbooks listing UCF as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, UCF has -776 odds to pick up the win, while Navy is listed at +518 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 52.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch UCF vs. Navy Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, November 19, 2022
  • Game Time: 11:00 AM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN2
  • Location: Orlando, Florida
  • Stadium: FBC Mortgage Stadium

Betting Preview

UCF

On offense, UCF has been a top-25 unit, ranking ninth-best in the FBS by putting up 497.2 yards per game. The defense ranks 51st (364.4 yards allowed per game). UCF has been making things happen on both sides of the ball this season, as they rank 20th-best in scoring offense (35.9 points per game) and 21st-best in scoring defense (20.0 points allowed per game). UCF ranks 49th in pass offense (248.2 passing yards per game) and 86th in pass defense (239.9 passing yards allowed per game) this year. On offense, UCF has been a top-25 unit in terms of rushing yards, ranking fifth-best in the FBS by averaging 249.0 per game. The Knights rank 33rd on defense (124.5 rushing yards allowed per game). UCF ranks 62nd in third-down defense this year (37.8% third-down percentage allowed), but has been shining on the other side of the ball, ranking 13th-best in the FBS with a 49.3% third-down conversion rate. UCF has forced 10 total turnovers (111th in the FBS) this season and have turned it over 13 times (51st in the FBS) for -3a turnover margin of -3, 100th-ranked in college football.

Navy

Navy has been sputtering on offense, ranking 23rd-worst with 339.2 total yards per game. It has been more effective on defense, surrendering 360.2 total yards per contest (47th-ranked). Navy ranks 100th in the FBS with 22.9 points per contest on offense, and it ranks 64th with 25.8 points allowed per game on the defensive side of the ball. In terms of passing, this season has been tough for Navy on both sides of the ball, as it is posting only 100.5 passing yards per game (third-worst) and allowing 274.4 passing yards per game (16th-worst). Things have been going well for Navy on both sides of the ball, as it is posting 238.7 rushing yards per game (10th-best) and allowing only 85.8 rushing yards per game (sixth-best). In terms of third-down efficiency, Navy ranks 54th in the FBS (41.4% third-down conversion rate) and 66th on the other side of the ball (38.4% third-down rate allowed). After forcing 16 turnovers (41st in the FBS) and turning the ball over 14 times (60th in the FBS) this season, Navy sports the 51st-ranked turnover margin of +2.

UCF vs. Navy Betting Analysis

UCF Betting Insights

UCF is 7-3-0 against the spread this season. UCF has an ATS record of 2-1 when playing as at least 15.5-point favorites. This season, four UCF games have gone over the point total. The Knights have gone 6-2 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 75% of those games). The Knights have played as a moneyline favorite of -776 or shorter in just two games this season, and they won both.

Midshipmen Betting Insights

Navy have put together a 6-4-0 record against the spread this season. In games this year when an underdog by 15.5 points or more, Navy has gone 3-0 against the spread. This year, six Navy games have gone over the point total. This season, the Midshipmen have been the underdog eight times and won two of those games. This season, the Midshipmen have been at least a +518 underdog on the moneyline two times, losing each of those contests.

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UCF vs. Navy Against The Spread & Betting Records

UCF

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 58.4 57.3 59.9
Implied Total AVG 35.0 37.0 32.0
ATS Record 7-3-0 4-2-0 3-1-0
Over/Under Record 4-6-0 2-4-0 2-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 6-2 4-1 2-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-0 0-0 1-0

Midshipmen

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 46.3 45.8 47.1
Implied Total AVG 29.0 27.5 31.3
ATS Record 6-4-0 2-4-0 4-0-0
Over/Under Record 6-4-0 5-1-0 1-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-1 1-1 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-6 1-3 1-3

Players to Watch

UCF

  • Jason Johnson has hit the gridiron for 10 games, posting 1.5 sacks to go with 2.0 TFL and 81 tackles for the Knights.
  • Tre’mon Morris-Brash has helped spur the Knights’ defense with 6.0 sacks to go along with 7.0 TFL and 34 tackles in 10 games.
  • As part of the Knights’ defensive unit, Jeremiah Jean-Baptiste has totaled 38 tackles, 4.0 TFL, one sack, and one pass defended in 10 games.
  • Josh Celiscar, as part of the Knights’ defense, has compiled 2.0 sacks to go with 4.0 TFL and 37 tackles in 10 games.

Midshipmen

  • John Marshall has been providing a big boost on defense, registering one interception to go with 48 tackles, 8.0 TFL, 5.5 sacks, and six passes defended for the Midshipmen.
  • The Midshipmen’s Colin Ramos has compiled 3.5 sacks to go with 5.0 TFL, 44 tackles, and one interception in 10 games.
  • Jacob Busic has been wreaking havoc on defense, totaling 6.0 sacks to go with 4.0 TFL and 24 tackles for the Midshipmen.
  • Rayuan Lane has totaled 1.0 sack to go with 2.0 TFL and 39 tackles in 10 games for the Midshipmen.

UCF vs. Navy Predictions and Pick

UCF vs. Navy betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Knights (-15.5)

    Pick OU:

    Over (52.5)

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How to Bet on UCF vs. Navy

You can bet on UCF vs. Navy at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s UCF vs. Navy picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this game is UCF, and we project that UCF will cover the spread (UCF -15.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 52.5 points.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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