UCF vs. East Carolina Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

httpscdn.dataskrive.comapiassetp02efsnucf knights vs east carolina pirates Betsperts Media & Technology

The UCF Knights (5-1) face an AAC matchup against the East Carolina Pirates (4-3).

UCF vs. East Carolina Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 5 points, with oddsmakers listing UCF as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, UCF has -207 odds to pick up the win, while East Carolina is listed at +168 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 63.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch UCF vs. East Carolina Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 22, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPNU
  • Location: Greenville, North Carolina
  • Stadium: Bagwell Field at Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium

Betting Preview


On the offensive side of the ball, UCF has been a top-25 unit, ranking fifth-best in the FBS by putting up 524.3 yards per game. The defense ranks 30th (338.2 yards allowed per game). UCF has been a tough matchup for opposing teams, as they rank top-25 in both scoring offense (13th-best with 41.3 points per game) and scoring defense (seventh-best with 14.3 points allowed per game) this year. Offensively, UCF ranks 48th in the FBS with 264.0 passing yards per game. Meanwhile, the defense ranks 43rd in passing yards allowed per contest (211.7). UCF ranks 42nd in run defense this season (126.5 rushing yards allowed per game), but has been playing really well on offense, ranking fourth-best in the FBS with 260.3 rushing yards per game. UCF has been thriving on both sides of the ball in terms of third-down efficiency, ranking 18th-best in third-down conversion rate (48.9%) and 13th-best in third-down conversion rate allowed (29.2%). With six forced turnovers (108th in the FBS) against six turnovers committed (19th in the FBS), UCF’s even turnover margin ranks 100th in college football.

East Carolina

East Carolina’s defense ranks 80th in the FBS with 388.3 total yards given up per game, but it has been led by its offense, which ranks 20th-best by racking up 474.7 total yards per contest. East Carolina ranks 43rd in the FBS with 33.1 points per game on offense, and it ranks 57th with 24.6 points given up per game on defense. While East Carolina’s pass defense has had trouble stopping opposing offenses, ranking 14th-worst by giving up 278.3 passing yards per game, its offense ranks 16th-best with 309.0 passing yards per contest. East Carolina ranks 59th in the FBS with 165.7 rushing yards per contest, but it has been led by its defense, which ranks 24th-best by allowing only 110.0 rushing yards per game. East Carolina’s third-down offense has been paving the way for the team, as it ranks 13th-best in the FBS with a 51.0% third-down conversion percentage. In terms of defense, it is giving up a 38.5% third-down rate, which ranks 66th. East Carolina owns a +2 turnover margin this season, which ranks 43rd in the FBS.

UCF vs. East Carolina Betting Analysis

UCF Betting Insights

UCF has put together a 4-2-0 record against the spread this season. In games this season when favored by 5 points or more, UCF has gone 3-2 against the spread. This season, UCF games have hit the over twice. The Knights have won four of the five games they were favored on the moneyline this season (80%). The Knights are 1-0 (winning 75% of their games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -207 or shorter.

Pirates Betting Insights

East Carolina has covered the spread in a matchup four times this season (4-3-0). East Carolina is a perfect 1-0 ATS when playing as at least 5-point underdogs. Games involving East Carolina have hit the over on four occasions this season. The Pirates have lost both games they’ve played as underdogs this season. The Pirates have a record of 0-0 in games where oddsmakers have them as underdogs of at least +168 on the moneyline.

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UCF vs. East Carolina Against The Spread & Betting Records


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 58.3 57.7 61.5
Implied Total AVG 38.0 38.6 35.0
ATS Record 4-2-0 3-2-0 1-0-0
Over/Under Record 2-4-0 2-3-0 0-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-1 3-1 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 54.8 54.3 56.0
Implied Total AVG 34.0 35.2 31.0
ATS Record 4-3-0 3-2-0 1-1-0
Over/Under Record 4-3-0 3-2-0 1-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-1 2-1 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-2 0-1 0-1

Players to Watch


  • The Knights’ defensive unit has been aided by the play of Jason Johnson, who has played six games and delivered 43 tackles and 1.0 TFL.
  • With 21 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and three sacks in six games, Tre’mon Morris-Brash has been an important contributor to the Knights’ defense in 2022.
  • The Knights’ defensive unit has been helped by the play of Jeremiah Jean-Baptiste, who has suited up for six games and compiled 25 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and one sack.
  • Divaad Wilson, as part of the Knights’ defense, has totaled 16 tackles and two interceptions in six games.


  • Julius Wood has registered two interceptions to go with 25 tackles and two passes defended in seven games for the Pirates.
  • On defense, Xavier Smith has helped keep opposing offenses in check with 16 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and two sacks in seven games.
  • The Pirates’ Jeremy Lewis has posted 19 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and 2.5 sacks in seven games.
  • Shaundre Mims has posted 3.0 sacks to go with 3.0 TFL and 10 tackles in seven games for the Pirates.

UCF vs. East Carolina Predictions and Pick

UCF vs. East Carolina betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Knights (-5)

    Pick OU:

    Under (63.5)

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5 Second Chance Bets up to $50 each

How to Bet on UCF vs. East Carolina

You can bet on UCF vs. East Carolina at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s UCF vs. East Carolina picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this matchup is UCF, and we project that UCF will cover the spread (UCF -5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 63.5 points.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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