Tulane vs. UCF AAC Championship Prediction: Picks & Start Time – December 3, 2022

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The No. 18 Tulane Green Wave (10-2) and No. 22 UCF Knights (9-3) will play in the AAC Championship Game.

Tulane vs. UCF Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 3.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Tulane as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, Tulane has -180 odds to pick up the win, while UCF is listed at +145 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 57.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Tulane vs. UCF Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, December 3, 2022
  • Game Time: 4:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ABC
  • Location: New Orleans, Louisiana
  • Stadium: Yulman Stadium

Betting Preview


Tulane is putting up 416.2 yards per game on offense (45th in the FBS), and rank 27th on the other side of the ball, yielding 336.8 yards allowed per game. Tulane has been a tough matchup for opposing teams, as they rank top-25 in both scoring offense (25th-best with 34.4 points per game) and scoring defense (18th-best with 19.8 points allowed per game) this year. Tulane ranks 73rd in passing yards this year (223.8 per game), but has been thriving on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 13th-best in the FBS with 182.2 passing yards allowed per game. From an offensive standpoint, Tulane ranks 35th in the FBS with 192.4 rushing yards per game. Meanwhile, the defensive unit ranks 74th in rushing yards allowed per contest (154.6). Tulane is averaging a 38.6% third-down percentage offensively this year (75th in the FBS), and is giving up a 35.9% third-down conversion rate (45th) on defense. Tulane owns the 16th-best turnover margin in college football at +8, forcing 19 turnovers (38th in the FBS) while turning it over 11 times (13th in the FBS).

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UCF’s offensive attack has been leading the charge for the team, as it ranks ninth-best in the FBS with 486.1 total yards per game. In terms of defense, it is giving up 360.8 total yards per game, which ranks 48th. UCF’s offense has been consistently moving the chains, racking up 34.9 points per contest (23rd-best) this season. On defense, it ranks 31st by allowing 21.3 points per game. UCF is compiling 242.8 passing yards per contest on offense this season (53rd-ranked). Meanwhile, it is surrendering 211.6 passing yards per contest (49th-ranked) on defense. UCF’s run offense has been dominant, piling up 243.3 rushing yards per game (sixth-best) this season. Defensively, it ranks 65th by allowing 149.3 rushing yards per game. UCF’s third-down offense has been leading the way for the team, as it ranks ninth-best in the FBS with a 50.0% third-down conversion percentage. In terms of defense, it is ceding a 37.3% third-down rate, which ranks 57th. After forcing 13 turnovers (102nd in the FBS) and turning the ball over 18 times (76th in the FBS) this season, UCF owns the 100th-ranked turnover margin of -5.

Tulane vs. UCF Betting Analysis

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Tulane Betting Insights

Tulane has registered a 10-2-0 record against the spread this season. Tulane has an ATS record of 6-1 when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites. Games involving Tulane have hit the over six times this season. The Green Wave have put together an 8-2 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 80% of those games). When they have played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -180 or shorter, the Green Wave have a 3-0 record (winning 83.3% of their games).

Knights Betting Insights

UCF has covered the spread in a matchup seven times this season (7-5-0). Games involving UCF have hit the over on five occasions this season. The Knights won the only game they’ve played as the underdog this season. The Knights have played as an underdog of +145 or more once this season and won that game.

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Tulane vs. UCF Against The Spread & Betting Records


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 54.4 56.6 51.3
Implied Total AVG 32.8 34.9 29.8
ATS Record 10-2-0 5-2-0 5-0-0
Over/Under Record 6-6-0 4-3-0 2-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 8-2 5-2 3-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-0 0-0 2-0


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 58.7 56.8 61.4
Implied Total AVG 35.7 36.6 34.4
ATS Record 7-5-0 4-3-0 3-2-0
Over/Under Record 5-7-0 2-5-0 3-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 7-3 4-2 3-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-0 0-0 1-0

Players to Watch


  • The Green Wave’s defensive unit has been aided by the play of Dorian Williams, who has played 12 games and recorded 79 tackles, 5.0 TFL, four sacks, and two interceptions.
  • The Green Wave’s defensive unit has been aided by the contributions of Nick Anderson, who has suited up for 12 games and compiled 1.5 sacks to go with 4.0 TFL and 79 tackles.
  • Macon Clark has hit the gridiron for 12 games, collecting 50 tackles, 7.0 TFL, and two interceptions for the Green Wave.
  • With 2.0 TFL, 60 tackles, and two interceptions, Larry Brooks has helped lead the Green Wave’s defense over 12 games.


  • As a tone-setter on defense, the Knights’ Jason Johnson has compiled 104 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and 1.5 sacks in 12 games.
  • In 12 games for the Knights, Tre’mon Morris-Brash has collected 48 tackles, 8.0 TFL, and six sacks.
  • Josh Celiscar has been providing a big boost on defense, compiling 2.0 sacks to go with 5.0 TFL and 43 tackles for the Knights.
  • Divaad Wilson has collected 1.0 TFL, 32 tackles, and three interceptions in 12 games for the Knights.

Tulane vs. UCF Predictions and Pick

Tulane vs. UCF betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Green Wave (-3.5)

    Pick OU:

    Under (57.5)

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How to Bet on Tulane vs. UCF

You can bet on Tulane vs. UCF at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Tulane vs. UCF picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this contest is Tulane, and we project that Tulane will cover the spread (Tulane -3.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 57.5 points.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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