Troy vs. UL Monroe Prediction: Picks & Start Time – November 19, 2022

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Sun Belt opponents will meet when the Troy Trojans (8-2) meet the UL Monroe Warhawks (4-6).

Troy vs. UL Monroe Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 15 points, with sportsbooks listing Troy as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, Troy has -753 odds to pick up the win, while UL Monroe is listed at +502 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 48 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Troy vs. UL Monroe Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, November 19, 2022
  • Game Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: Troy, Alabama
  • Stadium: Veterans Memorial Stadium

Betting Preview


Troy sports the 79th-ranked offense this year (371.4 yards per game), and has been even better on the other side of the ball, ranking 23rd-best with just 330.5 yards allowed per game. Troy has struggled offensively, ranking 22nd-worst in the FBS (21.3 points per game) this season. The defense, however, ranks ninth-best, surrendering only 16.7 points per game. Troy has the 34th-ranked defense this year in terms of passing yards (201.1 allowed per game), and has been better offensively, ranking 25th-best with 274.2 passing yards per game. Troy ranks 11th-worst in rushing offense (97.2 rushing yards per game), but has been better on defense, ranking 40th with 129.4 rushing yards allowed per contest. While Troy’s third-down defense ranks 104th with a 42.2% third-down conversion rate allowed per game, the offense has been worse, ranking 16th-worst with a 32.3% third-down conversion rate. Troy has forced 15 total turnovers (54th in the FBS) this season and have turned it over 17 times (93rd in the FBS) for -2a turnover margin of -2, 100th-ranked in college football.

UL Monroe

UL Monroe has sputtering defensively, ranking 22nd-worst with 433.9 total yards surrendered per game. It has been more effective on offense, compiling 345.2 total yards per contest (102nd-ranked). UL Monroe’s defense has been a bottom-25 unit in scoring defense this season, allowing 35.9 points per game, which ranks 10th-worst in the FBS. On offense, it ranks 92nd with 24.2 points per contest. With 219.7 passing yards per game on offense, UL Monroe ranks 85th in the FBS. On defense, it ranks 100th, giving up 253.1 passing yards per contest. In terms of rushing, UL Monroe ranks 100th in the FBS on offense (125.5 rushing yards per game) and 104th on the other side of the ball (180.8 rushing yards allowed per contest). UL Monroe ranks 66th in third-down conversion percentage (39.0%) on offense, but it has been less effective on the other side of the ball, ranking 16th-worst in the FBS with a 44.8% third-down percentage allowed. With eight forced turnovers (124th in the FBS) and 14 turnovers committed (60th in the FBS) this season, UL Monroe ranks 100th in the FBS with a turnover margin of -6.

Troy vs. UL Monroe Betting Analysis

Troy Betting Insights

Troy has covered the spread in a game seven times this season (7-3-0). Troy has not covered a spread when they are at least 15-point favorites (0-2). Games involving Troy have hit the over three times this season. The Trojans have been listed as the moneyline favorite a total of four times this season, and they’ve won each of those games. The Trojans have played as a moneyline favorite of -753 or shorter in just one game this season, which they won.

Warhawks Betting Insights

UL Monroe have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread this year. UL Monroe is 1-2 ATS when playing as at least 15-point underdogs. UL Monroe games have gone over the total five times this year. The Warhawks have won two of the six games they’ve played as underdogs this season. This season, the Warhawks have been at least a +502 underdog on the moneyline three times, losing each of those contests.

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Troy vs. UL Monroe Against The Spread & Betting Records


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 49.6 48.4 50.7
Implied Total AVG 30.9 31.8 30.0
ATS Record 7-3-0 2-3-0 5-0-0
Over/Under Record 3-7-0 1-4-0 2-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-0 3-0 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 3-2 1-0 2-2


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 57.1 55.0 58.5
Implied Total AVG 36.7 31.3 40.3
ATS Record 5-5-0 3-1-0 2-4-0
Over/Under Record 5-5-0 1-3-0 4-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-0 2-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-4 1-1 1-3

Players to Watch


  • The Trojans’ defense has been helped by the play of Carlton Martial, who has suited up for 10 games and delivered 79 tackles, 1.0 TFL, 0.5 sacks, and one interception.
  • The Trojans’ defense has been aided by the contributions of T.J. Jackson, who has played 10 games and totaled 7.0 sacks to go with 8.0 TFL and 38 tackles.
  • The Trojans’ defensive unit has been aided by Craig Slocum, who has suited up for 10 games and amassed one interception to go along with 60 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one pass defended.
  • A key piece of the Trojans’ defensive unit, TJ Harris has 35 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and four sacks in 10 games.


  • On defense, Tristan Driggers has helped set the tone with three interceptions to go with 30 tackles, 3.0 TFL, one sack, and three passes defended in 10 games.
  • Zack Woodard has been doing his part on defense, posting 31 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and two sacks for the Warhawks.
  • In 10 games for the Warhawks, Lucius Tillery has recorded 16 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and three sacks.
  • The Warhawks’ Caleb Thomas has registered 18 tackles, 7.0 TFL, and 1.5 sacks in 10 games.

Troy vs. UL Monroe Predictions and Pick

Troy vs. UL Monroe betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Trojans (-15)

    Pick OU:

    Over (48)

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How to Bet on Troy vs. UL Monroe

You can bet on Troy vs. UL Monroe at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Troy vs. UL Monroe picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this game is Troy, and we predict that Troy will cover the spread (Troy -15). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 48 points.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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