Troy vs. Texas State Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

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The Troy Trojans (4-2) and Texas State Bobcats (3-3) will battle in clash of Sun Belt rivals at Veterans Memorial Stadium in Troy, Alabama.

Troy vs. Texas State Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 16.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Troy as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, Troy has -872 odds to pick up the win, while Texas State is listed at +565 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 46.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Troy vs. Texas State Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 15, 2022
  • Game Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN3
  • Location: Troy, Alabama
  • Stadium: Veterans Memorial Stadium

Betting Preview


Troy is compiling 400.2 yards per game on offense (68th in the FBS), and rank 42nd on defense, yielding 349.0 yards allowed per game. From an offensive standpoint, Troy ranks 95th in the FBS with 25.5 points per game. Meanwhile, the team’s defense ranks 34th in points allowed (349.0 points allowed per contest). On the offensive side of the ball, Troy has been a top-25 unit in terms of passing yards, ranking 15th-best in the FBS by totaling 315.0 per game. The Trojans rank 71st on defense (232.5 passing yards allowed per game). While Troy’s run defense ranks 31st with 116.5 rushing yards allowed per game, the offense has been less successful, ranking seventh-worst (85.2 rushing yards per game). Troy sports the 83rd-ranked third-down offense this year (38.0% third-down conversion rate), but has been less effective defensively, ranking 13th-worst with a 45.8% third-down percentage allowed. Troy ranks 100th in college football with an even turnover margin after forcing 12 turnovers (13th in the FBS) while committing 12 (110th in the FBS).

Texas State

Texas State ranks 103rd with 342.7 total yards per contest on offense, and it ranks 49th with 354.3 total yards ceded per contest on the defensive side of the ball. Texas State ranks 100th in the FBS with 24.2 points per game on offense, and it ranks 67th with 26.0 points ceded per contest on defense. With 247.3 passing yards per game on offense, Texas State ranks 68th in the FBS. Defensively, it ranks 63rd, giving up 226.3 passing yards per contest. Texas State ranks 11th-worst in rushing yards per game (95.3), but it has been more productive on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 46th in the FBS with 128.0 rushing yards conceded per contest. With a 39.6% third-down conversion percentage on offense, Texas State ranks 65th in the FBS. On defense, it ranks 42nd, allowing a 33.7% third-down rate. Texas State has accumulated 11 forced turnovers (25th in the FBS) and committed 13 turnovers (117th in the FBS) this season for a -2 turnover margin that ranks 100th in the FBS.

Troy vs. Texas State Betting Analysis

Troy Betting Insights

Troy is 5-1-0 against the spread this season. Troy has yet to cover a spread when they are at least 16.5-point favorites (0-1). Troy games have gone over the total three times this season. The Trojans have been listed as the moneyline favorite just one other time so far this season, a game they won. The Trojans have not played a game this season with moneyline odds of -872 or shorter.

Bobcats Betting Insights

Texas State has put together a record of 3-3-0 against the spread this year. Texas State has an ATS record of 1-2 when playing as at least 16.5-point underdogs. Games involving Texas State have hit the over on three occasions this year. This season, the Bobcats have won one out of the three games in which they’ve been the underdog. The Bobcats are 1-1 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +565 or more on the moneyline.

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Troy vs. Texas State Against The Spread & Betting Records


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 52.3 50.0 54.7
Implied Total AVG 33.7 33.3 34.0
ATS Record 5-1-0 2-1-0 3-0-0
Over/Under Record 3-3-0 1-2-0 2-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-0 1-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-2 1-0 1-2


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 56.1 60.0 52.2
Implied Total AVG 37.5 39.7 35.3
ATS Record 3-3-0 3-0-0 0-3-0
Over/Under Record 3-3-0 1-2-0 2-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-1 2-0 0-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-2 1-0 0-2

Players to Watch


  • T.J. Jackson has helped carry the Trojans’ defense with 23 tackles, 6.0 TFL, and 5.5 sacks in six games.
  • Carlton Martial has helped lead the Trojans’ defense with 0.5 sacks to go along with 1.0 TFL, 37 tackles, and one interception in six games.
  • Craig Slocum has helped lead the Trojans’ defense with one interception to go along with 31 tackles and one pass defended in six games.
  • Richard Jibunor, as part of the Trojans’ defense, has registered 3.5 sacks to go with 1.0 TFL and 15 tackles in six games.


  • Levi Bell has compiled 22 tackles, 7.0 TFL, and five sacks in six games for the Bobcats.
  • Kordell Rodgers has been doing his part on defense, amassing three interceptions to go with 11 tackles and four passes defended for the Bobcats.
  • In six games for the Bobcats, Ben Bell has amassed 13 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and two sacks.
  • Sione Tupou has amassed one interception to go with 18 tackles and one pass defended In six games for the Bobcats.

Troy vs. Texas State Predictions and Pick

Troy vs. Texas State betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Trojans (-16.5)

    Pick OU:

    Over (46.5)

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How to Bet on Troy vs. Texas State

You can bet on Troy vs. Texas State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Troy vs. Texas State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our prediction to win this contest is Troy, and we expect that Troy will cover the spread (Troy -16.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 46.5 points.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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