Troy vs. Southern Miss Prediction: Picks & Start Time – October 2022

httpscdn.dataskrive.comapiassetGI4Zbo8troy trojans vs southern miss golden eagles Betsperts Media & Technology

Sun Belt rivals will do battle when the Troy Trojans (3-2) face the Southern Miss Golden Eagles (2-2) at Veterans Memorial Stadium in Troy, Alabama.

Troy vs. Southern Miss Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 6.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Troy as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, Troy has -266 odds to pick up the win, while Southern Miss is listed at +210 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 44 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Troy vs. Southern Miss Live?

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 8, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: Troy, Alabama
  • Stadium: Veterans Memorial Stadium

Betting Preview


Troy is putting up 412.6 yards per game on offense, which ranks 63rd in the FBS. On the other side of the ball, the Trojans rank 73rd, allowing 377.8 yards per contest. From an offensive standpoint, Troy ranks 96th in the FBS with 25.2 points per game. Meanwhile, the team’s defense ranks 51st in points allowed (377.8 points allowed per contest). On the offensive side of the ball, Troy has been a top-25 unit in terms of passing yards, ranking 11th-best in the FBS by averaging 330.6 per game. The Trojans rank 91st on defense (247.6 passing yards allowed per game). Troy has been a bottom-25 run offense this year, ranking fifth-worst with 82.0 rushing yards per game. Defensively, the Trojans are ranked 55th in the FBS (130.2 rushing yards allowed per game). In addition to a 46.3% third-down conversion rate allowed on defense, which ranks 16th-worst in the FBS, Troy has posted the 77th-ranked third-down conversion rate (37.3%) on offense. Troy owns the 100th-ranked turnover margin in college football at -2, forcing eight turnovers (47th in the FBS) while turning it over 10 times (106th in the FBS).

Southern Miss

With 367.8 total yards per game on the offensive side of the ball, Southern Miss ranks 97th in the FBS in 2022. Defensively, it ranks 87th, allowing 394.3 total yards per game. In terms of points scored Southern Miss ranks 67th in the FBS (31.3 points per game), and it is 58th on defense (23.3 points allowed per game). Southern Miss is compiling 235.0 passing yards per contest on offense this season (78th-ranked). Meanwhile, it is surrendering 235.5 passing yards per contest (77th-ranked) on defense. With 132.8 rushing yards per game on offense, Southern Miss ranks 93rd in the FBS. Defensively it ranks 90th, allowing 158.8 rushing yards per contest. Southern Miss’ offense has been sputtering on third down, ranking 21st-worst in the FBS with a 32.7% third-down conversion rate. It has been more productive defensively, allowing a 38.0% third-down rate (72nd-ranked). At -1, Southern Miss sports the 100th-ranked turnover margin in the FBS, with seven forced turnovers (62nd in the FBS) and eight turnovers committed (75th in the FBS).

Troy vs. Southern Miss Betting Analysis

Troy Betting Insights

Troy is 4-1-0 against the spread this season. Troy is winless against the spread when it has played as 6.5-point or greater favorites (0-1). This season, Troy games have hit the over three times. The Trojans have not played as the moneyline favorite yet this season. The Trojans have yet to play a game with moneyline odds of -266 or shorter.

Golden Eagles Betting Insights

Southern Miss is 4-0-0 against the spread this season. Southern Miss is a perfect 2-0 ATS when playing as at least 6.5-point underdogs. Southern Miss’ games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under three times this year. This season, the Golden Eagles have been the underdog three times and won one of those games. The Golden Eagles have entered three games this season as the underdog by +210 or more and are 0-0 in those contests.

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Troy vs. Southern Miss Against The Spread & Betting Records


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 53.9 52.8 54.7
Implied Total AVG 35.2 37.0 34.0
ATS Record 4-1-0 1-1-0 3-0-0
Over/Under Record 3-2-0 1-1-0 2-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 0-0 0-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-2 1-0 1-2

Golden Eagles

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 50.1 50.5 49.8
Implied Total AVG 34.3 34.0 34.5
ATS Record 4-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0
Over/Under Record 3-1-0 2-0-0 1-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 0-0 0-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-2 0-1 1-1

Players to Watch


  • The Trojans’ defensive unit has been helped by the play of T.J. Jackson, who has suited up for five games and registered 18 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and four sacks.
  • Carlton Martial has helped carry the Trojans’ defense with 0.5 sacks to go along with 29 tackles and one interception in five games.
  • With 17 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and 2.5 sacks in five games, Javon Solomon has been an important piece of the Trojans’ defensive unit in 2022.
  • An important part of the Trojans’ defense, Craig Slocum has 23 tackles in five games.

Golden Eagles

  • Malik Shorts has been doing his part on defense, totaling two interceptions to go with 17 tackles and two passes defended for the Golden Eagles.
  • Dominic Quewon has compiled four tackles, 2.0 TFL, and three sacks in four games for the Golden Eagles.
  • In four games for the Golden Eagles, Santrell Latham has posted 13 tackles and one sack.
  • The Golden Eagles’ Swayze Bozeman has registered five tackles, 2.0 TFL, and two sacks in four games.

Troy vs. Southern Miss Predictions and Pick

Troy vs. Southern Miss betting card

    Pick ATS:

    Trojans (-6.5)

    Pick OU:

    Over (44)

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How to Bet on Troy vs. Southern Miss

You can bet on Troy vs. Southern Miss at every legal online sportsbook. For more college football odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as college football prop odds, check out the latest college football lines as well as our guide to the best college football betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Troy vs. Southern Miss picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

Our pick to win this game is Troy, and we project that Troy will cover the spread (Troy -6.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 44 points.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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